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FC Lugano vs Pafos FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
by Daniel Ngulu in Conference League Predictions
Swiss side Lugano, keen on defending their placing in the Conference League top eight, will be at home against Pafos. The two sides clash on Thursday, separated by three points in the league phase standings. Below is our prediction of the match.
Lugano responded to the defeat against TSC with two straight wins in this competition. Coming from behind to beat Legia Warsaw 2-1 lifted them to fifth, on 12 points.
They weren’t, however, so fortunate in the run up to this game, losing 4-1 at home to Lausanne-Sport in the Swiss league. That defeat brough to a halt a run of three straight wins.
While Lugano are going into their final match of 2024, Pafos will still have one more in the Cypriot league. The visitors are coming into the game on a superb run and will be eyeing a fourth straight win here.
One of the earlier three matches was in the Conference League, a 2-0 home victory against Celje. Heading into this game, they warmed up with a 2-0 victory away to Nea Salamis.
Their form in the Conference League has been patchy; two of their last four matches ended in defeat. Their away form in the competition is, however, worse. Pafos have four losses in their last five away matches in the Conference League.
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The Best Betting Odds for FC Lugano v Pafos FC Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.5 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.45 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.48 | 3.29 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.48 | 3.29 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.24 | 3.6 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.24 | 3.6 | 3.05 |
|
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2.26 | 3.45 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.24 | 3.46 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.21 | 3.6 | 3.35 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.25 | 3.1 |
|
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2.15 | 3.4 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.3 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.23 | 3.55 | 3.28 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.12 | 3.35 | 3.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between FC Lugano and Pafos FC?
Our prediction for the FC Lugano vs Pafos FC match is: Lugano to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/12/2024 between FC Lugano and Pafos FC in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50% for a win of FC Lugano against Pafos FC with odds of 2.5 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FC Lugano vs Pafos FC is 6.29% with odds of 3.6 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Pafos FC vs FC Lugano with odds of 3.4 at Unibet.
FC Lugano - Pafos FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| FC Lugano Pafos FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lugano wins | 50% | 2.5 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.14% | 2 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 42.86% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : FC Lugano/FC Lugano | 24.03% | 3.6 at Bet365 |
FC Lugano vs Pafos FC Form
FC Lugano and Pafos FC's standings in the Conference League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
|
12
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
FC Lugano and Pafos FC Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2024 - Super League
12 Dec 2024 - Conference League
7 Dec 2024 - Super League
4 Dec 2024 - Schweizer Cup
1 Dec 2024 - Super League
28 Nov 2024 - Conference League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2024 - Super League
28 Nov 2024 - Conference League
24 Nov 2024 - Super League
3 Nov 2024 - Super League
27 Oct 2024 - Super League
3 Oct 2024 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Dec 2024 - Conference League
7 Dec 2024 - Super League
4 Dec 2024 - Schweizer Cup
1 Dec 2024 - Super League
10 Nov 2024 - Super League
7 Nov 2024 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Dec 2024 - Cyta Championship
12 Dec 2024 - Conference League
7 Dec 2024 - Cyta Championship
2 Dec 2024 - Cyta Championship
28 Nov 2024 - Conference League
23 Nov 2024 - Cyta Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Dec 2024 - Conference League
2 Dec 2024 - Cyta Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Cyta Championship
7 Nov 2024 - Conference League
3 Nov 2024 - Cyta Championship
24 Oct 2024 - Conference League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Dec 2024 - Cyta Championship
7 Dec 2024 - Cyta Championship
28 Nov 2024 - Conference League
10 Nov 2024 - Cyta Championship
28 Oct 2024 - Cyta Championship
6 Oct 2024 - Cyta Championship
FC Lugano against Pafos FC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Most goals and assists
FC Lugano
Pafos FC
R. Steffen
(8 Goals)
J. Da Silva
(10 Goals)
M. Zanotti
(4 Assists)
,
R. Steffen
(4 Assists)
Jaja
(2 Assists)
FC Lugano - Pafos FC Key Points
- Lugano have six wins in seven matches at home.
- In five Conference League matches Lugano have four wins.
- In five away Conference League matches, Pafos posted four losses.
- Twice in the last four Conference League matches, Pafos were beaten.
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Our FC Lugano vs Pafos FC Prediction
In the first ever meeting between Lugano and Pafos, the visitors come at a disadvantage. Lugano are on a better run ahead of the match and will be keen to wrap up the year in the top eight.
They are doing well in the Swiss league and will be confident of carrying the form to Europe in this final game of 2024. Pafos are also doing well in their league but not in Europe. The visitors will be the underdogs here and their away form in the Conference League doesn’t help. Our prediction for Lugano v Pafos is for Lugano to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis FC Lugano Pafos FC
| FC Lugano vs Pafos FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Lugano wins | 1.73 | 2.2 | +27.2% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.4 | -9.3% |
| Pafos FC wins | 4.5 | 3.1 | -31.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- FC Lugano is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 27.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.8% and is now 45.5% (-12.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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