Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Lyon Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
18/08/2026 15:00
Lyon

Prediction :

 

Fenerbahce Istanbul wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Champions League Predictions

Fenerbahçe facing Lyon is one of the heavyweight matches lined up in the playoff round of the Champions League. The first leg of this tie will be hosted in Turkey, with Lyon hoping to rise against Turkish opposition. Fenerbahçe are on a good run at home, and our prediction backs them to prevail.

Fenerbahçe are coming off a shock 2-1 defeat at Genclebirligi, their first of the season. Prior to that, they had gone on a four-match unbeaten run in the Champions League, winning three.

The Turkish giants beat Sturm Graz home and away in the last round, winning 3-0 on aggregate. With the recent signing of Romelu Lukaku, there’s a positive mood across Fenerbahçe, and they’ll be keen on a win here.

Lyon will be desperate to stay in the Champions League, even though a Europa League consolation awaits the loser here. Last season they were top in the Europa League main draw and wish to play in a higher competition this time.

However, their away record in recent times has been a bit questionable. In the last round, they suffered a 2-1 loss on the road against Sparta Prague, though they managed a 3-0 win at home, taking control of the tie.

It will still be a concern, having lost their last two away matches.

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Fenerbahce Istanbul v Lyon Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.08 3.5 3.4
1xbet
1.94 3.6 3.83
Melbet
1.9 3.58 4.02
Betwinner
2.11 3.46 3.44
22bet
1.94 3.6 3.83
Check all Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Lyon odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Fenerbahce Istanbul and Lyon?

Our prediction for the Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Lyon match is: Fenerbahçe wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/08/2026 between Fenerbahce Istanbul and Lyon in Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.73% for a win of Fenerbahce Istanbul against Lyon with odds of 2.11 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Lyon is 27.06% with odds of 3.65 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 20.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Lyon vs Fenerbahce Istanbul with odds of 4.02 at Melbet.

Fenerbahce Istanbul - Lyon Prediction and Best Odds:

Fenerbahce Istanbul Lyon Prediction Probability Odds
Fenerbahce Istanbul wins 52.73% 2.11 at Betwinner
Over 2.5 goals 55.41% 1.98 at 888Starz
Both Team To Score: No 62.5% 2.17 at 1xbet
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Fenerbahce Istanbul 21.89% 5.5 at Roobet

Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Lyon Form

Fenerbahce Istanbul and Lyon Last Matches

Fenerbahce Istanbul
Fenerbahce Istanbul Last matches
W W D W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Aug 2026 - Super Lig

Genclerbirligi SK
2 :  1
Fenerbahce Istanbul

11 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
0 :  1
Fenerbahce Istanbul

5 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
2 :  0
Sturm Graz

29 Jul 2026 - Champions League

Gornik Zabrze
1 :  1
Fenerbahce Istanbul

21 Jul 2026 - Champions League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
1 :  0
Gornik Zabrze

14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

LASK Linz
1 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul
W D W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
2 :  0
Sturm Graz

21 Jul 2026 - Champions League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
1 :  0
Gornik Zabrze

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Fenerbahce Istanbul
4 :  0
MKS Pogon Szczecin

8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Fenerbahce Istanbul
5 :  0
FC Admira Wacker Modling

17 May 2026 - Super Lig

Fenerbahce Istanbul
3 :  3
Eyupspor

2 May 2026 - Super Lig

Fenerbahce Istanbul
3 :  1
Istanbul Basaksehir
L W W D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Aug 2026 - Super Lig

Genclerbirligi SK
2 :  1
Fenerbahce Istanbul

11 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
0 :  1
Fenerbahce Istanbul

29 Jul 2026 - Champions League

Gornik Zabrze
1 :  1
Fenerbahce Istanbul

14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

LASK Linz
1 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul

9 May 2026 - Super Lig

Konyaspor
0 :  3
Fenerbahce Istanbul

26 Apr 2026 - Super Lig

Galatasaray
3 :  0
Fenerbahce Istanbul
Lyon
Lyon Last matches
W L W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Lyon
3 :  0
Sparta Prague

4 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Sparta Prague
2 :  1
Lyon

29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Betis
4 :  0
Lyon

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Wolfsburg
0 :  2
Lyon

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lyon
0 :  2
Slavia Prague

15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lyon
2 :  1
Servette Geneva
L W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

11 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Lyon
3 :  0
Sparta Prague

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lyon
0 :  2
Slavia Prague

15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lyon
2 :  1
Servette Geneva

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lyon
6 :  3
St. Gallen

8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lyon
5 :  2
Macon 71

17 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
0 :  4
Lens
D W L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Sparta Prague
2 :  1
Lyon

29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Betis
4 :  0
Lyon

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Wolfsburg
0 :  2
Lyon

10 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  1
Lyon

19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  2
Lyon

5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
0 :  0
Lyon

Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Lyon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Fenerbahce Istanbul

0 %

Draw

100 %

Lyon

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

0
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

23 Jan 2025 - Europa League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
0 :  0
Lyon
Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Lyon Prediction

Fenerbahce Istanbul against Lyon Lineups: Starting 11

Fenerbahce Istanbul

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

31
Ederson
27
N. Semedo
37
M. Skriniar
15
N. Ake
3
A. Brown
91
N. Kante
6
M. Guendouzi
11
M. Greenwood
94
Talisca
7
K. Akturkoglu
19
V. Muriqi
11
M. Fofana
17
L. Openda
7
E. Nuamah
23
T. Morton
8
C. Tolisso
6
T. Tessmann
16
Abner
19
M. Niakhate
21
R. Kluivert
98
A. Maitland-Niles
1
D. Greif

Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3

Lyon

Substitutes

Fenerbahce Istanbul
Fenerbahce Istanbul
Goalkeeper

K. Sapaz

T. Cetin

Defender

Y. Demir

M. Muldur

Midfielder

L. Mercan

I. Yuksek

B. Elmaz

Forward

O. Aydin

N. Dorgeles

K. Akturkoglu 73'

I. Kahveci

M. Asensio

Talisca 73'

R. Lukaku

V. Muriqi 82'

Lyon
Lyon
Goalkeeper

J. Bengui Joao

R. Descamps

Defender

F. Bacher

M. Ouedraogo

M. Fofana 90'

Z. Athekame

C. Mata

R. Kluivert 75'

Midfielder

M. Bidstrup

T. Morton 86'

N. Nartey

K. Boudache

E. Nuamah 75'

M. De Carvalho

Forward

R. Himbert

J. Duranville

Missing players

Fenerbahce Istanbul
Fenerbahce Istanbul
Lyon
Lyon
Defender

N. Tagliafico

Midfielder

K. Merah

Forward

P. Sulc

Fenerbahce Istanbul - Lyon Key Points

  1. Lyon lost their last away match in Europe.
  2. Fenerbahçe have won three of their last four games.
  3. In their latest two away games, Lyon suffered defeat.
  4. Fenerbahçe won five of their last nine UCL games at home.
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Our Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Lyon Prediction

Fenerbahce are proving to be quite strong at home, and this will be a clash they look to win to gain an advantage in the tie. Though with a poor head-to-head run against Lyon, in regulation time, Fener haven’t lost at home to French opposition in the last seven outings.

On the other hand, Lyon are winless in regular time against Turkish opponents in the last three matches. All these point us to a possible away defeat. Our prediction for Fenerbahce v Lyon is that Fenerbahce wins.

Prediction :

 

Fenerbahce Istanbul wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fenerbahce Istanbul Lyon

Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Lyon Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Fenerbahce Istanbul wins 1.94 2.11 +8.8%
Draw 3.68 3.65 -0.8%
Lyon wins 3.72 4.02 +8.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Fenerbahce Istanbul is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 8.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 51.5% and is now 47.4% (-4.2%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.