Italy - Serie A
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Fiorentina vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Matthew Newman in Serie A Predictions
Fiorentina take on Roma in the Sunday evening match in Serie A. I Viola sit 5th in the table while I Giallorossi is 10th. Fiorentina are yet to lose a game at home while their visitors have only draws on the board when they have played away.
Just one defeat in 12 matches in all competitions this season for Fiorentina. That came away at Atalanta, a match where they twice took the lead before falling to a 2-3 defeat.
Their season started with five straight draws, winning their last four games on the bounce. Two of those have come in the Europa League against The New Saints and Saint Gallen with a 6-0 win at Lecce and a 2-1 success over Milan.
Consistency has very much been the case for Roma on the road this season. Four games, four draws. One of those was at Juventus which is a solid result with the others at Caligari, Genoa and Monza. They have lost their sole Europa League game away from home as Elfsborg.
Roma has found it hard to hit the back of the net but that might be coming. Only Lecce has a worse xG vs actual in the league. They should be scoring 0.57 per game more.
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The Best Betting Odds for Fiorentina v Roma Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.45 | 3.3 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.37 | 3 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.37 | 3.06 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.37 | 3.06 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.25 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.57 | 3.26 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.57 | 3.26 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.4 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.58 | 3.24 | 2.78 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.3 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.58 | 3.21 | 3.07 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.2 | 3 |
|
|
2.65 | 3 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.52 | 3.15 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Roma?
Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Roma match is: Game to finish 1-1.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/10/2024 between Fiorentina and Roma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.56% for a win of Fiorentina against Roma with odds of 2.75 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Roma is 51.61% with odds of 3.4 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 11.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Roma vs Fiorentina with odds of 3.07 at Vbet.
Fiorentina - Roma Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fiorentina Roma Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 51.61% | 3.4 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 61.48% | 1.94 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 55.42% | 1.8 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Fiorentina / Full-time: Draw | 20.62% | 15 at Bet365 |
Fiorentina vs Roma Form
Fiorentina and Roma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
25 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 15 |
|
12
|
13 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -3 |
Fiorentina and Roma Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2024 - Conference League
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
6 Oct 2024 - Serie A
3 Oct 2024 - Conference League
29 Sep 2024 - Serie A
22 Sep 2024 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2024 - Serie A
3 Oct 2024 - Conference League
22 Sep 2024 - Serie A
1 Sep 2024 - Serie A
25 Aug 2024 - Serie A
22 Aug 2024 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2024 - Conference League
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
29 Sep 2024 - Serie A
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
29 Aug 2024 - Conference League
17 Aug 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
6 Oct 2024 - Serie A
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
29 Sep 2024 - Serie A
26 Sep 2024 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
29 Sep 2024 - Serie A
26 Sep 2024 - Europa League
22 Sep 2024 - Serie A
25 Aug 2024 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2024 - Serie A
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
1 Sep 2024 - Serie A
18 Aug 2024 - Serie A
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Fiorentina vs Roma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Mar 2024 - Serie A
10 Dec 2023 - Serie A
27 May 2023 - Serie A
15 Jan 2023 - Serie A
9 May 2022 - Serie A
22 Aug 2021 - Serie A
Fiorentina against Roma Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
A. Gudmundsson
A. Saelemaekers
Most goals and assists
Fiorentina
Roma
M. Kean
(9 Goals)
A. Dovbyk
(6 Goals)
Y. Adli
(3 Assists)
, 
C. Kouame
(3 Assists)
,
E. Bove
(3 Assists)
L. Pellegrini
(2 Assists)
Fiorentina - Roma Key Points
- The only teams who haven’t scored at Fiorentina this year are bottom-of-the-league Venezia and the Welsh League’s TNS.
- Both teams have drawn four times in their eight league games this season.
- Both meetings between these teams last season ended in score draws.
- Only Bologna has more draws in Serie A this season than these two teams.
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Our Fiorentina vs Roma Prediction
Our Fiorentina vs Roma prediction is for a 1-1 draw. Roma have drawn all four of their away games in the league this season while their hosts have drawn two of the four that they have played at home.
Fiorentina have enjoyed plenty of goalscoring this year but when a team has come in to frustrate them like Venezia did earlier in the season, they couldn't break them down. Roma keeps things tight at the back and another point would suit them.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fiorentina Roma
| Fiorentina vs Roma | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 2.45 | 2.45 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.3 | +1.5% |
| Roma wins | 2.88 | 2.9 | +0.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.8% and is now 30.3% (-0.5%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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