Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions
Fiorentina’s top four hopes have in recent weeks suffered a massive blow, and they’ll seek to revive them when they host Lecce. The two clash in the Serie A on Friday, Fiorentina sitting sixth and Lecce 16th in the standings. Below we have the preview and a prediction for this match.
Fiorentina are in danger of falling off the European football slots. The two sides below them have a game in hand and only trail Fiorentina by a point. Raffaele Palladino’s side is coming from a 1-0 away loss at Verona.
This was the second struggling side to beat Fiorentina, after losing 2-0 to Como. They are now on three straight defeats and having failed to score in the last two.
Lecce will be looking at Fiorentina’s latest results against struggling sides for motivation. They’ve also had their moments against Fiorentina, losing just once in their last three visits here.
However, at home against Fiorentina in the reverse fixture, Giallorossi were completely outmuscled in a 6-0 defeat. They carry into this game a three-match winless run, their most recent outing having ended in a 1-0 home loss to Udinese.
In their last 10 matches, Lecce managed just two wins and failed to score in six. Away from home this season, they have played 13 times, all in the league, and managed just three wins.
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The Best Betting Odds for Fiorentina v Lecce Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.9 | 3.25 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.25 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.3 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.3 | 4.81 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.3 | 4.81 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Lecce?
Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Lecce match is: Both teams to score – NO.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/02/2025 between Fiorentina and Lecce in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.49% for a win of Fiorentina against Lecce with odds of 1.95 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Lecce is 21.17% with odds of 4 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Lecce vs Fiorentina with odds of 5 at Betfair.
Fiorentina - Lecce Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fiorentina Lecce Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 44.49% | 1.95 at Betobet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.66% | 2.38 at Betfred |
| Both Team To Score | 55.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Fiorentina/Fiorentina | 17.24% | 3.1 at Bet365 |
Fiorentina vs Lecce Form
Fiorentina and Lecce's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
51 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 |
|
17
|
25 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -28 |
Fiorentina and Lecce Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
10 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
19 Jan 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
19 Jan 2025 - Serie A
4 Jan 2025 - Serie A
23 Dec 2024 - Serie A
12 Dec 2024 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
10 Feb 2025 - Serie A
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
13 Jan 2025 - Serie A
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
19 Dec 2024 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2025 - Serie A
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
31 Jan 2025 - Serie A
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
19 Jan 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2025 - Serie A
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
5 Jan 2025 - Serie A
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
31 Jan 2025 - Serie A
19 Jan 2025 - Serie A
11 Jan 2025 - Serie A
30 Dec 2024 - Serie A
7 Dec 2024 - Serie A
Fiorentina vs Lecce Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
2 Feb 2024 - Serie A
27 Aug 2023 - Serie A
19 Mar 2023 - Serie A
17 Oct 2022 - Serie A
15 Jul 2020 - Serie A
Fiorentina against Lecce Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
E. Bove
A. Colpani
F. Marchwinski
Most goals and assists
Fiorentina
Lecce
M. Kean
(18 Goals)
N. Krstovic
(10 Goals)
R. Gosens
(7 Assists)
N. Krstovic
(3 Assists)
Fiorentina - Lecce Key Points
- Lecce failed to score in their last three matches.
- In Lecce’s last five matches, both teams scored just once.
- Lecce failed to score in eight of their 13 away matches this season.
- Both teams scored in only three of Fiorentina’s last eight home matches.
- At least one team failed to score in three of Fiorentina’s last four games.
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Our Fiorentina vs Lecce Prediction
The last time these teams faced off, Fiorentina bagged a 6-0 win. In their recent matches La Viola haven't seemed very confident, and will hope to rise to the occasion here. They’ve particularly struggled in attack, scoring just once in the last three matches, all which ended in defeat.
They also meet a side that has not done so well in attack in recent matches. Lecce failed to score in four of their last five matches. Our prediction for Fiorentina v Lecce is: Both teams to score – NO.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fiorentina Lecce
| Fiorentina vs Lecce | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 1.62 | 1.9 | +17.3% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 3.25 | -16.7% |
| Lecce wins | 5.75 | 4.75 | -17.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Fiorentina is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 17.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 52.6% (-9.1%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the Fiorentina vs. Lecce game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Fiorentina and Lecce when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Serie A!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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