Portugal - Liga Portugal
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Farense vs Estrela Amadora Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
by Steve Ashfield in Liga Portugal Predictions
Bottom-of-the-table Farense host Estrela who are 15th in the table. The visitors are one place above the Primeira League relegation zone but only four points ahead of Farense. Can the Lions of Faro get a second home win of the league season? Read our match prediction below.
Farense have only earned five points from their 11 league games this season. They have really been struggling for goals with just five scored but three of them have come at home. Their only league win this season was achieved at home against Estoril thanks to a 95th minute winner.
Last weekend saw them win in the Portuguese Cup so they will hope that is a turning point for them. A win over Estrela will see them close the gap between them and safety to just a single point. Four of their last five games have seen both teams score.
Estrela are also struggling with just nine points earned this season. It's their away form which is causing them the most problems. Five away league matches have produced just one draw and four defeats with just two goals scored.
Last weekend was a disaster with a 7-0 loss away to Benfica. We tip Farense to win this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Farense v Estrela Amadora Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.3 | 3.2 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.1 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.28 | 3.45 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.28 | 3.45 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.15 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.15 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.15 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.12 | 3.39 |
|
|
2.3 | 3 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.05 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.25 | 3 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.1 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.38 | 3 | 3.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Farense and Estrela Amadora?
Our prediction for the Farense vs Estrela Amadora match is: Farense to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/11/2024 between Farense and Estrela Amadora in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.76% for a win of Farense against Estrela Amadora with odds of 2.38 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Farense vs Estrela Amadora is 14.46% with odds of 3.28 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Estrela Amadora vs Farense with odds of 3.45 at 1xbet.
Farense - Estrela Amadora Prediction and Best Odds:
| Farense Estrela Amadora Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Farense wins | 44.76% | 2.38 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.93% | 2.41 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 42.71% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Farense | 16.49% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Farense vs Estrela Amadora Form
Farense and Estrela Amadora's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
16 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -14 |
|
16
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -12 |
Farense and Estrela Amadora Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Taca de Portugal
9 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
2 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
27 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
20 Oct 2024 - Taca de Portugal
6 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
6 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
22 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
11 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
18 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Taca de Portugal
9 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
27 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
20 Oct 2024 - Taca de Portugal
30 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
15 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Taca de Portugal
10 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
1 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
27 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
19 Oct 2024 - Taca de Portugal
5 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
27 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
28 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
16 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
19 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Taca de Portugal
1 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
19 Oct 2024 - Taca de Portugal
5 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
21 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
24 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
Farense vs Estrela Amadora Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2023 - Liga Portugal
3 Feb 2023 - Segunda Liga
28 Jan 2022 - Segunda Liga
Players list
R. Velho
DefenderLucas Africo
M. Moreno
D. Custodio Lima
P. Victor
MidfielderC. Falcao
A. Seruca
A. Neto
ForwardM. Merghem
J. Gomes Pinto
A. Bermejo Escribano
B. Brigido
DefenderD. Melo Veiga
M. Lopes
D. Travassos
R. Lima
Nilton
MidfielderManu
L. Bucca
Kikas
ForwardP. Valente Moreira
R. Pinho
Substitutes
K. Pereira
DefenderArtur Jorge
R. Silva
A. Seruca
R. Barbosa
M. Merghem
A. Bermejo Escribano
J. Gomes Pinto
D. Poloni
M. Gudzulic
DefenderD. Travassos
Tiago Gabriel
G. Montoia
MidfielderM. Keliano
P. Valente Moreira
L. Bucca
Manu
Kikas
Most goals and assists
Farense
Estrela Amadora
D. Poveda
(2 Goals)
, 
M. Matias
(2 Goals)
Kikas
(4 Goals)
, 
R. Pinho
(4 Goals)
M. Matias
(3 Assists)
A. Ruiz
(3 Assists)
Farense - Estrela Amadora Key Points
- Farense won away in the cup last weekend.
- Estrela have only earned one point from five away league games.
- Estrela have not won for 18 away matches.
- Estrela have conceded 16 goals in their last four matches.
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Our Farense vs Estrela Amadora Prediction
Estrela have a terrible away record and Farense will hope to exploit that this weekend. The visitors lost a cup game 7-0 at Benfica last week and have lost their last four away league matches with eight goals conceded in the last two.
Farense are bottom of the Primeira League but have had a couple of recent cup wins. Their confidence will have been boosted by those victories. Their last home game saw them lose a lead but only lost 2-1 to Benfica. Our Farense v Estrela prediction is Farense to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Farense Estrela Amadora
| Farense vs Estrela Amadora | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Farense wins | 2.38 | 2.3 | -3.4% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.2 | -5.9% |
| Estrela Amadora wins | 2.8 | 3.25 | +16.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Farense is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.0% and is now 43.5% (1.5%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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