Switzerland - Super League
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by Sridhar in Football Predictions
In an interesting matchday 27 of the Swiss Super League this Sunday, Luzern will hope to trip Basel. This match at the Swissporarena in Lucerne between the third-placed Die Leuchten and the league-leading FCB comes with our prediction of at least a point for the home team.
Luzern's 43 points put them just two points behind the leaders, although only one point above Lugano. Basel are only marginally above Servette, thanks to their very impressive goal difference of positive 27.
A 2-2 draw away at Yverdon last week was a point win for Luzern, as they were trailing by two goals until the 88th minute. That said, it marked a third game in the last five league matches that they dropped points.
They will be happy to get back to familiar territory as Luzern won their last four home matches. That gives them a chance to avenge the 2-1 reverse fixture loss, but Basel travel here on the back of consecutive wins—3-1 away at Etoile and 2-0 at home against Sion.
Those were crucial for the leaders, who dropped points in three games before that (D2, L1). Worryingly enough, Basel could win only two of their last six away matches, which may open the door for the hosts to spring a surprise.
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The Best Betting Odds for FC Luzern v FC Basel 1893 Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 3.7 | 1.95 |
|
|
3 | 3.6 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.1 | 2.62 | 2.37 |
|
|
3.31 | 3.9 | 2.03 |
|
|
3.31 | 3.9 | 2.03 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between FC Luzern and FC Basel 1893?
Our prediction for the FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893 match is: FC Luzern wins or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/03/2025 between FC Luzern and FC Basel 1893 in Super League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.14% for a win of FC Luzern against FC Basel 1893 with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893 is 33.39% with odds of 3.9 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.47% chance ⭐ for a win of FC Basel 1893 vs FC Luzern with odds of 2.37 at Ladbrokes.
FC Luzern - FC Basel 1893 Prediction and Best Odds:
| FC Luzern FC Basel 1893 Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| FC Basel 1893 wins | 33.47% | 2.37 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.56% | 1.62 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 80.21% | 1.53 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: FC Basel 1893 | 14.04% | 5.6 at Unibet |
FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893 Form
FC Luzern and FC Basel 1893's standings in the Super League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
52 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 29 |
|
4
|
48 | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
FC Luzern and FC Basel 1893 Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Super League
23 Feb 2025 - Super League
15 Feb 2025 - Super League
9 Feb 2025 - Super League
6 Feb 2025 - Super League
2 Feb 2025 - Super League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - Super League
9 Feb 2025 - Super League
2 Feb 2025 - Super League
26 Jan 2025 - Super League
7 Dec 2024 - Super League
23 Nov 2024 - Super League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Super League
15 Feb 2025 - Super League
6 Feb 2025 - Super League
19 Jan 2025 - Super League
14 Dec 2024 - Super League
30 Nov 2024 - Super League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Super League
26 Feb 2025 - Schweizer Cup
22 Feb 2025 - Super League
16 Feb 2025 - Super League
9 Feb 2025 - Super League
6 Feb 2025 - Super League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Super League
16 Feb 2025 - Super League
6 Feb 2025 - Super League
26 Jan 2025 - Super League
14 Dec 2024 - Super League
4 Dec 2024 - Schweizer Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2025 - Schweizer Cup
22 Feb 2025 - Super League
9 Feb 2025 - Super League
2 Feb 2025 - Super League
19 Jan 2025 - Super League
8 Dec 2024 - Super League
FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893 Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
50 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Feb 2025 - Super League
29 Sep 2024 - Super League
5 May 2024 - Super League
21 Apr 2024 - Super League
FC Luzern against FC Basel 1893 Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Most goals and assists
FC Luzern
FC Basel 1893
K. Carlos
(10 Goals)
, 
X. Shaqiri
(10 Goals)
L. Villiger
(4 Assists)
X. Shaqiri
(11 Assists)
FC Luzern - FC Basel 1893 Key Points
- Luzern won their last four home league matches.
- Luzern were beaten in just two of their last nine Super League matches (W5, D2, L2).
- Luzern avoided defeat in three of their last four league matches against Basel (W1, D2, L1).
- Basel could win just two of their last six away league matches (W2, D3, L1).
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Our FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893 Prediction
The Swiss Super League is at a very interesting juncture where the top four teams are separated by a mere three points. Basel are leading the pack, but a loss here to Luzern could see them drop out of the top three spots. Luzern will back their chances, especially as they have been in irresistible form at home. Basel haven't quite dominated teams on their travels recently and have been drawing too many matches for their comfort. The hosts could surprise here, and our FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893 prediction is FC Luzern wins or draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis FC Luzern FC Basel 1893
| FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893 | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Luzern wins | 3 | 3.5 | +16.7% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.7 | +2.8% |
| FC Basel 1893 wins | 2.2 | 1.95 | -11.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- FC Basel 1893 is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 51.3% (5.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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