Turkey - Super Lig
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Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Galatasaray Prediction & Betting Tips - Super Lig
by Devesh Jaganath in Super Lig Predictions
It’s time for the first ‘Intercontinental Derby’ of the 2024-25 Turkish Super League season! Istanbul giants Fenerbahce and Galatasaray are set to collide on Saturday evening at Ulker Stadyumu in what could be a crucial match in the title race even this early in the season. Cimbom are already atop the league standings after five games while the Yellow Canaries are hot on their heels in second. To the prediction!
Last season, Gala won the Super Lig by just three points to deny Fener the title for a second season in a row. Thus, the hosts this week will know all to well the importance of getting a result here, as a defeat will see them slip five point behind their arch-rivals in the standings.
This is a rivalry that stretches back over 100 years and when these two lock horns, it’s more than just the three points they’re playing for - it’s about pride, tradition and honour. Who will come out on top in this one? Let’s get into the key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Fenerbahce Istanbul v Galatasaray Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 3.25 | 3.2 |
|
|
2 | 3.5 | 3 |
|
|
2.11 | 3.99 | 3.33 |
|
|
2.11 | 3.99 | 3.33 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.5 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.88 | 3.24 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.88 | 3.24 |
|
|
2.09 | 3.5 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.84 | 3.22 |
|
|
2.13 | 3.55 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.32 | 3.23 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.3 | 3 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.5 | 3.55 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.46 | 3.17 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.5 | 3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fenerbahce Istanbul and Galatasaray?
Our prediction for the Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Galatasaray match is: Goals Handicap (3-way) Galatasaray +1!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/09/2024 between Fenerbahce Istanbul and Galatasaray in Super Lig :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.21% for a win of Fenerbahce Istanbul against Galatasaray with odds of 2.28 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Galatasaray is 13.75% with odds of 3.99 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce Istanbul with odds of 3.55 at Unibet.
Fenerbahce Istanbul - Galatasaray Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fenerbahce Istanbul Galatasaray Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce Istanbul wins | 53.21% | 2.28 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.84% | 1.73 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 60.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Fenerbahce Istanbul/Fenerbahce Istanbul | 23.37% | 3.6 at Bet365 |
Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Galatasaray Form
Fenerbahce Istanbul and Galatasaray's standings in the Super Lig
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 21 |
|
2
|
26 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 18 |
Fenerbahce Istanbul and Galatasaray Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Super Lig
30 Aug 2024 - Super Lig
25 Aug 2024 - Super Lig
17 Aug 2024 - Super Lig
13 Aug 2024 - Champions League
10 Aug 2024 - Super Lig
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2024 - Super Lig
13 Aug 2024 - Champions League
10 Aug 2024 - Super Lig
30 Jul 2024 - Champions League
18 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Super Lig
25 Aug 2024 - Super Lig
17 Aug 2024 - Super Lig
6 Aug 2024 - Champions League
23 Jul 2024 - Champions League
6 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sep 2024 - Super Lig
14 Sep 2024 - Super Lig
31 Aug 2024 - Super Lig
27 Aug 2024 - Champions League
21 Aug 2024 - Champions League
16 Aug 2024 - Super Lig
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sep 2024 - Super Lig
14 Sep 2024 - Super Lig
27 Aug 2024 - Champions League
9 Aug 2024 - Super Lig
3 Aug 2024 - Super Cup
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Super Lig
21 Aug 2024 - Champions League
16 Aug 2024 - Super Lig
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Galatasaray Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 May 2024 - Super Lig
24 Dec 2023 - Super Lig
4 Jun 2023 - Super Lig
8 Jan 2023 - Super Lig
10 Apr 2022 - Super Lig
21 Nov 2021 - Super Lig
Fenerbahce Istanbul - Galatasaray: Form Analysis
It was almost exactly four months ago when these two met at RAMS Park and Fenerbahce came away with a 1-0 victory to keep the title race alive heading into the final match of the season - albeit in vain, as Gala went on to lift the title a week later.
The Yellow Canaries’ lost just a single league fixture last season while Gala last two, but the former came up three points short of the title owing to their six draw results, compared to Cimbom’s three.
This season, Fener are already two points behind their rivals, again owing to a draw against Goztepe in gameweek two, before notching up three consecutive wins over Rizespor, Alanyaspor and Kasimpasa.
Fenerbahce are unbeaten in their last 15 Super Lig home games and have won their last eight in a row!
Meanwhile, Galatasaray have made the perfect start to the new league season, racking up five wins in a row, making them the only team in the Turkish top flight to maintain a flawless record over the early stages of the campaign.
Cimbom have also been in excellent goal-scoring form over the early knockings, having already scored 17 goals in the first five, 13 of which came in just their last three league games alone.
Gala failed to win either league match against their old foes last season, drawing at this venue and losing at home. However, they were awarded the Super Cup victory after the Yellow Canaries walked off the pitch in the second minute.
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Fenerbahce Istanbul against Galatasaray Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Fenerbahce Istanbul & Galatasaray Squad Analysis
Jose Mourinho is expected to be without the services of at least two players for this match, with Bright Osayi-Samuel ruled out with a muscle injury and Juventus loanee Filip Kostic currently on personal leave.
Dusan Tadic has scored three goals in his last two games and will almost certainly keep his place in the starting 11 as the furthest-forward midfielder, while Fred will provide the defensive cover in the number-six role.
Fener’s Edin Dzeko and Gala’s Baris Alper Yilmaz are the joint top scorers in the Super Lig this season!
Cimbom are also likely to have two notable absentees this week, with Mauro Icardi and Hakim Ziyech both sidelined until the end of the month with muscle injuries.
Young centre-back Ali Yesilyurt is the only other known injury concern for the visitors, while new arrival Roland Sallai could receive his debut this weekend after completing his move to Istanbul from Freiburg last week.
Most goals and assists
Fenerbahce Istanbul
Galatasaray
E. Dzeko
(7 Goals)
, 
D. Tadic
(7 Goals)
V. Osimhen
(8 Goals)
A. Saint-Maximin
(3 Assists)
Gabriel
(7 Assists)
Fenerbahce Istanbul - Galatasaray Key Points
- Fenerbahce have not beaten Galatasaray by two clear goals in their last five encounters.
- Galatasaray have only lost one of their last four matches against this opponent.
- Galatasaray are on a five-match winning streak in the league this season.
- Galatasaray have scored 17 goals in their first five matches of the season.
- Galatasaray have won each of their last 11 away league games.
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Our Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Galatasaray Prediction
While Fenerbahce are expectedly favoured to win this one being a home game, Gala have started the season incredibly impressively. This is particularly the case in attack, where they’ve already hit the back of the net 17 times in just five matches.
Even if the Yellow Canaries win the first Intercontinental Derby of the season, we feel that it will not be by more than a goal. Our Fenerbahce vs Galatasaray prediction: Goals Handicap (3-way) Galatasaray +1!
Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Galatasaray - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score (NO)
Fenerbahce have kept clean sheets in their last three league games and have not conceded on their home patch at all this season. Additionally, only one team scored in the last six meetings between these Turkish giants.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fenerbahce Istanbul Galatasaray
| Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Galatasaray | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce Istanbul wins | 2.1 | 2.25 | +7.1% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.25 | -4.4% |
| Galatasaray wins | 3.4 | 3.2 | -5.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Fenerbahce Istanbul is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 44.4% (-3.2%)
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Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Galatasaray match : Frequently asked questions
The Super Lig match between Fenerbahce and Galatasaray will take place at Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi in Istanbul.
The Super Lig match between Fenerbahce and Galatasaray will be broadcast live on ESPN (UK).
You can also keep up-to-the-minute with all the Super Lig Liverscores right here on SportyTrader!
Atilla Karaoglan will take charge of this match with the assistance of Ceyhun Sesigüzel and Suleyman Ozay.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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