Euro 2024 Predictions & Betting tips
On this page, you can find our prediction for the winner of Euro 2024, as well as our expert opinion and all our predictions for the matches at the European Football Championship.
Prediction of the winner: who will win Euro 2024?
With the dust now settled and 51 matches in the books, it's Spain that can call themselves European champions for a record fourth time in their nation's history. The curtain-closing final match saw Luis de la Fuente's La Roja facing off against Gareth Southgate's Three Lions at the Olympiastadion in Berlin. Spain were the more fancied side by the bookmakers and betting public after a series of scintillating performances en route to the final. They also had the much more difficult path, having to go through the likes of host nation Germany and 2018 World Cup champions France.
On the other side, England were seeking to finally put an end to their 58-year major international trophy drought. They once again made it to the final stage, three years removed from their penalty shootout loss to Italy in 2021. Unfortunately for the English fans, they would once again have to settle for being the runners-up after a 2-1 win for the Spaniards.
The match appeared to be heading to extra time after Cole Palmer's 73rd minute goal for England evened the score up at 1-1. It was Real Sociedad's Mikel Oyarzabal who stepped up for his country, giving Spain the lead just four minutes from the end of regulation time. With their Euro 2024 triumph, Spain now move clear atop the European championship winners standings with their four titles. They were previously tied with Germany at three apiece.
The result for Euro 2024: Spain are European champions!
Odds to win the Euro 2024 Final
The Euro 2024 tournament is now complete meaning that there are no betting odds on offer. You can check out what other competitions and sports are available by heading over to Bet365.
Check out the outright odds on Euro 2024!
Euro 2024 Qualifiers Prediction: Semi-finals
Only four teams remain in the 2024 European Championship! There haven't been too many surprises, with many of the bookmakers' top favourites making it to this stage. Below you'll see the fixtures for the remaining teams:
- Spain - France (Tuesday 9 July - 20:00 BST): Spain advances after a 2-1 victory
- Netherlands - England (Wednesday 10 July - 20:00 BST): England advances after a 2-1 victory
Both semi-final ties look to be excellent fixtures. Spain have been arguably the best performing side in the competition so far but they will now have to overcome the 2018 World Cup winners France. The French were the bookmakers' favourite to lift the trophy before the tournament started but they find themselves as slight underdogs in this matchup. Meanwhile, England have a shot to make back-to-back Euro finals after finishing as runners-up to Italy in 2021. Gareth Southgate's side have not been performing especially well up to this point and needed a couple of late goals to keep their tournament hopes alive in the round of 16 and quarter-finals. With that being said, they still find themselves in the final four and are favoured over the Dutch to progress to the final.
As for our predictions, we believe the experience of the French side will benefit them and see them past La Roja, while the Three Lions should have just enough to squeeze by the Oranje.
Euro 2024 qualifiers: odds to make the Final
- England - 1.72
- Netherlands - 2.10
Odds taken from Bet365
Euro 2024 Betting Tips: who will score the most goals?
Along with betting on the eventual Euro winners and betting on the teams that will emerge from the group stage, betting on the competition's top scorer is the third main bet offered by online sports betting sites.
The competition for this award promises to be fierce in Germany this year with a number of world-class players in front of goal.
Top Goalscorer: bookmaker's odds
The Euro 2024 tournament is in the books, meaning there are no odds available for the top goalscorer award. In the meantime, check out Bet365 for more competitions and sports!
Euro 2024 has come to a close with six players ultimately sharing the Golden Boot award: Harry Kane, Dani Olmo, Cody Gakpo, Georges Mikautadze, Jamal Musiala and Ivan Schranz. Our prediction of Harry Kane to win the award had an opportunity to pull clear in the final match of the tournament but neither the Bayern Munich forward, nor RB Leipzig's Dani Olmo for that matter, were able to seperate themselves from the pack. The result of the Euro 2024 Top Goalscorer award: England's Harry Kane and 5 others share the accolades!
Euro 2024 Qualifiers Prediction: Quarter-finals - Phase completed
We're down to the final eight teams in Euro 2024! There were a few close calls for some of the big-name nations in the round of 16 along with plenty of drama. Take a look at the quarter-final draw below:
- Spain - Germany (Friday 5 July - 17:00 BST): Spain advances after a 2-1 (AET) victory
- Portugal - France (Friday 5 July - 20:00 BST): France advances after a 0-0 (5-3 penalty shootout) victory
- England - Switzerland (Saturday 6 July - 17:00 BST): England advances after a 1-1 (5-3 penalty shootout) victory
- Netherlands - Turkey (Saturday 6 July - 20:00 BST): Netherlands advaces after a 2-1 victory
There are some absolute blockbuster fixtures in store for football fans with the pick of the bunch undoubtedly Spain vs Germany on Friday. With the way both teams have been performing this tournament, whichever team emerges victorious is going to be the favourite going forward. The bottom half of the draw is much easier proposition by comparison, with fans of the Three Lions hoping that this will finally be their year to win a major international competition. Great odds are waiting for you at Bet365 for these quarter-finals matches!
Euro 2024 Qualifiers Prediction: Round of 16 - Phase completed
- Switzerland - Italy (Saturday 29 June - 17:00): Switzerland advances after a 2-0 victory
- Germany - Denmark (Saturday 29 June - 20:00): Germany advances after a 2-0 victory
- England - Slovakia (Sunday 30 June - 17:00): England advances after a 2-1 (AET) victory
- Spain - Georgia (Sunday 30 June - 20:00): Spain advances after a 4-1 victory
- France - Belgium (Monday 1 July - 17:00): France advances after a 1-0 victory
- Portugal - Slovenia (Monday 1 July - 20:00) Portugal advances after a 0-0 (3-0 penalty shootout) victory
- Romania - Netherlands (Tuesday 2 July - 17:00): Netherlands advances after a 3-0 victory
- Austria - Turkey (Tuesday 2 July - 20:00): Turkey advances after a 2-1 victory
Euro 2024 group stage prediction - Phase completed
The group stages of Euro 2024 promise to be a great spectacle on each day of the competition.
Played out between the 14th and the 26th of June, the group stage pits all the nations involved against each other as they attempt to qualify for the rest of the competition (see here for more details on how the Euros work).
Below is our prediction for each group, with the likely winner and the potential qualifiers for the rest of the competition.
All Odds taken from Bet365
Group A Prediction: (Germany, Scotland, Hungary, Switzerland)
Group A of the 2024 European Championship features the host country Germany as well as Switzerland, Scotland and Hungary. Germany is the clear favourite to claim the top spot on home soil given the competition, although nothing can be taken for granted. If they are to guarantee a spot in the Round of 16 (and therefore finish second in the group), we can see Switzerland doing the job.
Our prediction for Group A: Germany wins
Current Group A standings
- Germany - 7 points (+6 goal differential)
- Switzerland - 5 points (+2 GD)
- Hungary - 3 points (-3 GD)
- Scotland - 1 point (-5 GD)
Group A has come to a close and we now know the first two teams that will advance to the knockout stages! Germany came into their third and final group stage match against Switzerland as sizable favorites but were playing catch-up after a Dan Ndoye fired the Swiss in front after 28 minutes. The host nation was able to rally and pull off a last minute equalizer courtesy of Niclas Füllkrug to grab a 1-1 draw and seal first-place in the group standings! Switzerland also advance in second-place after defeating Hungary and drawing Scotland. Hungary's 1-0 win in the 90+10' over Scotland gives them a chance to advance as one of the best third-placed tams, but they will need a number of other results to go their way.
Euro Group B Prediction: (Spain, Croatia, Italy, Albania)
Group B at Euro 2024 is undoubtedly the group of death. Between Spain, Italy and Croatia, the Albanians have not inherited an easy group and will have to perform miracles to see out the rest of the competition. Perhaps more straightforward than their rivals, and with a balanced squad, Spain represents a good bet for the winner of the first round.
Our Group B prediction: Spain wins
Current Group B standings:
- Spain - 9 points (+5 GD)
- Italy - 4 points (0 GD)
- Croatia - 2 points (-3 GD)
- Albania - 1 point (-2 GD)
The second group at Euro 2024 has come to a close and it's Spain and Italy who are going through! The Spaniards cruised through the group phase, winning all three of their matches and having yet to concede a goal. Italy and Croatia faced off in matchday 3 with second-place and automatic qualification on the line. Croatia looked to be headed towards a victory after Luka Modric fired home in the 55th minute, only to be denied yet again at the death with Mattia Zaccagni scoring one of the goals of the tournament in the final minute of stoppage time. Croatia are still not officially eliminated, but they would need a series of other results to go perfectly if they are to progress as one of the best third-placed teams with only 2 points.
Check out Spain's odd in Euro 2024
Euro Group C Prediction: (Slovenia, Denmark, Serbia, England)
Jude Bellingham's England are the clear favourites in Group C. Even if Denmark should never be discounted and both Slovenia (Jan Oblak, Benjamin Šeško) and Serbia have talented players (Dušan Tadić, Dušan Vlahović), the Three Lions are still a cut above the rest and should have no trouble finishing top. It's a bet we recommend you try with the bookmakers, as the odds are particularly good in January. For second place, the Danes look well equipped to get the better of the Slovenians and the Serbs.
Our prediction for Group C: England wins
Current Group C standings:
- England - 5 points (+1 GD)
- Denmark - 3 point (0 GD)
- Slovenia - 3 point (0 GD)
- Serbia - 1 points (-1 GD)
It was a uneventful end to what has been an rather drab Group C in Euro 2024. Of the six total matches involving all teams, five would ultimately finish as draws. The group was summed up well by the matchday three performances, as England vs Slovenia and Denmark vs Serbia would both end in goalless draws. England wound up on top of the pile after claiming the only victory in the group, their 1-0 win over Serbia in matchday one. The Three Lions are joined by Denmark, who edged out Slovenia thanks to their higher European Qualifiers ranking after both teams finished with identical records, goal differential, goals scored and yellow cards received.
Euro Group D Prediction: (Netherlands, Austria, France, Poland)
Won by 4-5 in the penalty shoot-out in the Path-A final, Poland reached a fifth consecutive Euro Finals and joined the Netherlands, Austria and France in this fourth group of the competition.
France, with one of the best squads in the competition and a World Cup final to their name, should logically dominate this group. The Netherlands, for their part, have everything they need to take second place at the very least.
Our prediction for Group D: France wins
Current Group D standings:
- Austria - 6 points (+2 GD)
- France - 5 points (+1 GD)
- Netherlands - 4 points (0 GD)
- Poland - 1 point (-3 GD)
One of the biggest surprises of Euro 2024 so far occured in Group D after a wild final round of fixtures. Ralf Rangnick's Austria continue to impress after a dramatic 3-2 win over the Netherlands combined with France's 1-1 draw with Poland saw Das Team top the group. They will now head into the Round of 16 with an excellent draw as they will play the second-place Group F team (likely Turkey or Czechia). The French conceded a late penalty which was slotted home by Robert Lewandowski to deny them of the three points and first-place. The Netherlands' four points means they will qualify as one of the best third-placed teams.
Group E Predictions (Belgium, Slovakia, Romania, Ukraine)
Ukraine managed to secure the last ticket by winning the play-offs and will meet Belgium, Slovakia and Romania in this group stage of Euro 2024.
Group E should be a good one for the Belgian Red Devils, who are in the midst of a revival since the arrival of Domenico Tedesco at the helm. The battle for second place should be fierce.
Our prediction for Group E: Belgium wins
Current Group E standings:
- Romania - 4 points (+1 GD)
- Belgium - 4 points (+1 GD)
- Slovakia - 4 points (0 GD)
- Ukraine - 4 points (-2 GD)
Group E put up another huge shock with tournament longshots Romania edging out heavy favorites Belgium to claim the top spot. It was the first time in the European Championships that all four teams finished on 4 points each and also represented the first time that a team secured 4 points yet finished in fourth-place. Romania and Slovakia were happy to play out a 1-1 draw in their matchday three fixture as it assured each of them a spot in the round of 16. Ukraine, meanwhile, found themselves needing to go for the win against Belgium in their final match yet could not breakdown the Belgian rearguard. The match would ultimately finish 0-0 with Belgium opting not to go for the win late despite the much easier draw they would have received for topping the group.
Group F Prediction (Turkey, Portugal, Czech Republic, Georgia)
Finally, Group F of Euro 2024 is set with Georgia winning themselves the final qualifying ticket by beating Greece in penalties at the end of the qualifying play-offs. Georgia, led by coach Willy Sagnol and being the first time taking part in the Euro finals in their history, will have the chance to face Portugal, Turkey and the Czech Republic in the final group of the 2024 European Championships.
Three tough opponents on paper, all boasting players of immense quality on every line. Given their squad and recent experience, Portugal are of course the favourites for first place. For the second qualifying place, Turkey could take advantage of the enormous support of their community in Germany to perform well.
Our Group F prediction: Portugal wins
Current Group F Standings:
- Portugal - 6 points (+2 GD)
- Turkey - 6 points (0 GD)
- Georgia - 4 points (0 GD)
- Czechia - 1 point (-2 GD)
The final group saw Georgia pull off a matchday three miracle as they were able to upset heavy favorites Portugal and claim a 2-0 victory. The result, combined with Turkey's stoppage time 2-1 victory over Czechia, means that the Georgians qualified as one of the best third-placed teams. It's the first time in Georgia's history that they have qualified for the knockout stages at an international tournament. As for Portugal, fans have every right to feel worried as, although they had already qualified as group winners, their performance in the final match of the group stage was shocking. Will they be able to improve in the round of 16?
To sum up, the format of the European Championship (see below) and the fact that four of the six third-placed teams qualify for the last 16 leaves little room for surprises. In any case, SportyTrader's experts do not see any big nations not emerging from the group phase. Logic should prevail throughout Germany.
Beginners to sports betting - how does Euro 2024 work and what is its format?
Now that you're familiar with our various predictions, and just before we look at our free Euro 2024 tips for correctly predicting each match, let's tackle something important: how the 2024 European Championship works.
Euro 2024 brings together a total of 24 nations to compete for the title of European football champions.
Held every four years, the competition is one of the toughest on the planet in terms of level, and sometimes more difficult to win than a World Cup. That, at least, is the opinion of many players who are still active.
In terms of format, the competition begins with a group phase, in which the 24 teams are divided into six pools of four. Played between the 14th and the 26th of June 2024, this first phase sees each team in a group compete in a sort of mini-championship.
At the end of the three-game phase, the teams ranked first and second in their group qualify for the last 16, and the teams ranked third also have a chance of qualifying.
In fact, four of the six best third-placed teams in terms of points also earn a place in the last 16 of the European Championship. If Italy, for example, finished third in Group B with three points and at the same time, the third-placed teams in two other groups finish with fewer points, the Italians are still in the competition.
In the end, this system leaves little room for surprises and greatly favours the major nations of European football.
Once all the qualifiers are known, the rest of the competition (the 29th of June - the 14th of July) moves into knockout mode. The winners of the Round of 16 qualify for the quarter-finals, the winners of the quarter-finals qualify for the semi-finals, and the winners of the semi-finals qualify for the final.
In the event of a draw at the end of normal time in this second phase of the tournament, the teams will first go into extra time and then possibly into a penalty shoot-out. A programme that should make Euro 2024 predictions the most interesting of your sporting year.
Things to remember about the organisation of the Euros for your football predictions
- 24 teams qualify
- Group stage (six pools of four) from the 14th to the 26th of June 2024
- 1st and 2nd in a group qualify for the Round of 16
- Four of the six best third-placed teams qualify for the Round of 16
- Knockout matches from the 29th of June to the 14th of July 2024
- Round of 16, quarters, semi-finals and final
- No match for 3rd place
Before making your betting strategy for Euro 2024, always bear in mind the format of the competition. This will undoubtedly help you avoid the pitfalls on the final day of the group phase.
Our tips for predicting Euro 2024 matches
Now that you have familiarised yourself with our various predictions and the format of the European competition, here is our general advice on how to make the right prediction for each Euro 2024 match.
If applied correctly, these betting tips will enable you to place better bets with online bookmakers and get even closer to the right predictions.
Our main tips:- Check their current form
- Analyse the squads for Euro 2024
- Check for major absentees
- Take into account European rivalry
- Understand the history of head-to-head meetings in Europe
By taking these five tips into account, you should be able to make better predictions about the tournament. Want more details on each? We'll tell you all about it in the next few lines.
Check their current form
First of all, you need to check the latest results of the two teams you are predicting if you don't want to make a mistake.
For example, did one side win their last match, while their opponent took a beating? In that case, it would be better to go for the team with the victory, as the momentum and confidence will be on their side.
So, before placing your bet, make sure you look at the latest results obtained by both sides. This will always be important.
Analysing the squad for Euro 2024
Secondly, you need to analyse the teams present on both sides of the pitch.
Can a team count on talented players in every position? Are the key players fit? Are there any injured players who will reduce the chances of performing well off the bench?
These are all questions you need to ask yourself before making a prediction about a Euro 2024 match.
This is even truer for the 'small nations', who rely heavily on two or three individuals to perform well.
Bet on your favourite team at Bet365
Check if there are any major absentees
In the same vein as the previous point, you also need to take stock of any absentees if you want to make as many Euro 2024 predictions as possible.
If, for example, Mike Maignan and Kylian Mbappé are injured or suspended for a French team match, you may have to think twice before predicting success for France.
For each prediction on these Euro 2024 matches, don't forget to find out which players are unavailable. A major absence will always be decisive.
Take into account the European rivalry
Don't forget to consider any rivalry between the two teams.
In a France-Portugal, France-Italy or Germany-England match, for example, the rivalries are great and one-sided matches are rare.
So if you spot a match between two historic rivals, beware: it's the same context as a derby in the Premier League.
Understanding the history of head-to-head meetings in Europe
Finally, one last piece of advice: it's still very important to take into account the history of head-to-head meetings between the two teams.
For example, if France starts as favourites against the Netherlands but the latter are unbeaten in 6 years and 9 meetings against the French (fictitious example), you should probably reconsider your bet if you were going to bet on Didier Deschamps' men.
This reasoning should be applied to every match at Euro 2024, particularly during the group stage. Remember that knockout matches are always tense, whatever happens.
By working on these five points systematically, you should have a better chance of making reliable predictions for this 17th edition of the European Championship.
Although other aspects are also important, these pillars should be given priority when analysing the match you want to bet on.
What not to do when making your Euro 2024 predictions
As well as following our advice and the best practices outlined in the paragraph above, there are some things you should avoid doing if you want to make a successful prediction on the European tournament.
Here are some of the things you shouldn't do when betting on Euro 2024:
- Only take a team's prestige into account
- Ignore what's at stake in the match
- Bet too much on your favourite team
- Place a bet after losing to "make up for it".
- Not paying attention to tactical schemes
- Betting too much live and losing your nerve
- Favouring the favourites without analysing the match
By avoiding these seven bad habits, your Euro 2024 match predictions will become more reliable and you should have a better chance of performing well with the bookmakers.
European Nations Championship statistics for your Euro 2024 predictions
Now that you know our predictions, the format of the competition and the best practices to adopt around Euro 2024, let's finally talk about the statistical part of the competition.
To make the right predictions for Euro football, it's essential to know the key figures for the tournament.
To help you make the right predictions during the competition, here are the Euro statistics you need to know before placing your wagers.
These stats were collected during the most recent edition of the tournament, which was played in the four corners of Europe.
- Average number of goals in the group stage: 2.61 goals per match
- Average number of goals from the Round of 16 onwards: 2.73 goals per game
- Average number of goals throughout the tournament: 2.65 goals per match
- Matches with +1.5 goals in the group phase: 72
- Matches with +1.5 goals from the Round of 16 onwards: 87
- Matches with +1.5 goals during the tournament: 76
- Matches with +2.5 goals in the group stage: 50
- Matches with +2.5 goals from the round of 16 onwards: 40%.
- Matches with +2.5 goals over the entire tournament: 47
- Matches with +3.5 goals in the group stage: 28
- Matches with +3.5 goals from the round of 16 onwards: 27
- Matches with +3.5 goals for the whole tournament: 27
- Matches in which both teams scored in the group stage: 44
- Matches in which both teams scored from the Round of 16 onwards: 60%.
- Matches in which both teams scored throughout the tournament: 49
- Victories by a single goal in the group stage: 33
- Victories by a single goal from the Round of 16 onwards: 20
- Victories by one goal over the duration of the tournament: 29
- Victories by 2 goals or more in the group stage: 42
- Victories by 2 goals or more from the Round of 16 onwards: 27
- Victories by 2 goals or more for the entire tournament: 37
- Most frequent score in the group stage: 1-0 (22% of matches)
- Most frequent score from the Round of 16 onwards: 1-1 (33% of matches)
- Most frequent score over the duration of the tournament: 1-0 and 1-1 (18% of matches each)
- Ratio of draws in the group stage: 22%.
- The ratio of draws from the Round of 16 onwards: 47%.
- The ratio of draws over the duration of the tournament: 29%
- Penalty shoot-out ratio: 27% (matches from the Round of 16 onwards)
Note that for these statistics, only the 90 minutes of regulation time and injury time have been taken into account. The goals scored in extra time have not been taken into account, in accordance with the bookmakers' usual rules.
In a nutshell: how do you correctly predict Euro 2024 matches?
To sum up, there is no secret to successful predictions during Euro 2024. Match analysis, statistical knowledge and the adoption of good betting practices will be the keys to your success with the bookmakers.
Never bet without studying a match, and only bet what you can afford to lose. Remember that sports betting is a hobby and should never be a source of essential income for you. If that's clear to you, good luck with your betting on Euro 2024!
Our Euro 2024 Predictions of the moment
There are no previews at the moment for this competition
Euro 2024 - All the online betting odds
Odds are not yet available for this competition.
Do you want to follow all the matches live and make the best bets live? Follow all the matches live on our Euro 2024 Livescore. Line-ups, scores, stats, commentary... all the information you need is available free of charge and in real time. Make the most of it!
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