Copa America 2024 Predictions & Betting tips
Here you will find our prediction on the winner of the Copa America football tournament, as well as our predictions on the matches of this year's competition organised by CONMEBOL and CONCACAF.
Prediction of the winner: who will win the Copa America 2024?
Which team will win the Copa America 2024? Here is our prediction table and all our betting tips for the competition being played in the United States this year.
32 matches later and we're left with the winner of the Copa America 2024! Once again, it's Argentina that are crowned the champions of South America following their win over Colombia at the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. As we correctly predicted, the match would have to be decided in extra time following a 0-0 stalemate after the regulation 90 minutes. With a penalty shootout looming, it was Inter Milan's Lautaro Martinez who finally broke the deadlock and opened the scoring for La Albiceleste just eight minutes from the conclusion of the 30 minutes extra time. The 112th minute goal was the fifth of the tournament for Martinez, putting a bow on an fantastic campaign which saw him win the Golden Boot award. Lautaro's performance was even more impressive given the fact that the came on as a substitute in four of Argentina's six matches.
The win for Argentina was their second Copa America title in a row and their 16th championship won in their nation's history. This moves them one clear atop the all-time rankings after previously being tied with Uruguay at 15 each. As for Colombia, it was a brilliant performance to reach what was only the country's third ever final. It also marked the best run for Los Cafeteros since winning their solitary Copa America title in 2001. We had backed Argentina to lift the Copa from the beginning of the tournament, which they managed to ultimately do despite needing almost the full 120 minutes in the final!
The result for Copa America 2024: Argentina are champions!
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Copa America 2024 prediction: outright odds to win the final
The Copa America 2024 final is in the books meaning there are no odds available. In the meantime, you can head over to Bet365 to check out the other competitions and sports on offer!Check out the Copa America odds!
Copa America 2024 Prediction: Semi-Finals
Only four teams remain in South America's coveted Copa America! Take a look at the fixtures below along with the kickoff times for each:
- Argentina - Canada (Wednesday 10 July - 01:00 BST): Argentina advances after a 2-0 victory
- Uruguay - Colombia (Thursday 11 July - 01:00 BST): Colombia advances after a 1-0 victory
It's a real "David vs Goliath" match when defending World Cup and Copa America champions Argentina face Canada for the first semi-final. Lionel Messi and company should be able to take care of business against a Canadian side that, while rapidly improving, will simply be outclassed here. The other semi-final presents a much more even matchup as Marcelo Bielsa's Uruguay take on a red-hot Colombian team. Bielsa has done wonderfully in his short time in charge of Uruguay so far and knocking out Brazil in the previous round should be seen as a real accomplishment. However, Colombia comes into this match riding an absurd 27-match unbeaten streak and are playing with supreme confidence at the moment, as evidenced by their 5-0 thumping of Panama in the quarter-finals. This could wind up going the distance, but we lean towards Los Cafeteros to progress to the final.
Do you agree with our predictions? Be sure to check out the great odds over at Bet365 for these quarter-final matches!
Odds to reach the Final
- Uruguay - 1.80
- Colombia - 2.00
Odds found on Bet365
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Copa America 2024 Prediction: Quarter-Finals
With an intense group stage now complete, the eight remaining teams gear up for their quarter-final clashes. There are plenty of intriguing matchups on deck in this round of the Copa America 2024. Who do you think will come out on top and advance to the semi-finals? Check out the full draw below:
- Argentina - Ecuador (Friday 5 July - 02:00 BST): Argentina advances after a 1-1 (4-2 penalties) win
- Venezuela - Canada (Saturday 6 July - 02:00 BST): Canada advances after a 1-1 (4-3 penalties) win
- Colombia - Panama (Saturday 6 July - 23:00 BST): Colombia advances after a 5-0 win
- Uruguay - Brazil (Sunday 7 July - 02:00 BST): Uruguay advances after a 0-0 (4-2 penalties) win
It's a weekend full of exciting fixtures in the Copa America with the centerpiece undoubtedly being the showdown between Marcelo Bielsa's Uruguay and Dorival Junior's Brazil. As for our predictions: Lionel Messi and company should be able to overcome a stingy Ecuador and advance to the quarter-final, while we see Venezuela's good form continuing to see off the challenge presented by Jesse Marsch's Canada. Colombia did well to win their group, thus setting up an favourable matchup against Panama which they should be able to take advantage of and advance to the semi-final. Finally, we predict that Uruguay's excellent form will continue under their legendary manager as they should be able to edge past a Brazilian side that have looked out of sorts this tournament.
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Copa America top scorer prediction: who will score the most goals in 2024?
On some sports betting sites, you can bet on the player who will score the most goals in the 2024 Copa America.We expect a battle for the Golden Boot title as many skilful strikers will be taking part in this summer competition.
Here’s the list of players and their odds for the 2024 Copa America Golden Boot:
- Lautaro Martinez (Argentina) - 1.035 (4 goals)
- Julian Alvarez (Argentina) - 26.00 (2 goals)
- Luis Diaz (Colombia) - 29.00 (2 goals)
- Lionel Messi (Argentina) - 51.00 (1 goal)
- Jhon Cordoba (Colombia) - 34.00 (2 goals)
- Jefferson Lerma (Colombia) - 101.00 (2 goals)
- James Rodriguez (Colombia) - 151.00 (1 goal)
- Rafael Santos Borre (Colombia) - 251.00 (0 goals)
- Davinson Sanchez (Colombia) - 251.00 (1 goal)
Odds found on bet365
To make the best possible prediction on the top scorer at the Copa America 2024, there are several aspects to consider.
Favour a player whose team is likely to go far. This will logically result in more games, and thus more opportunities, to score compared with other players.
Scorers who play for dominant, attack-minded teams are also to be favored, to the detriment of strikers who wear the colors of a less imposing nation.
With the start he's had as this tournament, netting four goals in only three games, Lautaro Martinez looks to be the ideal top scorer prediction.
Our predictions for the Copa America 2024 group stage - Ended
Held in the United States and featuring a 16-team format for the first time in history, the 2024 Copa America promises to be a great spectacle right from the group stage.
Between June 20th and July 2nd, the 16 participating nations will attempt to progress from their group to the next stage of the competition.
For more information on the Copa America format, click here, but remember that you need to finish in the top two of a group to qualify for the quarter-finals.
Who can do it? Find out group by group, with predictions from our South American football experts.
Copa America Group A prediction (Argentina, Peru, Chile, Canada)
In the first group of the Copa America, we find the title favorite, Argentina, as well as Peru, Chile and Canada,
There are no surprises in this group, but we'd advise you to predict first place for the Argentinians, who are clearly ahead of the competition.
Accompanying Argentina, Alexis Sanchez and Guillermo Maripán's Chile seem to have the edge, with their experience in the competition and their team spirit. Canada will be their most formidable opponent for a place in the quarter-finals as they possess a number of exciting young players including Bayern Munich's Alphonso Davies and Lille's Jonathan David.
Our Group A winner prediction: Argentina
Group A standings:
- Argentina - 9 points (+5 goal differential)
- Canada - 4 points (-1 GD)
- Chile - 2 points (-1 GD)
- Peru - 1 point (-3 GD)
The first two teams to advance to the quarter-finals have been decided! To nobody's surprise, the reigning World Cup and Copa America champioins Argentina topped Group A with a perfect nine points from nine, scoring five goals and keeping three clean sheets. They're joined by Canada, whose 0-0 draw with Chile on the final matchday secured their nation's first ever trip to the Copa America knockout stages as the second-place team. Chile and Peru, both two-time winners of this competition, will be disappointed with their performances as they are both eliminated from the tournament.
Copa America Group B prediction (Mexico, Ecuador, Venezuela, Jamaica)
The second group of the 2024 Copa America features two unusual guests, Mexico and Jamaica, as well as Venezuela and Ecuador.
In terms of qualification for the quarter-finals, Ecuador have a great chance of progressing and are a potential tournament dark horse, according to our forecasters.
With their only losses in the last 12 months coming against Argentina and Italy, Félix Sánchez's side arrive in the USA with confidence and a talented young squad that will be expecting to earn the top group spot over Mexico.
As for the second qualifying berth, Mexico could do the job and benefit from the support of their many supporters in the USA. All in all, an open and exciting group.
Our Group B winner prediction: Ecuador
Group B standings:
- Venezuela - 9 points (+6 GD)
- Ecuador - 4 points (+1 GD)
- Mexico - 4 points (0 GD)
- Jamaica - 0 points (-6 GD)
Odds found on bet365
The next two teams to advance to the quarter-finals are set with Group B wrapping up. Venezuela suprised many by winning all three of their group stage matches, capping off their excellent run with an emphatic 3-0 win over Jamaica in matchday three. They will be joined by Ecuador, who were able to squeeze into second-place by just beating out Mexico by a single point. Going into the final match of the group La Tri (Ecuador) needed just a point against El Tri (Mexico), which they were able to secure with a goalless draw. It was a hugely disappointing tournament for the Mexicans, who were the bookmakers' favourites to top the group.
Copa America Group C Prediction (USA, Uruguay, Panama, Bolivia)
The third group of the Copa America features the host nation USA, Uruguay's eternal Celeste, Panama and Bolivia.
Panama did well to finish as the runners-up in the 2023 Gold Cup but will have their work cut out to reach the quarter-finals. The same applies to Bolivia, who have been more used to defeats than successes in recent years.
With no real surprises in store, we therefore advise you to predict qualification for the Uruguayans and the Americans, with Uruguay ahead of the United States in first place. The work done by Marcelo Bielsa to turn around the 1930 World Champions is truly incredible.
Our Group C winner prediction: Uruguay
Group C standings:
- Uruguay - 9 points (+8 GD)
- Panama - 6 points - (+1 GD)
- USA - 3 points (0 GD)
- Bolivia - 0 points (-9 GD)
Odds found on bet365
A surprise in Group C as host nation the United States is eliminated from the competition. A 1-0 defeat to Uruguay on the final day combined with Panama's 3-1 win over Bolivia means that the Americans will have to watch the remainder of the tournament from the sidelines. It's a huge blow to fans who will have been expecting this talented, young team to at least progress to the quarter-finals. The loss to Uruguay may also end up being manager Gregg Berhalter's last as the USA federation will have a decision to make. As for Uruguay and Panama, they progress quarters where they will meet up with the first or second-place finishing side in Group D.
Copa America Group D prediction (Brazil, Colombia, Paraguay, Costa Rica)
Group D of the competition, the final one, includes Brazil, Colombia, Paraguay and Costa Rica.
For first place, there are no surprises in sight, with Brazil the overwhelming favourites.
With their strength, experience and status, the Seleção have everything it takes to win the group. Behind them, Colombia are undoubtedly capable of accompanying them into the quarters.
With players like Luis Diaz, Jhon Arias, James and Rafael Santos Borré, head coach Nestor Lorenzo has the team to get through the first round and potentially even make a deep run in the knockout stages.
Our Group D winner prediction: Brazil
Group D current standings
- Colombia - 7 points (+4 GD)
- Brazil - 6 point (+3 GD)
- Costa Rica - 4 points (-2 GD)
- Paraguay - 0 points (-5 GD)
Odds found on bet365
In the four groups of the Copa America, the battle for the quarter-final tickets is set to rage on.
On the face of it, the favourites will all be in the knockout phase, and we don't expect any major surprises among the eliminated teams. Follow the action live from the beginning to the end on our Copa America Livescore.
Beginner sports bettors - how does the Copa America work and what is its format?
The format of the Copa America 2024 is quite simple. It is divided into two stages: the group phase, followed by the knockout phase.
In the group phase (June 21-July 3, 2024), the 16 participating teams are divided into 4 groups of four.
The group stage is a round-robin format with each team facing off against the other members of the group just once, for a total of three games per team. The top two places in the group advance to the quarter-finals, while third and fourth places lead to elimination.
The tiebreakers for teams even on points are determined by the overall goal difference, then on the total number of goals scored if necessary, and finally on direct head-to-head results between the two tied nations.
At the end of the group phase, 8 teams have qualified (2 from each of the four groups). This brings us to the quarter-finals, with knockout matches.
This is followed by the semi-finals, the match for third place and the grand final on July 15 at 01:00 UTC.
Note that in the event of a tie at the end of regulation time from the quarter-finals onwards, the teams go directly to a penalty shoot-out, except in the final.
In the final match of the competition, extra time is played in the event of a tie before a possible penalty shoot-out. Don't forget this before betting with an online bookmaker.
Football tips for the Copa America 2024 tournament
- Tournament hosted by the United States
- 16 teams in total (CONMEBOL + CONCACAF)
- Group stage (4 pools of 4) from June 21 to July 3, 2024
- 1st and 2nd in each group qualify for quarter-finals
- Knockout matches from July 5 to 15
- Quarter-finals, semi-finals, 3rd-place play-off, final
- No extra time before the final, direct TAB
- Final at Hard Rock Stadium (Miami)
To make the best possible predictions for this Copa America football tournament, always keep these tournament basics in mind. This will help you avoid any mistakes when placing your sports bets.
Our tips for predicting Copa America 2024 matches
Now that you know the format of the competition and the various predictions made by our football specialists, let's talk about good betting practices.
After all, it's not enough to know the competition in order to make successful predictions; you also need to adopt sound betting practices.
Here, according to SportyTrader's editorial team, are the main tips to follow:
- Take into account the form of the teams
- Observe the strength of the nations involved
- Consult the list of absentees in this Copa America
- Consider any rivalries on the American continent
- Note tactical schemes and playing habits
In addition to relying on the key statistics of the tournament (see this paragraph), applying these 5 tips during the Copa America 2024 can only improve your predictions.
For more details, read on.
Taking current series into account
In the Copa America, as in any other football competition, a team's current form and run counts for a lot in terms of confidence and the potential outcome of a match.
If a team hasn't won in 5-6 matches, avoid predicting its success. And vice versa.
Before placing your bet on the Copa America, take the time to check the latest performances on both sides to avoid unpleasant surprises. Teams in good form are always to be preferred.
Observe the line-ups of the participating nations
Between two teams of a similar level, players from the bench can often make the difference in deciding a match. So it's worth taking a closer look at each team's squad!
Does one side have access to quality substitutes while the other does not? Even if the two starting lineups are roughly at the same level, you'll have to favour the team with the deeper bench due to their ability to positively impact the match in the second half.
Take Uruguay, for example, with the option to call on Luis Suarez to replace Darwin Nuñez for a late blow in attack. Such quality substitutions are not possible for teams like Peru or Paraguay, which can make all the difference!
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Consult the Copa America absentee list
Another tip that ties in with the previous one is to always consult the list of absentees before betting on a Copa America football match.
If an influential player is suspended or injured, the result to be expected from his national team would not be the same as if he was in the squad. This is especially true for medium-sized teams who can’t rely on a large squad.
Is Alisson Becker absent in goal for Brazil? Ederson is there to fill in. If Matt Turner isn't there for the USMNT, the USA will find it harder to replace him on their line.
It's up to you to check on any absences before placing your bets, to avoid any mishaps
Consider possible rivalries on the American continent
On the American continent, as everywhere else, there are rivalries that can influence the scenario of a match. Tension, fouls, cards... the game can become choppy, and impact your various sports bets. So it's important to be aware of them.
Examples include the Brazil-Argentina and Brazil-Uruguay rivalries, but also the Chile-Peru rivalry (Clásico del Pacífico), Argentina-Uruguay, and in this particular case of the Copa America 2024, the Mexico-United States rivalry.
To get the most out of your winning predictions on the competition, always check the possible antagonism between the two teams involved in your sports bet.
Take note of tactical patterns and playing habits
Last but not least, when betting on the number of goals, handicaps or goalscorers, it's essential to take note of each nation's tactical patterns before betting online.
While Brazil and Argentina are expressive, favouring winning Over bets, nations like Peru and Paraguay are more disciplined and low-block oriented, this time favouring Under bets.
To shine during this Copa America organised in the US, you also need to take an interest in the game played by each team. Just like any self-respecting betting enthusiast.
What not to do for your Copa America predictions
There are also a number of pitfalls to be avoided if you want to predict the Copa America in 2024.
In our experience, here's what you shouldn't do before betting on the South American competition:
- Focus too much on the prestige of a South American team
- Not knowing what's at stake in the match (qualification? direct elimination?)
- Betting on your favourite team without being objective
- Betting to make up for a losing bet
- Favour the big nations without thinking
- Excessive live betting
To avoid falling into the Copa America trap, avoid these 6 practices at every match of the competition.
Whether you want to bet on the 1N2, on scorers, or on the number of goals in matches, this is bound to help you grab a few winning bets.
Copa America statistics for your 2024 predictions
Betting on the Copa America like a pro also requires a good knowledge of the competition's key figures.
To help you with your alternative bets, here are the key statistics from the most recent edition of the tournament.
- Average goals in group phase: 2.30 goals per game
- Average goals from the quarter-finals onwards: 2.38 goals per match
- Average goals over the duration of the tournament: 2.32 goals per match
- Matches with +1.5 goals in group phase: 65
- Matches with +1.5 goals from the quarter-finals onwards: 50%
- Matches with +1.5 goals over the duration of the tournament: 61%
- Matches with +2.5 goals in the group phase: 40
- Matches with +2.5 goals from the quarter-finals onwards: 38
- Matches with +2.5 goals over the course of the tournament: 39%
- Matches with +3.5 goals in the group phase: 25%
- Matches with +3.5 goals from the quarter-finals onwards: 25%.
- Matches with +3.5 goals over the duration of the tournament: 25%
- Matches where both teams score in the group stage: 45%
- Matches where both teams score from the quarter-finals onwards: 38%.
- Matches in which both teams scored over the course of the tournament: 43%
- Victories by one goal in the group phase: 40
- One-goal victories from the quarter-finals onwards: 50%.
- Victories by one goal over the duration of the tournament: 43%
- Victories by 2 goals or more in the group phase: 30%
- Victories by 2 goals or more from the quarter-finals onwards: 13
- Victories by 2 goals or more over the duration of the tournament: 25%
- Most frequent score in group stage: 1-0 (30% of matches)
- Most frequent score from the quarter-finals onwards: 1-0 (38% of matches)
- Most frequent score over the duration of the tournament: 1-0 (32% of matches each)
- Ratio of draws in group stage: 30%
- Ratio of draws from the quarter-finals onwards: 38%.
- Ratio of draws over the duration of the tournament: 32%
- Shoot-out ratio: 38% of matches from the quarter-finals onwards
In view of these Copa America stats, it's best to bet on a low number of goals in each match, and why not try the big draw odds in the group stage?
Don't forget that this 2024 edition does not offer extra time in the event of a tie in the knockout phase, except in the final. This may also encourage tied scores.
Bet on the Copa America Now!In short: how to make good predictions for Copa America 2024 matches?
Knowing the stats, adopting good betting practices, learning about the competition format and following SportyTrader's predictions... There's no secret to a successful Copa America prediction: you need to take the time to study everything.
Analyse the matches with our betting guide, and rely on the predictions of our specialists to try to shine at the bookmakers. Your success rate on sports betting sites could benefit this summer.
Our current Copa America predictions:
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Best odds: Copa America
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The content of this page and the predictions were reviewed on 24/12/2024 by our team of enthusiasts. Happy reading and good betting on this great Copa America 2024!
All images in this article are from the IMAGO website.
