EFL League One Predictions & Betting tips

Check out our free prediction on the 2024-25 EFL League One winner, including the latest odds relating to the race for promotion, the Golden Boot winner and potential relegation candidates. All the information for your sports betting can be found below.

EFL League One 2024-25 Presentation and Predictions

The English Football League One, also referred to as the Sky Bet League One, or simply League One within the UK, is the second level of the English Football League (EFL) pyramid and the third tier in terms of the overall structure of England’s football league system. England’s football pyramid is among the most expansive globally, encompassing even the further reaches of the country. The EFL system, founded by the father of modern-day football William McGregor, drives the professional tiers, with the Premier League standing separately at the very top. With the financial resources, and therefore calibre of players available to clubs in League One being much more even than in the Premier League, upset results and favourable betting odds on ‘underdogs’ are much more common, making it a potentially profitable betting option with a little bit of guidance if you’re not an avid lower-league follower. 

Below you will find some of our experts’ insights and tips.

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Winners Prediction: Who will win the 2024/25 League One Title?

As if asserting dominance in the highly competitive League One was not difficult enough, this season is shaping up to be all the more challenging for participating teams with a few very capable sides joining the division from both League Two, as well as dropping in from the Championship. Looking to head straight back to England’s second tier are Birmingham City, Huddersfield Town and Rotherham United, who were relegated from the Championship last season.

After the first five games of the season, the Blues are right in the mix, second place in the league standings and one of three sides tied on 13 points at the top of the table. The Terriers have also made a positive start to the campaign, just one point off the leading pack, while the Millers, who ended bottom of the Championship last term, are continuing their downward trajectory, currently languishing in 17th place. 

The real headline makers in League One this season, though, are undoubtedly Wrexham, who under Ryan Reynolds and Rob McElhenney’s ownership, have earned back-to-back promotions, and are already sitting at the summit of the league table owing to their superior goal difference. However, if you fancy the Dragons to earn promotion then you have to consider Stockport County as a potential candidate as well having beaten Wrexham to the League Two title last season. 

Our prediction to win the 2024/25 League One title: Birmingham City!

EFL League One 2024-25 winner: All teams odds to win the title 

While there is still bound to be plenty of of changes to the current prices offered in the title race, here’s a look at how the bookmakers currently view the 2024-25 League One season unfolding: 

• Birmingham - 2.73 
• Huddersfield - 7.0
• Wrexham - 9.0
• Stockport - 14.0
• Charlton - 16.0
• Bolton - 20.0
• Barnsley - 25.0
• Peterborough United - 40.0
• Rotherham - 40.0
• Blackpool - 40.0

Odds taken from Bet365

As mentioned, with the League One competition being one of the most competitive across England, odds rarely remain stagnant for too long, so if you have your eye on a specific side, it might be worth jumping on them before their prices plummet. 

There are also plenty of attractive bonuses and promotions available from most of the biggest bookmakers on our list, so be sure to take advantage of them!

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Top goal-scorer prediction in the 2024-25 EFL League One

Last season, Charlton Athletic’s Alfie May won the Golden Boot in the EFL League One, netting 23 goals for his side across the campaign. Over the summer, the 31-year-old was snapped up by Birmingham City and has picked up where he left off, already the joint-top-scorer this season with four goals to his name in his first five matches for his new employers. 

May’s teammate Jay Stansfield has shot up the betting board after netting a brace against Wrexham last time out, while the Dragos frontman Jack Marriott, who is also on four goals already this season, is likely to be in the mix. 

The darkhorse for us in the race for the Golden Boot is Stockport’s Louie Barry, who notched up nine goals in 20 appearances for the Hatters on loan from Aston Villa Under-21s last season. 

Our 2024-25 EFL League top goalscorer prediction: Birmingham City’s Alfie May!

EFL League One 2024-25: Odds to win the Golden Boot

• Alfie May - 2.5
• Jay Stansfield - 4.75 
• Louie Barry - 10.0
• Jonson Clarke-Harris - 14.0
• Jack Marriott - 25.0
• Dion Charles - 25.0
• Lee Gregory - 25.0
• Matt Godden - 33.0
• Kyle Wootton - 33.0
• Paul Mullin - 33.0

Odds taken from Bet365 and BetVictor

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Who will be promoted from League One?

Just like in the Championship, three teams from League One will be promoted at the end of the season. The teams that finish first and second in the league standings will receive automatic promotion to the second tier, while the four teams that end third to sixth place will battle in the League One play-offs to earn the final coveted promotion berth. 

In addition to Birmingham City, we fancy the fairytale story of Wrexham to continue this season after an impressive start to life in the third tier. The Dragons, with the backing of one of Hollywood’s most beloved personalities, have captured the hearts of football lovers across the globe with their rags-to-riches story, and the unity between the team and its supporters could hold them in good stead come crunch time. 

The final spot is much trickier to decide on, with the likes of Huddersfield, Charlton and Bolton all being worthy candidates. However, we’re going with a bit of an outsider in Stockport to defy the odds and claim the third and final promotion berth. 

Our prediction to be promoted in the 2024/25 League One season: Birmingham City, Wrexham, Stockport County!

EFL League One 2024-25: Odds to be promoted to the Championship

• Birmingham - 1.0
• Huddersfield - 1.6
• Wrexham - 2.0
• Stockport - 2.75
• Bolton - 2.85
• Charlton - 4.5
• Barnsley - 7.0
• Peterborough United - 8.0
• Rotherham - 8.0
• Blackpool - 8.0
• Reading - 9.0
• Lincoln - 10.0

Odds taken from Bet365

Who will be relegated to League Two?

Unlike the promotion race where three teams move up a division, the relegation battle is slightly more high-stakes with the bottom four teams in League One being relegated to League Two next season. As things stand, Shrewsbury Town, currently second-bottom in the league standings, are most bookies' favourite to head to the third tier at the end of this term. 

Joining the Shrews in League Two next season could be Crawley Town, who despite doing remarkably well to win the League Two playoffs last season, have made a mixed start this term and could struggle later on in the campaign. Having failed to win a single of their first five games, including four losses and a draw, our final pick to be relegated from League One this season is Cambridge United, who avoided the drop by just five points in 2023-24. 

Our EFL League One relegation prediction: Shrewsbury Town, Crawley Town and Cambridge United!

EFL League One 2024-25: Odds to be relegated to League Two

• Shrewsbury - 1.36 
• Cambridge - 1.73 
• Burton - 2.2 
• Crawley - 2.4
• Northampton - 2.8  
• Exeter - 3.25
• Bristol Rovers - 3.5 
• Leyton Orient - 4.0
• Stevenage - 5.5 
• Wigan - 7.0
• Mansfield - 9.0
• Reading - 12.0
• Lincoln - 12.0

Odds taken from Bet365 and BetVictor

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Beginners Guide to how the EFL League One works

Starting with the basics - A total of 24 teams compete in the EFL League One, the same number of teams that contest the Championship but four more than in the Premier League. Each team will play 23 home games and 23 away games over the course of the season, accumulating the normal three points for a win, one point for a draw and no points for a loss.

At the end of the campaign, the teams that finish first and second in the final league standings receive automatic promotion to the Championship, while the teams placed third through sixth enter the playoffs with the winner securing the final promotion berth. 

In terms of relegation, while three teams suffer the drop in the Premier League and Championship, in League One, the bottom four teams drop to the lower division.

How to make good predictions on League One matches

Given the fairly evenly matched nature of the teams in League One, predicting outcomes can become a little tricky, especially if you’re making decisions blindly. Here are a few factors to consider in your League One betting decisions: 

• Utilize Team Form Analysis
• Consider the Fixture Schedule
• Pay Attention to Team Absences
• Factor in the Match Importance
• Analyze the Latest League One Statistics

While not foolproof, these tips will help you make better wager decisions if used correctly. Let’s break them down a little further.

Utilize team form analysis

Arguably the most obvious of strategies, analysing a team’s form will unpack a wealth of information that will be invaluable in your betting decisions. Pay attention to things like the team’s home vs away form and players who are performing well to identify potential market opportunities.

Consider the fixture schedule

With 24 teams competing in League One, along with FA Cup and EFL Cup commitments, matches can often come thick and fast, which can sometimes lead to a team playing two or even three games in a week. This is another crucial factor as a team playing too frequently may not be at the top of their powers, especially against a well-rested, fresher side.

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Pay attention to team absences

Indeed, big players have a major impact on teams’ performances in League One, and the absence of a star player could spell bad news for a side in a specific match, as well as your wager if you fancy that team to win. Be sure to keep up to date with player injuries and suspensions wherever possible.

Factor in the match importance

While every match carries the same number of points on offer, some games are just more important than others, particularly late on in the season when teams are jostling for league positions, be it for a playoff spot or to avoid relegation. The importance of the match can easily influence the performance of a team in the contest.

Analyze the Latest League One statistics

Finally, with the plethora of information available, it would be a foolish decision not to make use of it, as statistics are a sure-fire way to give your betting decisions some sort of foundation. Stats can be used in a variety of ways to find solid betting opportunities, but be sure to use only reliable sources, such as those found right here on SportyTrader.

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What not to do for your EFL League One predictions

When making predictions on the EFL League One, it is as important to follow certain practices as it is to avoid others. Below, we will provide you with the most common mistakes punters fall victim to, which often lead to losing bets. 

• Failing to analyze team form
• Allowing team bias to sway betting decisions
• Betting blindly without any information
• Chasing huge odds on underdogs
• Trying to recover losses from previous bets
• Neglecting team news and player absences
• Failing to compare odds from different bookies

While these may seem obvious at first glance, it’s truly astonishing how many bettors ignore one or more of these factors to their detriment. Avoid them at all costs!

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EFL League One predictions: statistics you need to know

As mentioned, using statistics is an excellent way to help improve the win percentage on your bets, and we’ve put together the most relevant figures from the 2023-24 campaign to help get you started. 

• An average of 2.59 goals were scored per match
• The home win percentage in the EFL League One was 42%
• Home teams in the EFL League One scored an average of 1.41 goals per game
• Home teams in the EFL League One conceded an average of 1.18 goals per game
• On average, home teams perform 18% better than away teams in League One
• 25% of EFL League One games ended in a draw
• The away win percentage in the EFL League One is 33%
• Away teams in the EFL League One scored an average of 1.18 goals per game
• Away teams in the EFL League One conceded an average of 1.41 goals per game
• Games that ended with fewer than three goals (280)
• Games that ended with more than three goals (277)
• The most common scoreline in the EFL League One was 1-1 (66)

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In short: how to make good EFL League One predictions?

While there is no exact science behind making good betting decisions, there are a few guidelines that can be followed which are sure to improve your success rate and increase your winnings. Chief among those guidelines are to stay in tune with the latest news relating to the league and conduct thorough research before placing wagers. 

Avoid the common pitfalls laid out above, and wherever possible, leverage insights from verified experts, such as those here at SportyTrader, who will be covering the entire 2024-25 EFL League One season, and providing their valuable predictions for you to take advantage of free of charge.

League One (England - Football): Predictions of the moment

League One (England - Football): Best odds