South America - Copa Libertadores
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Fluminense vs Gremio Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores
by Nella Wagah in Copa Libertadores Predictions
Fluminense’s defence of the Copa Libertadores is in danger of falling through at the Round of 16 stage. The champions trail 2-1 ahead of hosting Gremio in the return leg. Read on for our preview and prediction of this match.
Fluminense weren’t very smart in Porto Alegre, as they lost their lead and the game. They conceded quick goals within three minutes and not even Gremio having a player sent off worked in Fluminense’s favor.
Vinicius Lima’s goal will, however, give them hope coming into the return leg. They must improve on their recent run of four matches without a win if they are to defend their title. In their most recent match, they drew 0-0 with Corinthians.
It doesn’t look so good on the hosts, having last beaten Gremio in 2019.
Gremio will be buzzing ahead of this game, looking to hit the Libertadores quarters for the first time since 2020. Their comeback win on Tuesday sent them undefeated in five matches in this competition.
Though coming from a 2-0 loss at home to Bahia, Gremio will be unfazed at the hostile fans expected here. They’ve not only won each of their last eight matches against Fluminense, the run also included three away wins.
In Libertadores action, they recovered from four straight losses to win four of their last five matches. Gremio are also on back-to-back away wins in the competition and kept clean sheets in both games.
The last time Gremio visited Fluminense for a Libertadores match was in 2013, and they won 3-0.
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The Best Betting Odds for Fluminense v Gremio Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.08 | 8 | 81 |
|
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2.5 | 2.2 | 3.8 |
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|
1.02 | 18.2 | 2.01 |
|
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1.02 | 18.2 | 2.01 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.25 | 4.3 |
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2.08 | 3.19 | 3.88 |
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2.08 | 3.19 | 3.88 |
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1.04 | 10 | 100 |
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2.18 | 3.15 | 3.6 |
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2.29 | 3.15 | 3.5 |
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1.13 | 6 | 51 |
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1 | 26 | 301 |
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1.06 | 9.5 | 101 |
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1.05 | 11 | 151 |
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2.05 | 3.1 | 4 |
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1.95 | 3 | 4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fluminense and Gremio?
Our prediction for the Fluminense vs Gremio match is: Gremio to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/08/2024 between Fluminense and Gremio in Copa Libertadores :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.54% for a win of Fluminense against Gremio with odds of 2.5 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fluminense vs Gremio is 34.02% with odds of 26 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.44% chance ⭐ for a win of Gremio vs Fluminense with odds of 301 at Betway.
Fluminense - Gremio Prediction and Best Odds:
Fluminense Gremio Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Gremio wins | 37.44% | 301 at Betway |
Under 2.5 | 60.43% | 2.2 at Vbet |
Both Team To Score | 38.75% | |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Gremio | 18.95% | 1001 at Unibet |
Fluminense vs Gremio Form
Fluminense and Gremio Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
10 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
4 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
4 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
10 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
28 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
10 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
4 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 Jul 2024 - Copa do Brasil
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
7 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
28 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Jul 2024 - Copa do Brasil
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 Jul 2024 - Copa do Brasil
25 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
Fluminense vs Gremio Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
30 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 Dec 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Aug 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Nov 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Jul 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A
Fluminense against Gremio Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Most goals and assists
Fluminense - Gremio Key Points
- Gremio have eight straight wins against Fluminense.
- Fluminense are coming from a four-match winless run.
- Gremio are unbeaten in four matches across all competitions.
- Gremio are unbeaten in the last five Copa Libertadores matches.
- In three Libertadores meetings with Gremio, Fluminense are yet to register a win.
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Our Fluminense vs Gremio Prediction
Gremio are coming into this game with a five-match unbeaten run in the Copa Libertadores. They are also unbeaten in the last four away matches, and won their last two on the road in this competition. That is in addition to their fine run of form against Fluminense.
On the flipside, Fluminense will arrive for this game having failed to win any of their last four matches. They lost twice in that run and failed to score in two, and this will be enough to cause jitters among home fans. Our prediction for Fluminense v Gremio is for Gremio to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fluminense Gremio
Fluminense vs Gremio | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Fluminense wins | 2.2 | 1.08 | -50.9% |
Draw | 3.2 | 8 | +150.0% |
Gremio wins | 3.5 | 81 | +2,214.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Gremio is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2,214.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.6% and is now 1.2% (-27.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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