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Fiorentina vs The New Saints Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
by Devesh Jaganath in Conference League Predictions
The final match in a jam-packed opening night of Conference League football will come to us from Stadio Artemio Franchi where Fiorentina will be playing host the The New Saints. I Viola qualified for this competition by finishing eighth in the Serie A last season, while the Saints won the Welsh Premier League. To the match prediction!
TNS are set to make history this week as they will become the first Welsh Premier League side to ever feature in a UEFA group or league phase after fighting their way through a tricky qualifying campaign. Fiorentina, meanwhile, are no stranger to this competition having reached the final in each of the last two editions.
As is likely to be the case throughout their journey in Europe this season, the visitors are installed as massive underdogs, with bookies giving them next to no chance to make a winning start here. However, can TNS defy expectations and mark their European debut with a victory?
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The Best Betting Odds for Fiorentina v The New Saints Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.09 | 12 | 21 |
|
|
1.04 | 15 | 23 |
|
|
1.07 | 14.2 | 34 |
|
|
1.07 | 14.2 | 34 |
|
|
1.05 | 15 | 33 |
|
|
1.05 | 14.5 | 35 |
|
|
1.05 | 14.5 | 35 |
|
|
1.04 | 17 | 60 |
|
|
1.03 | 16 | 41 |
|
|
1.06 | 14 | 45 |
|
|
1.08 | 15 | 29 |
|
|
1.06 | 11 | 26 |
|
|
1.02 | 17 | 46 |
|
|
1.03 | 20 | 76 |
|
|
1.07 | 11 | 29 |
|
|
1.06 | 10 | 26 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and The New Saints?
Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs The New Saints match is: Under 4.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/10/2024 between Fiorentina and The New Saints in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.89% for a win of Fiorentina against The New Saints with odds of 1.09 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs The New Saints is 21.48% with odds of 20 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.63% chance ⭐ for a win of The New Saints vs Fiorentina with odds of 76 at Betfair.
Fiorentina - The New Saints Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fiorentina The New Saints Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 44.89% | 1.09 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.3% | 1.27 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.14% | |
| Half-time: The New Saints / Full-time: Fiorentina | 19.44% | 41 at Betfair |
Fiorentina vs The New Saints Form
Fiorentina and The New Saints's standings in the Conference League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
|
24
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 |
Fiorentina and The New Saints Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sep 2024 - Serie A
22 Sep 2024 - Serie A
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
1 Sep 2024 - Serie A
29 Aug 2024 - Conference League
25 Aug 2024 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Serie A
1 Sep 2024 - Serie A
25 Aug 2024 - Serie A
22 Aug 2024 - Conference League
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sep 2024 - Serie A
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
29 Aug 2024 - Conference League
17 Aug 2024 - Serie A
5 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2024 - Cymru Premier
24 Sep 2024 - Cymru Premier
20 Sep 2024 - Cymru Premier
17 Sep 2024 - League Cup
14 Sep 2024 - Cymru Premier
7 Sep 2024 - Cymru Premier
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sep 2024 - Cymru Premier
14 Sep 2024 - Cymru Premier
3 Sep 2024 - Cymru Premier
29 Aug 2024 - Conference League
13 Aug 2024 - Europa League
2 Aug 2024 - League Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2024 - Cymru Premier
20 Sep 2024 - Cymru Premier
17 Sep 2024 - League Cup
7 Sep 2024 - Cymru Premier
22 Aug 2024 - Conference League
16 Aug 2024 - Cymru Premier
Fiorentina - The New Saints: Form Analysis
After finishing outside the European qualification places last season, Fiorentina received a major slice of luck to feature in this year’s Conference League with the Serie A earning eight European spots.
I Viola will look to make the most of their good fortune but have not been at their best in the early stages of this season, currently down in 11th place in the league standings.
After six top-flight matches, Gigliati have picked up just eight points, posting a record of one win, four draws and a loss, with their most recent match ending in a goalless draw away to Empoli over the weekend.
Fiorentina have scored just seven goals this season, which is the second-fewest of the top 15 sides in Serie A!
Meanwhile, The New Saints claimed their third consecutive Welsh Premier League title last season, and did so in some style, finishing 33 points clear at the top of the table and undefeated.
TNS dropped points only twice last term with two draws, but this season, they have already lost two of their first seven matches, which sees them currently in an unfamiliar fifth place in the league standings.
After bowing out of the Champions and Europa Leagues during qualifying, the Saints got through to the main draw of this competition by overcoming Panevezys 3-0 on aggregate. However, they failed to win any of their away games in the tier-one and tier-two competitions.
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Fiorentina against The New Saints Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Fiorentina & The New Saints Squad Analysis
For Fiorentina, Croatian central defender Marin Pongracic and midfielder Rolando Mandragora are both flagged as injury doubts, though neither of them have been ruled out for this match.
However, the hosts will definitely be without the services of defensive duo Luca Ranieri and Pietro Comuzzo, both of whom are suspended for this opening-round matchup!
Forward Jordan Williams will miss this match for The New Saints due to suspension!
Williams will be joined on the sidelines by the defensive quartet of Ryan Astles, Harrison McGahey, Ash Baker and Matthew Olosunde, who are currently recovering from injury.
After a thumping victory over Newtown last weekend, the likes of Remi Oteh, Danny Davies, Dan Williams and Rory Holden have all put themselves in contention to make the starting 11 on Thursday.
Midfielder Sion Bradley has scored three goals in his last two matches and should keep his place in the visitors' engine room.
Most goals and assists
Fiorentina
The New Saints
M. Kean
(9 Goals)
D. McManus
(1 Goals)
, 
R. Holden
(1 Goals)
, 
J. Williams
(1 Goals)
Y. Adli
(3 Assists)
, 
C. Kouame
(3 Assists)
,
E. Bove
(3 Assists)
J. Williams
(1 Assists)
,
D. McManus
(1 Assists)
Fiorentina - The New Saints Key Points
- Six of Fiorentina’s eight games this season have ended with under 4.5 goals.
- Three of Fiorentina’s four home games this season have ended with under 4.5 goals.
- Five of The New Saints’ last six away games have ended with under 4.5 goals.
- The New Saints have kept three clean sheets in their last five away games.
- The New Saints only scored one away goal in Champions and Europa League qualifying.
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Our Fiorentina vs The New Saints Prediction
Having reached the final in the last two editions of this competition, Fiorentina are massive favourites to win this match, and they will be looking to tag on as many goals as possible which could become crucial later in the competition.
Given the gulf in class between these sides, the visitors could struggle to get on the scoresheet here and are likely to prioritize the clean sheet. The hosts should still get the win, but we feel that it will not be by more than four goals. Our Fiorentina vs The New Saints prediction: Under 4.5!
Fiorentina vs The New Saints - Other Interesting Predictions
The New Saints +3.5
Fiorentina have not won a match this season by four clear goals and The New Saints have not lost any of their last 14 matches by four goals either.
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
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Fiorentina vs The New Saints match : Frequently asked questions
The Conference League match between Fiorentina and The New Saints will be played on October 3 at 20:00 GMT.
The Conference League match between Fiorentina and The New Saints will take place at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Firenze.
UK viewers can watch the Conference League match between Fiorentina and The New Saints live on TNT Sports.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the Conference League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Sebastian Gishamer will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Roland Riedel, Santino Schreiner and Walter Altman as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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