Europa League Predictions & Betting tips

Find our free Europa League prediction, as well as our expert predictions on all the matches in the Europa League (2024-2025). Lots of information for your sports betting!

Europa League presentation - Football predictions

The Europa League is Europe's second biggest club competition, and a very popular competition to place bets on. Football fans can follow some of the top clubs in Europe who all want to win this important competition. 

Organized by UEFA, this tournament is always a thrilling one to follow. There are great matches played throughout and a few surprises along the way. The top clubs from Ligue 1, the Premier League, La Liga, the Bundesliga and Serie A battle it out for months on end for the coveted title.

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Our free prediction for the 2024/25 Europa League Final: who to bet on?

The 2024-25 edition of the Europa League is set to be a superb event this year. With such elite clubs as Manchester United, Tottenham, Athletic Bilbao, Olympiakos, FC Porto, AS Roma, Lazio, Nice and Lyon all set to take part in the competition, football fans will surely watch some great battles between these European giants.

There could certainly await some surprises, but two teams stand out above the rest at the moment as favourites: Manchester United and Tottenham. For punters, the biggest advantage to place a bet on this year's winner is not only to secure the best odds, but also to take advantage of the change in the UEFA competitions format for the 2024-25 season. 

This season differs from previous ones as there will no longer be any Champions League third-place finishers dropping down into the knockout stages of the Europa League. The new format proposed by UEFA applies for all three European cups, meaning that no Europa League teams will enter into the Conference League.

The Red Devils are hoping to bounce back this year. They had a difficult season last year despite winning the FA Cup against Manchester City, which is why they are taking part in the Europa League. Spurs also have a very fine squad and will have to be counted on to come up trumps. While our prediction might change as the season progresses, in November 2024, this is the prediction we are offering you.

Our Europa League winner's prediction: Manchester United or Tottenham win the trophy!

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Europa League winner: odds on the favourites to lift the trophy

• Tottenham - 4.50
• Manchester United - 6.50
• Athletic Bilbao - 10.00
• Lazio - 10.00
• Real Sociedad - 11.00
• AS Roma - 15.00
• FC Porto - 15.00
• Galatasaray - 15.00
• Lyon - 17.00
• Eintracht Frankfurt - 19.00

Odds from Bet365

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What prediction for the top scorer in the Europa League?

Betting on a competition's top scorer is becoming increasingly popular in the world of sports betting, and it's easy to see why! It's very exciting to be able to watch the games and hope to see your selection score as many goals as possible.

Bookmakers offer top scorer odds on many competitions, and the Europa League is no exception. Given that the level of play from the teams in this tournament is fairly even, the odds offered are generally very satisfactory, whether on the winner or the top scorer of the competition.

Here are the favourites at the beginning of the season:

• Marcus Rashford (Manchester United)
• Alexandre Lacazette (Lyon)
• Evanilson (FC Porto)
• Terem Moffi (Nice)
• Rasmus Højlund (Manchester United)
• Ciro Immobile (Lazio Rome)
• Galeno (FC Porto)
• Heung-min Son (Tottenham)
• Hugo Ekitike (Eintracht Frankfurt)

2024/25 Europa League top goalscorer odds

The odds are not currently available on online sports betting sites for the top scorer in the Europa League. In the meantime, head over to bet365 to see what other betting markets are available.

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Our predictions for the Europa League regular season

The old group stage format has come to an end, and we now have a single group containing all 36 teams taking part in the Europa League. Here are the dates announced for the first part of the tournament:

• Day 1 - 25 and 26 September 2024
• Day 2 - October 3, 2024
• Day 3 - 24 October 2024
• Day 4 - 7 November 2024
• Day 5 - 28 November 2024
• Day 6 - December 12, 2024
• Day 7 - 23 January 2025
• Day 8 - 30 January 2025

Let's move on to the composition of the single group, and our predictions for the qualifiers for the Round of 16! Below you can find our predictions for the top 8, who will qualify directly for the Round of 16, and for the next 16, who will go through to the play-offs (Round of 32).

Our prediction on who will qualify for the last 16 of the Europa League (top 8)

The new Europa League format presents us with a very difficult task. Previously, it was to find the two qualifiers out of four clubs in each pool, but now we have to make a prediction on the 8 teams that will finish top of this single pool.

In November 2024, it's rather hard to make predictions as the qualifiers are unknown and the draw is not revealed yet.

The two favourites to win are of course the Red Devils and Spurs. Manchester United and Tottenham will definitely not be missing out.

After that, we can picture AS Roma, Athletic Bilbao, FC Porto, Real Sociedad, Lazio and Lyon among the top 8!

Our Europa League prediction for the qualifiers: Manchester United, Tottenham, AS Roma, Athletic Bilbao, Lazio, Real Sociedad, FC Porto and Lyon in the last 16!

Odds on the favourites to finish top 8

• Lazio - 1.03
• Athletic Club - 1.12
• Tottenham - 1.14
• Ajax - 1.25
• Galatasaray - 1.33
• Man Utd - 1.40
• Frankfurt - 1.50
• Lyon - 1.72

The odds are not currently available on online sports betting sites for the top eight in the Europa League. In the meantime, head over to bet365 to see what other betting markets are available.

Our prediction for the qualifiers for the Europa League play-offs (9th to 24th place)

Imagining the play-offs is certainly even more complicated than imagining the last 16. And, since we have selected our clubs for the top 8, there are now 24 teams in the running to contest the play-offs (round of 32). We therefore need to make a prediction on which of the 16 teams will finish between 9th and 24th in the single pool.

The Turkish teams are looking strong and will be top contenders for the remaining eight spots in the play-off round. French club OGC Nice and German side Frankfurt will likely be the ‘best of the rest’ and should book their spot. 

As for a surprise team, Norway’s Bodo/Glimt have been gaining plenty of European experience over the years and tend to exceed expectations in those competitions.

Champions of last season’s Conference League, Greek side Olympiakos are proven in Europe and should be considered one of the favorites to emerge from the 9th-24th play-off. Below you'll see our prediction for which teams will secure a 9th-24th finish and prevail in their play-off to make it to the last 16.

Our Europa League play-off qualifiers prediction: Nice, Frankfurt, Galatasaray, Fenerbahce, Besiktas, Bodo/Glimt, Olympiakos and Ajax!

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Beginners Guide - how does the UEFA Europa League work?

The Europa League is Europe's second most important football competition. Although less prestigious than the Champions League, it has nonetheless continued to evolve over the last ten years to become a prestigious and increasingly closely-followed competition.

The latest winners of the competition include Sevilla, Chelsea, Manchester United, Villarreal, Eintracht Frankfurt, Atlético Madrid and most recently, Atalanta. Among participants in recent seasons are Arsenal, Tottenham, Milan, Napoli, Ajax Amsterdam, Benfica, FC Porto, FC Barcelona, ​​Dinamo Zagreb, Celtic Glasgow, Young Boys and Olympique de Marseille.

However, as with the other two European competitions, a new format is applied this year. The format is 36 teams in a single pool, with the top 8 advancing to the last 16, the next 16 (9th to 24th place) qualifying for the play-offs (round of 32), and the bottom 16 (25th to 36th place) being eliminated from all European competitions.

It's not the same as it used to be: there are no longer any Champions League or Conference League repechage places, and the bottom 12 will be eliminated directly. For the qualified clubs, after the play-offs to determine the other 8 qualified teams, there will once again be a knockout phase, with home-and-away matches, the round of 16, the quarter-finals and the semi-finals, culminating in the final to crown the European champion. It's more straightforward compared to the old format.

• Qualifying rounds during the summer (11 July to 15 August)
• Play-offs at the end of August (8, 15, 22 and 29)
• Draw for matches on 30 August
• League phase with 8 matches for each team (36 clubs in total)
• The top 8 teams qualify for the last 16
• The next 16 qualify for the play-offs
• The bottom 12 are eliminated from all European competitions (no repechage into the Conference League)
• Play-off draw on 31 January
• Play-offs (two legs on 13 and 20 February 2025)
• Round of 16 draw on 21 February
• Round-robin knockout matches from the play-offs to the final (21 May 2025)

Last year, Atalanta Bergamo won the Europa League. The trophy was awarded to a club that had been working well for many years, and had been present in Europe for several editions. Who will succeed Gian Piero Gasperini's team in the 2024-25 edition? Make your predictions!

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How to make good match predictions when betting on Europa League matches with bookmakers?

Let's move on to the subject that will be of great interest to you: the factors to take into account before betting on a Europa League football match. Here are the best tips our betting experts can give you to increase the chances of your Europa League bets being winning ones.

• Look at the form of the key players in the Europa League
• How important is the Europa League to each club?
• Compare the bookmakers' odds to get the best prices
• Take into account how important the Europa League game is
• Use statistics to predict Europa League matches

By applying these Europa League betting tips, you'll have a good chance of your bets being winning ones. Now we'll go into more detail on each tip so you understand why they're important.

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Look at the form of key players in the Europa League

Firstly, you'll need to keep an eye on the form of your key players. By this we mean that a team will often be dependent on its best players in European competition. If a player of the caliber of Salah or Mac Allister is not in form then that won't help Liverpool. If that is the case, then if up against strong opposition, think twice before betting on them. 

Similarly, find out if any players are suspended, injured or being rested before you place your bet. Such knowledge will have a big influence on the bet you eventually place.  

How important is the Europa League to each club?

It is important to note that not every club will make the Europa League their top priority. Being successful in their domestic league might be a higher priority. This means that some teams could be unlikely to field their strongest lineups when playing in the Europa League, especially in the group stages. When the competition is at the knockout stages, they are likely to field stronger lineups. 

Look at whether a club will be making wholesale changes for their next Europa League game. Those clubs with strong squads can do this and still get good results. However, those who don't have strength in depth may struggle. The smaller clubs do tend to field strong lineups as they look to make a name for themselves on the European stage. 

Compare bookmaker odds to get the best prices

We can't stress this enough: don't forget to compare sports betting sites and odds before betting on the Europa League. Different odds are available at each bookmaker, so ensure you get the best. 

For your part, you'll need to have an account with a number of different sites in order to place your bet at the best potential payout. For example, if Liverpool play Toulouse, bet365 may have odds of 1.5 on them winning. However, at Vbet, the odds are 1.55, so a higher profit can be made if placing your bet with them. Keep an eye out, as your winnings can be increased substantially in the long term!

Take into account the importance of the Europa League match

Some Europa League games will be more important than others. This was particularly the case in the previous group stage structure, and we imagine that it will continue to be so in the new structure. If a team has already won the group, then they won’t need to field a strong lineup for their next match. Betting on them to win, especially against a side that has a lot to play for, isn’t totally advisable. 

More league phase games are likely to be important now due to the bonus attached to finishing top. Doing so takes a team into the last 16 and sees them avoid having two more games to play in the knockout play-off round. A club that is completely out of contention may be tempted to play a greatly weakened side.

In the knockout stages, more importance is given to games. This is even more so when a club needs to win the Europa League to qualify for next season’s Champions League.

Using statistics to predict Europa League matches

It is always important to look at the statistical information that is available. Doing so will be of great assistance to the bets you place on the Europa League. Knowing which teams are in form and those who aren't is vital information. Never underestimate how important a task this is. However, it's best to look at Europa League form if a side is making lots of changes from that which they field in other competitions.

That's why we offer you a wealth of data on the Europa League and many other competitions, which can help you boost your online sports betting results. It's up to you to know how to use them!

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What not to do for your UEFA Europa League predictions

To complete the free advice given in the previous section, here's what you absolutely must not do when making your Europa League predictions, otherwise you'll lose money foolishly. Here are a few habits you'll want to avoid:

• Place a Europa League bet on a whim without doing any research
• Betting on your favourite team or player even if they aren’t playing well
• Taking risks by placing too high a stake on a Europa League bet
• Betting without paying attention to the value of the Europa League odds
• Betting on a match with nothing at stake in the league phase
• Not diversifying your predictions and betting on just one type of market
• Place accumulators that include too many Europa League matches

Do your best not to repeat these habits when betting on the 2024-25 Europa League, as they will adversely affect your chances of success. If it helps, you can make a note of these bad practices as a reminder, or even check this page regularly, especially as new information is added as the competition progresses. By avoiding these mistakes, you will increase your chances of success in football betting, and in particular in the Europa League.

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Europa League: statistics you need to know to bet on the matches

As we mentioned in our Europa League tips, statistics and other figures are a great help when it comes to placing a football prediction on the 2024-25 Europa League. To make things easier for you, here are the main statistics from the previous campaign (2023-24):

• Home wins: 52%
• Draws: 20%
• Away wins: 28%
• Average goals: 3.16 goals per game
• +0.5 goals: 97%
• +1.5 goals: 82%
• +2.5 goals: 63%
• +3.5 goals: 40%
• +4.5 goals: 21%
• Goal timing distribution: 76-90 minutes (20%)
• First half goals: 47%
• Second half goals: 53%
• "Both teams score: yes": 60%
• Clean sheet percentage: 43%
• Correct score 0-0: 3.4% of matches
• Correct score 1-1: 10.3% of matches
• Correct score 1-0 or 0-1: 14.3% of matches
• Most frequent score: 2-1 home win (10.9% of games)
• Most frequent halftime score: 0-0 (20.6% of games)

First things first, it's clear that the Europa Leauge is one of the most exciting club competitions to bet on! The average of 3.16 goals per game ranks it above most of the top 5 European domestic leagues. Furthermore, both teams finding the net at a rate of 60% is a very encouraging statistic for fans wanting to see plenty of goals.

Secondly, as in most other major European competitions, the game is strongly forward-looking, with teams that are effective in front of their opponents' goal. This is borne out by the very low statistic of the exact 0-0 scoreline, which was only observed in 3.4% of Europa League matches during the previous season. In the vast majority of cases, there was at least 3 goals scored in the match, and the exact score that was validated most often was 2-1 ( or the reverse 1-2) which concerned 16.6% of matches last season. 

With this historically being a very goal-rich competition, we can see the Over 3.5, which has passed in more than 40% of matches, being a very attractive betting market for the coming 2024-25 Europa League season. If your analysis leads you to place an "Over" bet, don't hesitate to go for the big money, as there have been 4 or more goals scored in 1 out of 4 matches!

Finally, and this is the same for most other competitions in Europe, home teams have an advantage, with one match in two won by the host club last year. The home crowd, familiarity, motivation and many other factors tend to give home teams the edge over their opponents. In a match between two teams of a similar level on paper, it's the detail that can make the difference, don't forget!

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In short: how to make the right Europa League predictions?

To conclude, don't forget to analyze in depth each Europa League match you want to bet on, so as not to miss any details and to be able to play interesting odds.

Make sure you also take into account the advice we have given you earlier on this page, and avoid certain mistakes that are unfortunately all too common among punters.

Finally, don't forget that at SportyTrader we're offering you a number of 100% free Europa League predictions. You can take advantage of them a few days before the start of a match, and you'll save time as well as benefiting from expert analysis. This way, you don't need to be a football specialist to be able to bet and thrill to Europa League matches.

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Our current Europa League predictions

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Europa League: best odds

To improve your results on the Europa League, do not hesitate to compare the Europa League odds, and to follow the evolution of the scores thanks to our Europa League Livescore. This will be a great help when it comes to making accurate Europa League 2024/25 predictions.

The images featuring this article are licensed from the IMAGO website.