England - Carabao Cup
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Everton vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
by Steve Ashfield in Carabao Cup Predictions
The bottom two clubs in the Premier League face each other in the Carabao Cup third round. 19th placed Southampton travel to Everton who are bottom of the table, neither with a point to their name. Here's our match prediction.
Everton have a good record in this competition with the quarter-finals reached in three of the last five seasons. That's despite all the relegation struggles they have had in the Premier League during that time.
It's been a troublesome start to the new season for the Toffees. All four of their league games have been lost but they led 2-0 in the last two played. After doing that against Bournemouth at home, the same happened at Aston Villa.
Their only win this season was a 3-0 home victory over Doncaster Rovers, that's also their only clean sheet this term. Three of their last four games against Southampton have seen both teams score a goal.
The Saints are also without a point in the Premier League and only above Everton on goal difference. The weekend saw them lose 3-0 at home to Manchester United. That was the third successive game in which they've conceded three goals.
Two were in the Premier League but they also let in three goals when winning 5-3 away to Championship side Cardiff City in the last round of this competition.
We go for both teams to score in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Everton v Southampton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.37 | 2.5 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.68 | 3.67 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.68 | 3.67 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.45 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.66 | 3.64 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.66 | 3.64 |
|
|
2.17 | 3.45 | 3.05 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.66 | 3.64 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.5 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.21 | 3.76 | 3.17 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2 | 3.4 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.6 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.25 | 3.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Everton and Southampton?
Our prediction for the Everton vs Southampton match is: Both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/09/2024 between Everton and Southampton in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.85% for a win of Everton against Southampton with odds of 2.37 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Everton vs Southampton is 12.37% with odds of 3.76 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Everton with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
Everton - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Everton Southampton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Everton wins | 49.85% | 2.37 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.77% | 2 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 40.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Everton/Everton | 17.9% | 3.75 at Betsson |
Everton vs Southampton Form
Everton and Southampton Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Premier League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2024 - Championship
27 Apr 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Everton vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Jan 2023 - Premier League
1 Oct 2022 - Premier League
19 Feb 2022 - Premier League
14 Aug 2021 - Premier League
1 Mar 2021 - Premier League
25 Oct 2020 - Premier League
Players list
J. Virginia
DefenderR. Dixon
J. O'Brien
M. Keane
MidfielderT. Iroegbunam
D. McNeil
J. Harrison
O. Mangala
J. Lindstrom
ForwardA. Young
I. Ndiaye
A. McCarthy
DefenderJ. Bree
T. Harwood-Bellis
C. Taylor
N. Wood
MidfielderJ. Aribo
F. Downes
T. Dibling
M. Fernandes
ForwardB. Brereton
R. Stewart
Substitutes
J. Pickford
A. Begovic
DefenderA. Young
B. Moonan
MidfielderJ. Harrison
O. Barker
T. Iroegbunam
M. Sherif
J. Lumley
DefenderR. Edwards
MidfielderF. Downes
M. Fernandes
S. Amo-Ameyaw
ForwardT. Dibling
B. Brereton
R. Stewart
C. Archer
Missing players
S. Coleman
MidfielderD. Alli
J. Garner
ForwardChermiti
A. Broja
G. Bazunu
MidfielderW. Smallbone
Most goals and assists
Everton
Southampton
D. McNeil
(4 Goals)
C. Archer
(4 Goals)
A. Young
(3 Assists)
,
D. McNeil
(3 Assists)
M. Fernandes
(4 Assists)
Everton - Southampton Key Points
- Three of the last four games between these two clubs have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in the last two Southampton away matches.
- The last two Everton games have both ended 3-2.
- Four of the last five Southampton away Carabao Cup games have seen both teams score a goal.
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Our Everton vs Southampton Prediction
This Carabao Cup tie gives both clubs some temporary relief from their Premier League struggles. They have both had some success in this compeitition in recent seasons and a win for ether side would be a good confidence boost.
Everton aren't struggling to score but are conceding far too many goals, especially when already leading. Our Everton v Southampton prediction is both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Everton Southampton
| Everton vs Southampton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton wins | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.5 | +2.9% |
| Southampton wins | 3.2 | 3.1 | -3.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Everton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 45.5% (0.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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