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Finland vs England Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Steve Ashfield in UEFA Nations League Predictions
England have to bounce back after their 2-1 home loss to Greece on Thursday evening. They are second in this Nations League group and travel to Finland who are bottom-of-the-table and facing relegation to League C.
The away side are three points behind leaders Greece after that surprise defeat at Wembley. They have a three point lead over third placed Ireland who they still have to play at home. A win in Finland will take them close to at least earning a promotion play-off position. It's how the Three Lions play that is most important here. Interim coach Lee Carsley employed new tactics against Greece and they failed dismally.
Finland are yet to earn a point in this Nations League group. The Eagle-Owls lost 2-1 at home to Ireland on Thursday, a disappointing result after taking the lead. Another loss here would see them in danger of being automatically relegated. Here's our match prediction.
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The Best Betting Odds for Finland v England Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11 | 6 | 1.25 |
|
|
10 | 5.5 | 1.25 |
|
|
11.9 | 6.27 | 1.27 |
|
|
11.9 | 6.27 | 1.27 |
|
|
12.5 | 5.5 | 1.24 |
|
|
12 | 6 | 1.24 |
|
|
12 | 6 | 1.24 |
|
|
11 | 5.4 | 1.28 |
|
|
11 | 5.75 | 1.26 |
|
|
11 | 5.6 | 1.3 |
|
|
15 | 6.6 | 1.23 |
|
|
12 | 6 | 1.22 |
|
|
11 | 5.8 | 1.26 |
|
|
11 | 5.5 | 1.15 |
|
|
12 | 6 | 1.26 |
|
|
9 | 5 | 1.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Finland and England?
Our prediction for the Finland vs England match is: England to win and over 1.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/10/2024 between Finland and England in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.21% for a win of Finland against England with odds of 15 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Finland vs England is 16.51% with odds of 6.6 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 60.28% chance ⭐ for a win of England vs Finland with odds of 1.3 at Tonybet.
Finland - England Prediction and Best Odds:
| Finland England Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| England wins | 60.28% | 1.3 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.17% | 1.89 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | 2.25 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: England | 27.33% | 4 at Betsson |
Finland vs England Form
Finland and England's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 |
|
4
|
0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 |
Finland and England Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jul 2024 - Euro
10 Jul 2024 - Euro
6 Jul 2024 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jul 2024 - Euro
30 Jun 2024 - Euro
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jul 2024 - Euro
10 Jul 2024 - Euro
20 Jun 2024 - Euro
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
Finland vs England Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Finland - England: Form Analysis
England have six points after their first three games of this Nations League group. They trail leaders Greece by three points and travel there in their next fixture in November. The Three Lions had beaten Ireland and Finland before Thursday's 2-1 home loss.
England have a strong away record.
They have only lost one of their last 14 away matches and that was when beaten by Spain in the Euro 2024 final. Just one of their last six away games in the Nations League has been won but they've played some tough opponents, far tougher than Finland.
The home side are without a win in their last five matches and lost 2-0 away to England last month. Three of their last five home fixtures have ended in defeat and only one of ther last four home Nations League matches has been won.
Finland have already conceded seven goals in this group and more look to be on the way this weekend. We go for England to win this match and over 1.5 goals to be scored in the match.
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Finland against England Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 1 - 3
Finland & England Squad Analysis
England will have to make changes for this match against Finland. Interim coach Lee Carsley said after Thursday's loss to Greece that he "will definitely freshen up the team for the next game."
Watkins could start this match against Finland.
Harry Kane and Jack Grealish both missed Thursday's match but could return for this game. They might only be on the subs bench at the start of the game. If Kane isn't fit, it may well be that unlike against Greece, Carsley begins with a number nine with Ollie Watkins likely to fill that spot.
Bukayo Saka injured his right leg on Thursday and is a doubt for this match. Another loss for Carsley would certainly dent his hopes of taking the England job full-time and he's aleady been talking of returning to his job as coach of the Under-21 team.
Finland really need to get a win here to boost their chances of avoiding relegation to League C. Teemu Pukki may return to the side for this match against England but they will continue to be without Kaan Kairinen.
Most goals and assists
Finland
England
J. Pohjanpalo
(1 Goals)
,
A. Hoskonen
(1 Goals)
H. Kane
(3 Goals)
L. Walta
(1 Assists)
N. Madueke
(2 Assists)
,
J. Bellingham
(2 Assists)
Finland - England Key Points
- England beat Finland 2-0 in the reverse fixture.
- England have only lost one of their last 14 away matches.
- Finland have gone five matches without a win.
- The last seven Finland defeats have all seen over 1.5 goals scored in the match.
- The last three England away games have all had over 1.5 goals scored in them.
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Our Finland vs England Prediction
England need to get three points from this Nations League after Thursday's loss. Lee Carsley will make changes not just because of injuries but the fact the side he picked for the Greece match just didn't work. Is he really good enough to be the full-time coach?
Finland are in desperate trouble at the bottom of the group and look on their way to League C. They have lost all three of their group matches with seven goals conceded and lost 2-0 at Wembley.
Our main Finland v England prediction is England to win and over 1.5 goals.
Finland vs England - Other Interesting Predictions
England to lead at half and full time
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Finland England
| Finland vs England | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finland wins | 9.5 | 11 | +15.8% |
| Draw | 5 | 6 | +20.0% |
| England wins | 1.33 | 1.25 | -6.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- England is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 80.0% (4.8%)
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Finland vs England match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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