CONCACAF Gold Cup Predictions & Betting tips

Concacaf Gold Cup 2023 Prediction

If you are an avid sports bettor and have a preference for betting on football, we’re sure you’ll love placing bets on the 2023 Gold Cup. This tournament takes place every two years and is hosted by the United States and Canada this year. The 2023 Gold Cup group stage officially kicks off on June 24th and the final takes place on July 16th.

16 nations will battle it out across 16 different venues, 15 across the United States as well as one in Toronto, Canada. The United States are the reigning champions and will attempt to defend their title against bitter rivals Mexico and dark horses Canada.

Winner Prediction: Who Will Win the 2023 Concacaf Gold Cup?

This will be the second straight Gold Cup in which the United States brings their “B-team”. That isn’t to say they still won’t be favored for nearly all of their matches as they showed what their second-string can do in 2021.

Mexico, on the other hand, is taking the opposite approach. They named the same roster for the Gold Cup as the one that contested the Concacaf Nations League. There is clear intent by the Mexican team here and it was discussed in their local news that they have an obligation to win this tournament. This declaration has come in response to winning only once in the past three editions of the competition. Mexico will also be out for revenge, both after losing to the USA in the final of the Gold Cup last season and falling 3-0 to their heated rivals in the semi-final of the recent Nations League.

With El Tri coming into this tournament with the strongest squad as well as having a chip on their shoulder, Mexico is our pick to win the Gold Cup.

Concacaf Gold Cup prediction - odds to win the title

• Mexico - 2.75
• USA - 3.00
• Canada - 7.00
• Costa Rica - 9.00
• Panama - 10.00
• Qatar - 15.00
• Jamaica - 17.00
• Honduras - 41.00
• El Salvador - 41.00
• Haiti - 67.00
• Trinidad & Tobago - 81.00
• Guatemala - 81.00
• St. Kitts and Nevis - 126.00
• Cuba - 126.00
• Martinique - 151.00
• Guadeloupe - 151.00

The odds found above were taken from bet365. Additionally, you can find similar odds on sites such as Unibet and 1xBet. Be sure to register with the previously mentioned bookmakers as well as sites such as Vbet and William Hill, all of which provide attractive sign-up bonues for new players! Follow the links to get started and set yourself up nicely for Concacaf Gold Cup betting!

Our Group Stage Predictions for the 2023 Concacaf Gold Cup

It’s not just the tournament winner that punters can place bets on. You’ll also be able to predict which teams you believe will qualify for the knockout stages and which you believe will top their respective groups. Below you’ll find out thoughts on how the group stage will play out.

Group A - Jamaica, Trinidad & Tobago, United States, Saint Kitts and Nevis

The defending champions the United States will be overwhelming favorites to finish top of Group A. While this will be a drastically different squad to the one that competed in the Concacaf Nations League, there is still a high amount of talented young players in this team. Jamaica will be expected to qualify and have had some relative success in this competition in recent editions. One of either Curacao, French Guiana, Sint Maarten or St. Kitts will fill the final spot in Group A after Nicaragua was disqualified due to fielding an ineligible player in eight games.

• Prediction for teams to qualify: USA and Jamaica
• Prediction for group winner: USA

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Group B - Honduras, Haiti, Qatar, Mexico

Mexico are the obvious team to watch in this group and will be expected to make the finals. Qatar is one to watch and will likely be a dangerous team in this tournament. They’ve made an immense amount of progress in recent years which culminated in them hosting the 2022 World Cup. Qatar, who are ranked 61st in the world according to FIFA, are playing in their second ever Gold Cup. They were able to win their group in their debut in 2021, besting Honduras, Panama and Grenada.

• Prediction for teams to qualify: Mexico and Qatar
• Prediction for group winner: Mexico

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Group C - Panama, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Martinique

Costa Rica topped their group in the 2021 edition of the tournament, winning all three matches. However, they were dealt a huge blow with the news that star goalkeeper Keylor Nevas will not be available. Panama fell short of qualification in 2021, finishing third. This is looking set to be a tight, competitive group. Expect some physical, low-scoring matches to be played out between these teams.

• Prediction for teams to qualify: Panama and Costa Rica
• Prediction for group winner: Panama

Group D - Guatemala, Canada, Cuba, Guadeloupe

Despite their disappointing 2022 World Cup, Canada has seen incredible growth over recent years. With talents such as Lille’s Jonathan David and Bayern Munich’s Alphonso Davies, Canada should be viewed as a real threat to win their first Gold Cup in 23 years. Guatemala and Cuba will contend for the second qualifying spot here but we like the Guatemalans to just edge it. They have more experience playing against higher-quality opposition in recent months which should serve them well in this competition.

• Prediction for teams to qualify: Canada and Guatemala
• Prediction for group winner: Canada

The USA Team Group Fixture List

This is a good opportunity for some of the fringe United States players to feature on the big stage. 16 of the 23-man squad currently ply their trade in the MLS. The USA showed excellent defensive solidity in the 2021 Gold Cup, conceding only one goal in six matches en route to the trophy. They’ve won two of the past three in this tournament and can match Mexico’s record of eight Gold Cups if they are able to capture the title yet again here.

• Day 1: USA - Jamaica (Sunday, 25-06-2023 - 2:30AM UK time) 
• Day 2: USA - Saint Kitts and Nevis (Thursday, 29-06-2023 - 2:30AM UK time) 
• Day 3: USA - Trinidad & Tobago (Monday, 03-07-2023 - 12:00AM UK time) 

The Canada Team Group Fixture List

The Canadians fell to Mexico in the semi-final in 2021, denying them what would have been their first appearance in the final since their solitary Gold Cup triumph in 2000. Canada are legitimate contenders to upset the betting favorites in the USA and Mexico. They have both star power along with some solid pieces all over the pitch. Definitely one to keep an eye on.

• Day 1: Canada - Guadeloupe (Wednesday, 28-06-2023 - 12:00AM UK time) 
• Day 2: Canada - Guatemala (Sunday, 02-07-2023 - 2:30AM UK time) 
• Day 3: Canada - Cuba (Tuesday, 04-07-2023 - 11:30PM UK time) 

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The Mexico Team Group Fixture List

Mexico will be desperate for a Gold Cup win here. They suffered a humiliating recent exit to the United States in the Concacaf Nations League semi-final and will be itching to set the record straight. They have the strongest team in this tournament and anything other than lifting their ninth Gold Cup trophy would be seen as a massive disappointment.

• Day 1: Mexico - Honduras (Monday, 26-06-2023 - 1:00AM UK time) 
• Day 2: Mexico - Haiti (Friday, 30-06-2023 - 3:00AM UK time) 
• Day 3: Mexico - Qatar (Monday, 03-07-2023 - 2:00AM UK time) 

Betting Beginners - How Does the Concacaf Gold Cup Work?

The structure of the Concacaf Gold Cup sees 16 teams broken into four groups. These four teams will then play each other member of their group once for a total of three group stage games per team. The top two teams from each group qualify for the quarter-finals. The group stage starts on June 24th and runs until July 4th.

Once the group stage is complete, the quarter-final takes place. These matches play out much like other tournaments involving knockout football. The teams face off for a single-elimination, 90 minute match. If the score is level after regulation time, two periods of 15 minutes of extra time are played. Matches level after the extra time will be decided by penalty shootout. There is no third-place match at the Concacaf Gold Cup.

The schedule for the quarter-finals is as follows:

• Group D winner vs Group A runner-up
• Group B winner vs Group C runner-up
• Group A winner vs Group D runner-up
• Group C winner vs Group B runner-up

How to Make Effective Predictions on a Concacaf Gold Cup Match

There are a few factors which go into ensuring you are making the best possible predictions for any given match. Here are some of the principle ones to look out for as highlighted by our football betting specialists:

• Consult the injury list and team news
• Take into account the recent form
• Learn the strengths and weaknesses of the teams 
• Determine what is at stake in the match
• Analyze the betting odds

Implementing these five strategies for every match that you bet on is sure to increase your chances of placing winning bets with the bookmakers. For more information on each one, continue reading below.

Place your bets

Consult the injury list and team news

You will want to be sure of the players that the manager has available and which are likely to take the field on match day. Teams, especially at the international level of football, can oftentimes be more reliant on their star player or players to make the difference for them. For example, say a team is going to be without their most influential player who also happens to be the country's top goalscorer. This situation would likely make backing the under a more attractive proposition while those looking to back the team to win will have to be cautious.

Take into account the recent form

You’ll want to check out how both sides have been performing in their latest fixtures. There are a number of things you’ll want to take note of when looking at recent results. Is the team scoring at a good rate or are they struggling to find the net? Are they keeping clean sheets or are teams carving them open with ease? Also take a look at the underlying statistics to see how many clear cut scoring chances teams are creating per game and more. This will help to paint a more complete picture as to what kind of matchup you can expect. 

Learn the strengths and weaknesses of the teams

Knowing how teams approach matches can help you identify stylistic advantages or disadvantages. Does the team you are betting on favor a high-tempo, direct attacking style of play? Or do they opt for a more controlled, measured approach with their build up? Different styles and different strengths and weaknesses will often shape how a match plays out. A meeting between two ultra-high pressing teams with quality attacking players is likely going to result in a high-scoring encounter. Meanwhile, two slow, possession based teams with world-class goalkeepers might struggle to eclipse the 2.5 goals total.

Determine what is at stake in the match

Player motivation can often play a massive role in determining the outcome of a particular game. Be sure to identify what the situation is in the group when analyzing each match of the Concacaf Gold Cup. If a team has already been eliminated heading into the final group stage fixture, they are more likely to put forward a below-average performance compared to a team fighting for qualification.

Analyze the betting odds

After you have analyzed all of the relevant facets of a game, try to compare what you believe the odds should be with the actual betting line. This is how you go about identifying which bets have value. If you place a team’s chances at winning a match at 65% (implying odds of 1.54) and the bookmakers are offering odds of 1.80 (55.5% implied probability), then you’ve likely come across a profitable betting opportunity. 

Concacaf Gold Cup Statistics for your Sports Betting

Statistics provide invaluable information into a wide array of betting markets. Check out the figures below of our data compiled on the last 100 Concacaf Gold Cup matches:

• Average goals: 2.87 per match
• Matches with over 1.5 goals: 74%
• Matches with under 1.5 goals: 26%
• Matches with over 2.5 goals: 55%
• Matches with under 2.5 goals: 45%
• Matches with over 3.5 goals: 32%
• Matches with under 3.5 goals: 68%
• Both teams to score: 45% of matches
• Victories by a margin of 2 or more goals: 45% of matches
• Exact score 0-0: 3% of matches
• Most frequent score: 1-0 (23% of matches)

In Short: How to Correctly Predict the 2023 Concacaf Gold Cup?

The 2023 Gold Cup is sure to provide entertaining matches and a great opportunity to make some exciting bets. To have success, keep in mind the advice of our experts, reference the important statistics and remember to always analyze each match as much as you can. Finally, always be on the lookout for the best possible betting odds on the market! This will provide an instant boost to your overall return on investment. Be sure to check out our Football Betting Tips page for predictions and analysis on leagues and competitions from around the world. 

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