Turkey - Turkiye Kupasi
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by Sridhar in Football Predictions
It's the third Intercontinental Derby of the season as Fenerbahce and Galatasaray clash in the quarter finals of the Turkish Cup on Wednesday. This match between the Yellow Canaries and the visiting Yellow-Reds comes with our prediction of a draw or an away team win.
The winner of this single-leg elimination match will play the winner of Konyaspor vs İskenderunspor in the semi-finals. Galatasaray are the record winners in this competition with 18 titles, while Fenerbahce are left behind on seven. With the title race in the league very tight, both teams will view this competition as one to win a title. The winner of this tie also has the advantage of knocking out their biggest competitor in this tournament.
Will that be Fenerbahce or Galatasaray? This year's record for Gala against Fenerbahce has been impressive, but will that be sufficient to drive them here? Read further for our prediction and analysis of this Fenerbahce vs Galatasaray Turkish Cup quarter-final.
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The Best Betting Odds for Fenerbahce Istanbul v Galatasaray Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 3.5 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.3 | 2.6 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.53 | 3.89 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.53 | 3.89 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fenerbahce Istanbul and Galatasaray?
Our prediction for the Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Galatasaray match is: draw or Galatasaray wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/04/2025 between Fenerbahce Istanbul and Galatasaray in Turkiye Kupasi :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.88% for a win of Fenerbahce Istanbul against Galatasaray with odds of 2.3 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Galatasaray is 22.78% with odds of 3.67 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce Istanbul with odds of 3.89 at 1xbet.
Fenerbahce Istanbul - Galatasaray Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fenerbahce Istanbul Galatasaray Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce Istanbul wins | 45.88% | 2.3 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.99% | 1.6 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 56.67% | 1.53 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Fenerbahce Istanbul/Fenerbahce Istanbul | 19.39% | 3.3 at Betfair |
Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Galatasaray Form
Fenerbahce Istanbul and Galatasaray Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Mar 2025 - Super Lig
16 Mar 2025 - Super Lig
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - Super Lig
27 Feb 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Super Lig
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - Super Lig
16 Feb 2025 - Super Lig
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
5 Feb 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Mar 2025 - Super Lig
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
27 Feb 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
24 Feb 2025 - Super Lig
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
9 Feb 2025 - Super Lig
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Super Lig
14 Mar 2025 - Super Lig
9 Mar 2025 - Super Lig
2 Mar 2025 - Super Lig
27 Feb 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
24 Feb 2025 - Super Lig
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2025 - Super Lig
27 Feb 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
24 Feb 2025 - Super Lig
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
25 Jan 2025 - Super Lig
21 Jan 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Super Lig
9 Mar 2025 - Super Lig
2 Mar 2025 - Super Lig
17 Feb 2025 - Super Lig
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
6 Feb 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Galatasaray Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Feb 2025 - Super Lig
21 Sep 2024 - Super Lig
19 May 2024 - Super Lig
24 Dec 2023 - Super Lig
4 Jun 2023 - Super Lig
8 Jan 2023 - Super Lig
Fenerbahce Istanbul - Galatasaray: Form Analysis
Fenerbahce won 4-2 away at Bodrum in their last match to claim their second win in the last four outings across all competitions. That sequence included an away win over Rangers in the Europa League, although they would ultimately be eliminated on penalties. However, with this most recent victory, Fenerbahce have come back into the contention for winning the title.
While they remain six points behind with a game in hand in the league, progression in the Turkish Cup could be vital to their hopes of lifting silverware, as the domestic title isn't yet up for grabs.
Home form gives hope for the fans as they have eight wins and two draws from their last 11 matches here. That said, they failed to win their last two matches at this venue.
Galatasaray are unbeaten this season against Fenerbahce.
They won and drew one match each, and crucially that win is a 3-1 result at this venue earlier in the campaign. The visitors still need to do better than in their recent form, as a 2-1 away defeat at Besiktas last time made it just two wins from their last seven matches.
The defending Super Lig champions' away record in all competitions is equally poor, as Galatasaray won two and lost two of their five recent trips. Yet, playing the Intercontinental derby could make things interesting for them.
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Players list
I. Egribayat
DefenderY. Akcicek
C. Soyuncu
M. Skriniar
MidfielderFred
S. Szymanski
S. Amrabat
Talisca
ForwardO. Aydin
F. Kostic
Y. En-Nesyri
G. Guvenc
DefenderA. Bardakci
D. Sanchez
E. Elmali
MidfielderL. Torreira
Gabriel
M. Lemina
K. Ayhan
ForwardY. Akgun
B. Yilmaz
V. Osimhen
Substitutes
D. Livakovic
DefenderM. Muldur
MidfielderB. Osayi-Samuel
I. Yuksek
L. Mercan
M. Yandas
ForwardA. Saint-Maximin
E. Dzeko
I. Kahveci
D. Tadic
F. Muslera
DefenderI. Jakobs
P. Frankowski
C. Cuesta
MidfielderK. Demirbay
B. Kutlu
ForwardR. Sallai
A. Morata
A. Kutucu
D. Mertens
Missing players
D. Carlos
Fenerbahce Istanbul & Galatasaray Squad Analysis
Fenerbahce have a few injury concerns to think about ahead of this big clash. They have seen Fred and Caglar Soyuncu miss the match against Bodrum due to injuries. They are back in training, though, and the duo is likely to push for a start.
Allan Saint-Maximin featured for just 19 minutes in their last match and could be on the bench again. That leaves Youssef En-Nesyri and Talisca to lead their attack in their 3-4-1-2 formation, leaving Irfan Can Kahveci to play a bit deeper.
Talisca and En-Nesyri have a combined seven goals in this competition this season.
Galatasaray don't have too many inspiring performances from this competition. Six different players have netted once each! Alvaro Morata is once again likely to start behind Victor Osimhen, who will be their lead forward in a 4-2-3-1 formation.
Dries Mertens may fancy his chances, but a little under 45 minutes of combined action in their last two matches means he may have to stay on the bench.
Most goals and assists
Fenerbahce Istanbul
Galatasaray
Y. En-Nesyri
(22 Goals)
V. Osimhen
(27 Goals)
D. Tadic
(9 Assists)
D. Mertens
(9 Assists)
Fenerbahce Istanbul - Galatasaray Key Points
- Fenerbahce failed to win five of their last eight matches in all competitions.
- At home, Fenerbahce have a draw and a defeat in their last two matches here.
- Galatasaray have avoided defeat in six of their last seven matches in all competitions.
- On the road, Galatasaray have won four and drawn one of their last seven away competitive matches.
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Our Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Galatasaray Prediction
The race for the Turkish Super Lig title has just become interesting, with only six points separating Galatasaray and Fenerbahce. Fenerbahce even have a game in hand, but the focus for both teams will be the Turkish Cup. Galatasaray have already won 3-1 at this venue and have drawn 0-0 in the reverse fixture of their Super Lig encounters. While this match remains the biggest draw of this round, the hosts may struggle to close out the match. Our Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Galatasaray prediction is draw or Galatasaray wins.
Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Galatasaray - Other Interesting Predictions
Victor Osimhen to score any time
Victor Osimhen continues to be one of the big names in world football despite getting shunted out from Napoli to Galatasaray. He comes to this match in great form, having scored 12 goals in his last nine matches for club and country. He didn't find the back of the net against Besiktas in their last match, but the Nigerian will be a good pick to score here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fenerbahce Istanbul Galatasaray
| Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Galatasaray | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce Istanbul wins | 1.91 | 1.95 | +2.1% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.5 | -2.8% |
| Galatasaray wins | 3.75 | 3.7 | -1.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Fenerbahce Istanbul is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.4% and is now 51.3% (-1.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Fenerbahce Istanbul vs. Galatasaray game!
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Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Galatasaray match : Frequently asked questions
The Fenerbahce v Galatasaray Turkish Cup match will not be shown live in the UK. You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our Turkish Cup Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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