Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Devesh Jaganath in Liga Portugal Predictions
Two sides at opposite ends of the Liga Portugal table will meet on Sunday when Farense play host to Porto at Estadio de Sao Luis. Leoes de Faro are second-bottom in the league standings while Os Dragoes are in third place after 21 games. Let’s get into the match prediction!
After ending last season comfortably in mid-table, Farense have experienced a major drop-off this term, currently on 15 points after 21 games and three points from safety.
The Lions of Faro suffered their 12th defeat of the season last week 2-0 to Nacional. That was their third straight loss in the top flight and sixth without victory dating back to mid-December.
At home, the hosts are winless in four matches (W0 D1 L3) and conceded two or more goals in each of their last three. They have only taken seven points from a possible 30 at this venue this season.
Meanwhile, Porto will be returning to the domestic league after playing out a 1-1 draw against Roma in their Europa League first-leg playoff round match in midweek.
Os Dragoes have not been in great form in Liga Portugal of late, winless in their last five games (W0 D3 L2) - a notable dip after winning eight of their preceding 10 league games.
The visitors have also failed to win any of their last three away games and have only won one of their last six on the road in the top flight.
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The Best Betting Odds for Farense v Porto Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.5 | 4 | 1.62 |
|
|
6.5 | 3.75 | 1.5 |
|
|
5 | 2.5 | 1.91 |
|
|
5.65 | 4.13 | 1.63 |
|
|
5.65 | 4.13 | 1.63 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Farense and Porto?
Our prediction for the Farense vs Porto match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/02/2025 between Farense and Porto in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.77% for a win of Farense against Porto with odds of 7 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Farense vs Porto is 23.26% with odds of 4.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 53.97% chance ⭐ for a win of Porto vs Farense with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
Farense - Porto Prediction and Best Odds:
| Farense Porto Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 53.97% | 1.91 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.42% | 2.14 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 49.58% | |
| Half-time : Farense / Full-time : Porto | 20.35% | 29 at Betsson |
Farense vs Porto Form
Farense and Porto's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
62 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 31 |
|
18
|
21 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -21 |
Farense and Porto Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2025 - Taca de Portugal
5 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2025 - Taca de Portugal
29 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
14 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
29 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
8 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
23 Nov 2024 - Taca de Portugal
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
7 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
26 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
7 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
28 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
16 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
19 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
3 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
Farense vs Porto Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
28 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
20 Aug 2023 - Liga Portugal
10 May 2021 - Liga Portugal
25 Jan 2021 - Liga Portugal
Farense against Porto Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Most goals and assists
Farense
Porto
Tomane
(3 Goals)
S. Aghehowa
(22 Goals)
M. Matias
(3 Assists)
F. Moura
(9 Assists)
Farense - Porto Key Points
- Four of Farense’s last seven league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Farense have conceded two or more goals in four of their last six home league games.
- Four of Porto’s last seven league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Porto have conceded two or more goals in each of their last three away league games.
- Three or more goals were scored in each of the last four matches between these sides.
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Our Farense vs Porto Prediction
Farense have experienced a major fall from grace this season, and much of their troubles have stemmed from their leaky defence that has already shipped 30 goals this term, including seven in their last three matches.
Porto have certainly not been at their best lately either, winless in five games, though they do still carry a significant attacking threat and we feel that a few goals will be forthcoming in this match. Our Farense vs Porto prediction is over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Farense Porto
| Farense vs Porto | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Farense wins | 7.5 | 5.5 | -26.7% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 4 | -15.8% |
| Porto wins | 1.4 | 1.62 | +15.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 71.4% and is now 61.7% (-9.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Farense vs. Porto game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Farense and Porto? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Liga Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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