Italy - Serie A
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Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions
Fiorentina and Napoli will be setting high targets for their Serie A meeting when the league enters Match Day 19. Hosting this game in Firenze, fifth placed La Viola will be eyeing stability as Napoli look to go top. Let’s preview this as we look at a prediction for the match.
Fiorentina’s earlier promising run ground to a halt as we approached the end of 2024. Now they come here winless in the last four matches. The two losses in that run were both in the Serie A.
They’ve now picked up just a point from three league matches, leaving them on 32 points, nine behind Napoli. They have a game in hand though, and a win here could lift them to fourth.
Napoli will be looking to take advantage of Atalanta being away in Saudi Arabia for the Super Cup. Even if briefly, they will hope to have a taste of being at the top of the table once again.
This season Napoli have mounted a stronger title challenge, and will come into this game as favorites. They have three straight wins ahead of this game, recovering from back-to-back losses to Lazio.
Most recently, Napoli beat Venezia 1-0 in a hard-fought encounter, to move to 41 points, joint top with Atalanta. Avoiding defeat here will see them go clear at the top.
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The Best Betting Odds for Fiorentina v Napoli Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.6 | 3 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.2 | 3 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.6 | 2.2 | 2.62 |
|
|
3.84 | 3.07 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.84 | 3.07 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.15 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.98 | 3.14 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.98 | 3.14 | 2.5 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.1 | 2.32 |
|
|
3.64 | 3 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.15 | 2.32 |
|
|
3.3 | 2.95 | 2.35 |
|
|
3.4 | 3 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.45 | 3.05 | 2.28 |
|
|
3.4 | 3 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.62 | 3.14 | 2.29 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.1 | 2.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Napoli?
Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Napoli match is: Napoli wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/01/2025 between Fiorentina and Napoli in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.06% for a win of Fiorentina against Napoli with odds of 3.84 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Napoli is 23.63% with odds of 3.15 at Betobet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.31% chance ⭐ for a win of Napoli vs Fiorentina with odds of 2.62 at Ladbrokes.
Fiorentina - Napoli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fiorentina Napoli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 41.31% | 2.62 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.19% | 2.33 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 59.17% | 2 at Betsson |
| Half-time : Fiorentina / Full-time : Napoli | 15.35% | 36 at Betsson |
Fiorentina vs Napoli Form
Fiorentina and Napoli's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
44 | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 18 |
|
6
|
32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
Fiorentina and Napoli Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
23 Dec 2024 - Serie A
19 Dec 2024 - Conference League
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
12 Dec 2024 - Conference League
8 Dec 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Dec 2024 - Serie A
12 Dec 2024 - Conference League
8 Dec 2024 - Serie A
4 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
28 Nov 2024 - Conference League
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
19 Dec 2024 - Conference League
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
7 Nov 2024 - Conference League
3 Nov 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
14 Dec 2024 - Serie A
8 Dec 2024 - Serie A
5 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
8 Dec 2024 - Serie A
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
3 Nov 2024 - Serie A
26 Oct 2024 - Serie A
4 Oct 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
14 Dec 2024 - Serie A
5 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
29 Oct 2024 - Serie A
Fiorentina vs Napoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 May 2024 - Serie A
18 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
8 Oct 2023 - Serie A
7 May 2023 - Serie A
28 Aug 2022 - Serie A
10 Apr 2022 - Serie A
Fiorentina against Napoli Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
E. Bove
A. Buongiorno
Most goals and assists
Fiorentina
Napoli
M. Kean
(12 Goals)
R. Lukaku
(7 Goals)
Y. Adli
(4 Assists)
, 
C. Kouame
(4 Assists)
R. Lukaku
(5 Assists)
Fiorentina - Napoli Key Points
- Napoli are coming from three straight wins.
- Fiorentina are winless in their last four matches.
- Napoli are unbeaten in eight away league matches.
- Fiorentina are coming from a loss in their last home match.
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Our Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction
After a long good run, Fiorentina seemed to run out of steam in the closing matches of 2024. They have to dust themselves very fast and get back on track, but time is not on their side, and neither are they facing an easy opponent next.
Though playing at home, a fixture against a team like Napoli calls for a lot more than just home advantage. Napoli are unbeaten in five matches against Fiorentina and only lost once in that run. Our prediction for Fiorentina v Napoli is that Napoli wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fiorentina Napoli
| Fiorentina vs Napoli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 2.8 | 3.6 | +28.6% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3 | -6.3% |
| Napoli wins | 2.5 | 2.25 | -10.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Napoli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 44.4% (4.4%)
Use the Fiorentina vs. Napoli game for Uniboost!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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