Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions
Fiorentina hosting Atalanta fits the profile for one of the big games in Serie A this weekend. At the minimum, these two are battling for slots in Europe, Atalanta currently third and Fiorentina in eighth place. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Fiorentina’s split focus on Serie A and Europe seems to be hurting their domestic targets. La Viola have dropped to eighth though they remain just three points outside the top six.
The race for Europe is congested and Fiorentina will do themselves a favor with a win here. They closed for the international break on a winning note, having beaten Juventus 3-0 and would want to pick it up from there.
Atalanta on their part, will hope for an improvement from their last act. A 2-0 loss at home to Inter Milan has thrown their title charge into disarray.
With nine matches remaining, they are trailing the league leaders by six points. That defeat saw their defence breached for the first time in four matches, but Atalanta have failed to score twice in the last three matches.
Gian Piero Gasperini will be looking to address such inconsistencies. With Ademola Lookman and Mateo Retegui who have scored a combined 35 league goals, Atalanta should be able to do well.
La Dea have actually scored 16 times in the last four away league games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Fiorentina v Atalanta Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.6 | 3.25 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.25 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.4 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.9 | 2.68 | 2.49 |
|
|
3.9 | 2.68 | 2.49 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Atalanta?
Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Atalanta match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/03/2025 between Fiorentina and Atalanta in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.64% for a win of Fiorentina against Atalanta with odds of 4 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Atalanta is 17.27% with odds of 3.58 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Atalanta vs Fiorentina with odds of 5.6 at Vbet.
Fiorentina - Atalanta Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fiorentina Atalanta Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 43.09% | 5.6 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.15% | 2.11 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 53.75% | 1.75 at William Hill |
| Half-time : Fiorentina / Full-time : Atalanta | 18.25% | 101 at Betfair |
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Form
Fiorentina and Atalanta's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
58 | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 34 |
|
7
|
51 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 |
Fiorentina and Atalanta Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
28 Feb 2025 - Serie A
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
28 Feb 2025 - Serie A
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
19 Jan 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
10 Feb 2025 - Serie A
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
13 Jan 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
1 Mar 2025 - Serie A
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
18 Feb 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
1 Mar 2025 - Serie A
18 Feb 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Serie A
4 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
1 Feb 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - Serie A
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Serie A
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
2 Jun 2024 - Serie A
24 Apr 2024 - Coppa Italia
3 Apr 2024 - Coppa Italia
17 Sep 2023 - Serie A
17 Apr 2023 - Serie A
Fiorentina against Atalanta Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Missing players
E. Bove
A. Colpani
O. Kossounou
G. Scalvini
S. Posch
M. Palestra
ForwardG. Scamacca
Most goals and assists
Fiorentina
Atalanta
M. Kean
(18 Goals)
M. Retegui
(25 Goals)
R. Gosens
(7 Assists)
C. De Ketelaere
(9 Assists)
Fiorentina - Atalanta Key Points
- 15 goals were scored in Atalanta’s last five matches.
- Fiorentina scored three in each of their last two matches.
- Atalanta scored 16 goals in the last four away league matches.
- On average 3.2 goals were scored in Fiorentina’s last five matches.
- Each of the last three meetings between these two sides had over 2.5 goals.
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Our Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction
In recent time, matches pitting these two sides have almost always guaranteed high scores. Atalanta won 3-2 in their latest meeting, meaning each of the last three has now yielded five goals. As the two sides are coming from high scoring matches, we expect the same trend to be carried over here.
Atalanta’s last five matches produced 15 goals while an average of 3.2 goals were scored in Fiorentina’s last five matches. Therefore, our prediction for Fiorentina v Atalanta is over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fiorentina Atalanta
| Fiorentina vs Atalanta | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.25 | -7.1% |
| Atalanta wins | 2 | 2.1 | +5.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atalanta is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 47.6% (-2.4%)
Use the Fiorentina vs. Atalanta game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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