Fortaleza vs Corinthians Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Sudamericana
by Joseph King in Football Predictions
It’s an all-Brazilian clash in the Copa Sudamericana quarter-final as Fortaleza hosts Corinthians at the Castelão on Tuesday for this first leg matchup. Let’s get into the match prediction for this battle between Leão de Pici and Timão.
It’s been a fantastic season for Fortaleza who have emerged as surprise Brasileiro Série A title contenders. Another deep run in this competition would be the icing on the cake, especially as they will feel they have unfinished business here. Fortaleza made it to the final of last season’s Copa Sudamericana but would have to settle for a runners-up medal as they lost out to LDU Quito.
In the 2024 edition, the hosts cruised through the group stage, finishing as Group D winners following a 4-1-1 record. The round of 16 saw them matched up against Argentinian club Rosario Central, where they walked away with a 4-2 aggregate scoreline victory.
Fortaleza will be looking to snap out of a three-game winless run following the team’s 1-1 away draw with Athletico Paranaense on the weekend. It’s the team’s longest stretch without a win since June.
It’s been a dreadful year for Corinthians domestically, although their performance in the Copa Sudamericana has helped to somewhat redeem their miserable league form.
They also finished at the top of their group with a 4-1-1 record, setting up a round of 16 matchup with fellow Brazilian club RB Bragantino. Corinthians would prevail in a penalty shootout after a 3-3 aggregate slatemate.
Corinthians are coming off a 2-1 away loss to league-leading Botafogo in their most recent appearance, marking an end to a two-match winning streak.
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The Best Betting Odds for Fortaleza v Corinthians Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2 | 3 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.91 | 2.9 | 4 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.14 | 4.22 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.14 | 4.22 |
|
|
2 | 3.1 | 4 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.42 | 4.46 |
|
|
2.01 | 2.95 | 4.1 |
|
|
2.01 | 3.13 | 4.24 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.1 | 4.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fortaleza and Corinthians?
Our prediction for the Fortaleza vs Corinthians match is: Fortaleza to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/09/2024 between Fortaleza and Corinthians in Copa Sudamericana :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.39% for a win of Fortaleza against Corinthians with odds of 2.02 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fortaleza vs Corinthians is 21.53% with odds of 3.42 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 16.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Corinthians vs Fortaleza with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.
Fortaleza - Corinthians Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fortaleza Corinthians Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza wins | 62.39% | 2.02 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 57.44% | 1.74 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 52.92% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Fortaleza | 42.4% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Fortaleza vs Corinthians Form
Fortaleza and Corinthians Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Aug 2024 - Copa Sudamericana
17 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Sep 2024 - Copa do Brasil
1 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
25 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Aug 2024 - Copa Sudamericana
Fortaleza against Corinthians : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 May 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
3 Oct 2023 - Copa Sudamericana
26 Sep 2023 - Copa Sudamericana
14 Sep 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 May 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
Fortaleza against Corinthians Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Fortaleza - Corinthians Key Points
- Fortaleza have won all four of their home matches in the 2024 Copa Sudamericana.
- The hosts are unbeaten at the Castelão this season their domestic league + Sudamericana (14-3-0).
- Corinthians have lost 10 of their 14 domestic league matches on the road, winning just once.
- Fortaleza have won their last five home matches against Corinthians.
- The visitors have failed to beat their opponents in their last seven meetings.
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Our Fortaleza vs Corinthians Prediction
Fortaleza have a fantastic record at the Castelão this season and their strong home form has been the foundation for their surprise title challenge. Corinthians, meanwhile, have really struggled to get wins on the road, with their form against fellow Brazilian clubs in the domestic league a particular sore spot.
Despite a now three-match run without a victory, we believe Leão de Pici can get back to winning ways here. They're deserved favourites and we believe this bet still has a good amount of value at the current price. Our Fortaleza vs Corinthians prediction: Fortaleza to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fortaleza Corinthians
| Fortaleza vs Corinthians | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza wins | 1.83 | 2 | +9.3% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3 | -14.3% |
| Corinthians wins | 4.33 | 4.5 | +3.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Fortaleza is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 50.0% (-4.6%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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