Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions
In respect to their top four hopes, Fiorentina recorded a massive win last week, and will be eyeing the same against Genoa. La Viola, placed sixth, are set to host 12th placed Rossoblu this Saturday. Going into this match, we have a prediction below.
Fiorentina ended their seven-match winless run with a 2-1 away win at Lazio last time out. Beating a fellow top-four contender, Fiorentina are now just three points behind fourth.
It is a tight race but their goal difference will be an added advantage. The hosts are on a three-match winless run at home but will be confident of addressing that here.
Genoa are coming into this game on a much stronger run of form compared to Fiorentina. Second half strikes from Koni de Winter and Johan Vasquez delivered a 2-0 win at home to struggling Monza last time out.
Genoa have now won three times in their last five league matches. In that period, they also managed three clean sheets, while only failing to score once.
While they are on a strong run, Genoa have struggled against top sides. Their two defeats in the last six Serie A games were against Roma and Napoli.
Four of their last nine away matches also ended in defeat, as they also failed to score in four of the nine matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Fiorentina v Genoa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.6 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.4 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.58 | 4.37 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.58 | 4.37 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Genoa?
Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Genoa match is: Fiorentina wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/02/2025 between Fiorentina and Genoa in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.29% for a win of Fiorentina against Genoa with odds of 1.94 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Genoa is 28.89% with odds of 3.74 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Genoa vs Fiorentina with odds of 4.9 at Betobet.
Fiorentina - Genoa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fiorentina Genoa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 37.29% | 1.94 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.91% | 2.04 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 47.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Fiorentina | 15.8% | 5 at Betsson |
Fiorentina vs Genoa Form
Fiorentina and Genoa's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
51 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 |
|
12
|
38 | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | -9 |
Fiorentina and Genoa Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
19 Jan 2025 - Serie A
13 Jan 2025 - Serie A
4 Jan 2025 - Serie A
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
23 Dec 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jan 2025 - Serie A
4 Jan 2025 - Serie A
23 Dec 2024 - Serie A
12 Dec 2024 - Conference League
8 Dec 2024 - Serie A
4 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
13 Jan 2025 - Serie A
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
19 Dec 2024 - Conference League
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jan 2025 - Serie A
17 Jan 2025 - Serie A
12 Jan 2025 - Serie A
5 Jan 2025 - Serie A
28 Dec 2024 - Serie A
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jan 2025 - Serie A
12 Jan 2025 - Serie A
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
7 Dec 2024 - Serie A
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
7 Nov 2024 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2025 - Serie A
5 Jan 2025 - Serie A
28 Dec 2024 - Serie A
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
4 Nov 2024 - Serie A
Fiorentina vs Genoa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Oct 2024 - Serie A
15 Apr 2024 - Serie A
19 Aug 2023 - Serie A
17 Jan 2022 - Serie A
18 Sep 2021 - Serie A
3 Apr 2021 - Serie A
Fiorentina against Genoa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Fiorentina
Genoa
M. Kean
(18 Goals)
A. Pinamonti
(8 Goals)
R. Gosens
(7 Assists)
A. Martin
(4 Assists)
Fiorentina - Genoa Key Points
- Genoa lost four times in nine away Serie A matches.
- Genoa won just five times in their last 20 Serie A matches.
- Fiorentina lost only two of their last 14 home league matches.
- In the last eight meetings between these two, Fiorentina are unbeaten.
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Our Fiorentina vs Genoa Prediction
Fiorentina haven't lost to Genoa in their last eight meetings, winning four times in that period. Having warmed up for this match with an important win at Lazio, the hosts will be fired up for this one. They will be eyeing a league double here.
Genoa have had a strong run in recent times, but they struggled a lot against top teams. This could be another game they have to dig deep. Their run against Fiorentina and winning just five times in 20 Serie A matches isn’t really encouraging. Our prediction for Fiorentina v Genoa is that Fiorentina wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fiorentina Genoa
| Fiorentina vs Genoa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 1.57 | 1.83 | +16.6% |
| Draw | 4 | 3.6 | -10.0% |
| Genoa wins | 5.5 | 4.2 | -23.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Fiorentina is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 16.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 63.7% and is now 54.6% (-9.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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