Carabao Cup Predictions & Betting tips
Find our free Carabao Cup prediction on the final winner, as well as our expert predictions on the 2024-2025 League Cup matches. Lots of information for your sports betting.
Carabao Cup Presentation and Predictions
The Carabao Cup is considered the secondary cup competition in English football. It doesn't have the long history of the FA Cup having not been launched until 1960. It's still an important trophy to win and last season saw Liverpool beat Chelsea 1-0 to lift the trophy.
The final takes place at Wembley with the winners earning a place in the Europa Conference League, unless qualified for one of the other European competitions. From the first round in August to the final in March 2025, our team of betting experts will be providing free betting tips to help you with your predictions.
League Cup Final Prediction: Who Will Lift the 2024-25 Carabao Cup?
Liverpool and Newcastle will head to Wembley to contest the first major trophy of the 2024/25 season in the Carabao Cup final. Liverpool are seeking to retain the cup after winning it last year as well as lift the trophy for the third time in the past four seasons. They made it past West Ham, Brighton, Southampton and Tottenham to reach this stage, capping off the semi-final tie with an emphatic 4-0 home win to overturn a 1-0 first leg loss.
Newcastle entered in the second round and overcame a tough road to the final. They beat Nottingham Forest, AFC Wimbledon, Chelsea, Brentford and Arsenal to advance to Wembley for only the second time in the last 25 years and first since they finished as runners-up in this competition in 2023.
Liverpool have been near faultless this season and have real shot at multiple trophies. At the time of writing (following the semi-final), the Reds have lost only three times this season in 37 matches across all competitions. Newcastle should put up a good fight, but this Liverpool team is simply a cut above the rest at the moment.
Therefore, our prediction to win the 2024-25 Carabao Cup final is: Liverpool!
Get the latest Carabao Cup odds
Carabao Cup Betting Tips: The Latest Carabao Cup Odds on the Title
Here are the latest outright odds heading into the second leg of the semi-final
- Liverpool - 1.40
- Newcastle - 3.00
Odds taken from Bet365
Carabao Cup Finalists Prediction: Who Will Reach the League Cup Final?
When you bet on the Carabao Cup, it’s not all about who will be the side that wins the trophy. You can also place wagers on a team reaching the Wembley final. A lot obviously depends on how the draw plays out now that we're down to the final eight teams. However, we could very well be in for another Arsenal vs Liverpool clash in the final of the 2024/25 Carabao Cup.
The Reds have been the most impressive team in the Premier League so far and will fancy their chances against any opponent. Liverpool and Arsenal don't play each other in the semi-finals, so we could see these two clubs play each other in March 2025.
Carabao Cup Prediction: The latest odds on who will reach the final
The odds on who will reach the final of the 2024-25 English League Cup aren’t currently available. In the meantime, we recommend heading over to Vbet to see the other betting markets on offer!
Semi-Final Results
It was a highly-entertaining semi-final in the English League Cup. Newcastle upset the odds to not only eliminate one of the favorites for the cup in Arsenal, but beat them in both legs! Liverpool were able to overcome a surprise first leg defeat to Tottenham to stroll to a resounding 4-1 aggregate victory thanks to a top class performance in the second leg. See the full results for the semi-finals below:
First leg
- Arsenal vs Newcastle: Newcastle won 2-0
- Tottenham vs Liverpool: Tottenham won 1-0
Second leg
- Newcastle vs Arsenal: Newcastle won 2-0 (4-0 aggregate)
- Liverpool vs Tottenham: Liverpool won 4-0 (4-1 aggregate)
Semi-Final Prediction
Next, let's take a look at the semi-final matchups. Remember, the semis consist of two legs while the final reverts to a one-off match (all times BST):
Arsenal vs Newcastle
- First leg: (Emirates Stadium) Tuesday, 7 January 2025, 20:00
- Return leg: (St. James' Park) Wednesday, 5 February 2025, 20:00
Tottenham vs Liverpool
- First leg: (Tottenham Hotspur Stadium) Wednesday, 8 January 2025, 20:00
- Return leg: (Anfield) Thursday, 6 February 2025, 20:00
Two mouth-watering fixtures in the Carabao Cup semi-final that are sure to deliver. First up, we believe Arsenal will ultimately get past Newcastle, although the Geordies are sure to put up a good fight as they are on a good stretch of form right now. Liverpool and Tottenham are two matches that have plenty of goal potential and we're expecting both to be high-scoring. Arne Slot's Liverpool are firing on all cylinders and we believe they will be the ones to knock out Spurs.
Do you agree with our predictions? Place your bets on the semi-finals now!
Quarter-Final Results
Things are starting to heat up in the English League Cup as we reach the semi-final! While there were no major surprises in terms of upsets, there was certainly entertaining matches that were chock-full of goals. Below you'll find the results of the quarter-final:
- Arsenal vs Crystal Palace: Arsenal advances 3-2
- Newcastle vs Brentford: Newcastle advances 3-1
- Southampton vs Liverpool: Liverpool advances 2-1
- Tottenham vs Manchester United: Tottenham advances 4-3
The results mean that there will be no Cinderella story in the 2024/25 EFL Cup as four of English football's biggest clubs find themselves in the final four.
Quarter-Final Prediction
We're down to the final eight teams in the first of England's two domestic cup competitions. A number of the Premier League big boys still remain and three of them have received favorable matchups. Below you'll find the full draw as well as our predictions! (All times GMT)
- Arsenal vs Crystal Palace: 18 December, 7:30 PM
- Newcastle vs Brentford: 18 December, 7:45 PM
- Southampton vs Liverpool: 18 December, 8:00 PM
- Tottenham vs Manchester United: 19 December, 8:00 PM
Naturally, the Spurs vs Man United game is the one that immediately jumps out as the most enticing but it's also the one that holds the most unknowns. First off, Manchester United will be roughly a month into the Ruben Amorim era when this match kicks off and a lot will depend on how the Red Devils look under the former Sporting Lisbon boss. We give Tottenham the advantage right now with this match being played at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and Spurs showing solid home form so far this season.
A London derby between Arsenal and Crystal Palace at the Emirates sees the Gunners understandably installed as heavy favorites. There's nothing to suggest that Palace are capable of pulling off the upset here.
Same goes for Brentford in their trip up north to take on Newcastle. The Bees have been excellent on home soil but torrid on the road. Against a talented and ambitious Newcastle side, this will likely be where Brentford's journey ends.
Finally, Liverpool should have little trouble dealing with relegation-favorites Southampton, even with the Reds having to play away from home at St. Mary's.
Beginners Guide - How the Carabao Cup Works?
How does this competition differ from the FA Cup? Well, this is the English Football League (EFL) Cup (currently sponsored by Carabao) and is contested between the 92 teams in the Premier League and English Football League. There are no non-league teams in this competition unlike in the FA Cup.
The first round is contested between sides in the Championship, League One and League Two. Premier League sides who are not in European competition enter at the second round stage. Those sides who are playing in Europe don’t begin their campaigns until the third round.
All games are played over one leg until the semi-finals. They’re played over two legs, another difference from the FA Cup. There are no replays in this competition with matches that are level being decided by a penalty shootout.
The final is played at Wembley and will be decided on the day. If the game is level after extra time, then it’s penalty shootout time. Here are the dates for your diary:
- Third round: September 18 and 25
- Fourth Round - October 30
- Quarter Finals - December 18
- Semi Finals first leg - January 7, 2025
- Semi Finals second leg - February 5, 2025
- Final - March 16, 2025
The latest odds are at William Hill
How to make good predictions on the Carabao Cup?
If your desire is to make winning Carabao Cup predictions, a good knowledge of how clubs treat the competition is advisable. Our previews will help guide you in the right direction. The factors listed below are all considered to be very important by our team of betting experts.
- Check the form of each club taking part during Carabao Cup
- Look at the fixture list of the English clubs
- Make sure you know the team news
- How important is the match to each club?
- Be aware of the latest statistics during Carabao Cup
These five factors will help you make successful Carabao Cup predictions. Let’s now look at each of them in a little more depth.
Check the form of each club taking part during Carabao Cup
Backing sides that are out of form is never a good idea. It’s slightly different with the Carabao Cup though. The key fact that we can’t stress enough is that clubs will play a much weakened line-up for the cup games, at least until the latter stages of the competition. This means the line-up that might be losing Premier League games or winning lots of them won’t be the one that is fielded for the Carabao Cup match. This was shown last season when Nottingham Forest and Southampton were both battling relegation but reached the last four of the Carabao Cup. It’s best therefore to look at how clubs have fared in previous Carabao Cup competitions.
Look at the fixture list of the English clubs
A busy fixture list will further influence the team selections of clubs playing in the Carabao Cup. Not just for Premier League sides but those in the Championship too. If there’s a big game to play at the weekend, then that will mean it’s even less likely that top players will be playing in the Carabao Cup game, especially if it’s against a side from a lower division. Pay attention to the fixture list at all times.
Make sure you know the team news
Again, we have to stress that the team line-ups will be a lot weaker than those fielded in the Premier League or Championship. This might change in the latter stages but definitely not in the early rounds. Make sure you know the players who will be appearing in the Carabao Cup game. This will influence your bets, especially ones for goalscoring markets. Leaving placing your bets till the teams are confirmed is a good idea. Also, look at the strength of a club’s squad. Will fielding a weaker side seriously affect their chances of winning the game? It might do for Luton or Sheffield United but not so much for Manchester City or Arsenal.
How important is the match to each club?
A lot of the top Premier League clubs wouldn’t shed a tear if the Carabao Cup was scrapped. Others see it as their only chance to win a trophy and there’s a European place for grabs so they consider this an important competition. That’s why so many team changes are made for this competition. What is considered more important for a top club? A Carabao Cup game against a League One side or a big Premier League game at the weekend? The latter is going to be more vital to them unless it’s the latter stages of the Carabao Cup with a Wembley final possible.
For the lower league sides, the Carabao Cup is important. A good cup run can boost their finances so they will be keen to get as far as they can.
Be aware of the latest statistics during Carabao Cup
Knowing the key statistics is always going to be helpful. When the team line-ups are confirmed, look at how the chosen players have been getting on in recent weeks. Are the strikers scoring goals or struggling to find the back of the net? How have defenders been getting on in recent weeks? Do the visitors struggle on their travels or are they getting good results? How has the home club been playing in recent weeks? All vital information that can help you make winning bets.
Get the latest Carabao Cup odds
What Not to Do For Your Carabao Cup Predictions
When you are making your Carabao Cup predictions, there are betting behaviours that you should look to avoid. These can hinder the chances of your bets being successful. Here are the main ones we feel you should not be doing:
- Not analysing the match
- Take into account only a club's prestige and not its form
- Not analysing the odds on offer and missing the most attractive one
- Betting on a Carabao Cup without working out how important the game is to each club
- Chasing losses - never a good idea.
- Placing bets when either tired or upset
- Betting on bookmakers' boosted odds without carrying out an analysis
- Betting repeatedly on your favourite team
- Don’t forget this is a cup competition and upsets will happen.
Sometimes it is easy to fall into these behaviours. Always put a lot of thought into every bet that you place. Don’t bet when you are upset or tired as this will affect your ability to make the right decisions. Bet carefully, avoid these bad habits and you should be able to do well with your Carabao Cup bets.
Make your Carabao Cup predictions here
Key Statistics for your Carabao Cup Predictions
When betting on any competition, statistics play a major role in deciding what prediction to make. Our betting experts spend hours looking up the statistics that they feel will greatly help our readers. Let’s take a look at statistics from the previoius 2023/24 Carabao Cup:
- Average goals scored per match: 2.95
- 39% of games ended in a home win.
- 34% of matches were won by the away side.
- 27% ended level after 90 minutes.
- The most frequent final score was 1-1 (17.2% of matches).
- Over 2.5 goals occurred in 52% of matches.
- Over 3.5 goals occurred in 33% of games.
- 59% of all matches in the 2023/24 Carabao Cup finished with both teams scoring.
- An average of 4.01 bookings were handed out per game.
- Home teams averaged 1.53 goals scored
- Away teams averaged 1.42 goals scored
- 54% of goals were scored in the first half
- 44% of matches saw a clean sheet
- The most frequent score at halftime was 1-0 to the away side (24.7%)
One of the standout statistics from last year's Carabao Cup has to be the most common halftime scoreline being 1-0 to the away side. However, this is likely explained due to the gulf in class when top flight teams play the lower division sides. At nearly 3.00 goals averaged per game, the English League Cup is a good competition to back for goals.
Make your Carabao Cup predictions here
In Short: How to predict Carabao Cup matches?
Let's summarize how you can make successful Carabao Cup bets. Make sure you accept the fact that the line-ups will be weaker than those fielded for league games, especially in the early stages of the competition. Check the team line-ups, the form of the players chosen and how sides have fared in previous Carabao Cup competitions. If you haven't got the time to do all these, read the previews of our experts as they will be packed with vital information.
Our Carabao Cup Predictions of the moment
There are no previews at the moment for this competition
Carabao Cup: best odds to bet
1.61
4.5
5.22
Take a look at our Carabao Cup odds before placing your bets on the competition. You can also follow the matches live on our Carabao Cup Livescores page.
Bet on who will win the EFL Cup at bet365
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Carabao Cup : Frequently Asked Questions
Liverpool are the defending Carabao Cup champions. They beat Chelsea 1-0 to win the trophy last season.
The 2024-25 Carabao Cup final is being held at Wembley Stadium on March 16, 2025.
Liverpool are the most prolific winners, lifting the trophy 10 times. Coming in second-place is Manchester City, who have won six of their eight titles in the last 10 years.
