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England - FA Cup

Everton

27 Jan 2024 10:00

Luton Town

Prediction :

Draw and Both Teams to Score

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Everton vs Luton Town Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup

Prediction published on 27/01/2024, 01:25 by Ian John in FA Cup Predictions

It is 17th against 18th in the Premier League as Everton host Luton Town in this FA Cup Fourth Round tie on Saturday afternoon. Everton's 10-point deduction leaves them just one place and one point ahead of Luton in the race for survival, but in Saturday's game it will be advancement into the Fifth Round on the minds of both sets of fans and players. Everton reached the fourth round by earning a 0-0 draw away at Crystal Palace and then defeating the Eagles 1-0 in the replay. Luton were also taken to a replay after drawing 0-0 at home with League One Bolton, they came through the replay winning 2-1, Chong and Ogbene scoring the two goals in that narrow win.

Everton's problems have been mainly at home this season. They have picked up just three wins and two draws at home, losing six games, whereas they have the sixth best away record in the Premier League with five wins, a draw and four defeats. Sean Dyche will hope his team can improve on that record over the second half of the season. Especially considering that one of their home defeats came against today's opposition. Last season, the Toffees were knocked out in the third round of the FA Cup by Manchester United and a run deeper into this competition would certainly galvanise the fan base for their battle against relegation.

Luton's primary focus will be on survival in the Premier League this season too and the Hatters are just a point off that at the moment. However it has been thirty years since Luton last reached an FA Cup Semi Final or better and they are certainly overdue a run in the competition. Luton's away record is almost an exact replica of their home form with 2 wins and 2 draws plus six defeats coming in both sets of games. However, their away goal difference (-10) is considerably poorer than their home (-4). Luton will feel they stand a solid chance here, especially after winning at Goodison Park 2-1 earlier in the season.

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The Best Betting Odds for Everton v Luton Town Match

1	X	2
1.5	4.5	5.75
1.45	4.3	6.2
1.51	4.52	5.77
1.51	4.52	5.77
1.51	4.32	6.25
1.51	4.32	6.25
1.5	4	6
1.51	4.32	6.25
1.49	4.6	6.6
1.48	4.33	5.75
1.44	4.6	7
1.52	4.5	6.5
1.52	4.2	6
1.54	4.5	6

Check all Everton vs Luton Town odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Everton and Luton Town?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/01/2024 between Everton and Luton Town in FA Cup :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.5% for a win of Everton against Luton Town with odds of 1.54 at Vbet.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Everton vs Luton Town is 22.7% with odds of 4.6 at Tonybet.
Our prediction model gives a 32.8% chance ⭐ for a win of Luton Town vs Everton with odds of 7 at Unibet.

Everton - Luton Town Prediction and Best Odds:

Everton Luton Town Prediction	Probability	Odds
Everton wins	44.5%	1.54 at Vbet
Over 2.5 goals	50.42%	1.81 at Betwinner
Both Team To Score	60.42%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Everton	18.17%	18 at Unibet

Everton vs Luton Town Form

Everton and Luton Town Last Matches

Everton Last matches

All Home Away

L L L D D W

Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals

33% BTTS

0.5 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Everton

1 : 0

Crystal Palace

14 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Everton

0 : 0

Aston Villa

4 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Crystal Palace

0 : 0

Everton

30 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Wolves

3 : 0

Everton

27 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Everton

1 : 3

Manchester City

23 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Tottenham

2 : 1

Everton

W W D L D W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals

33% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

0.67 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Everton

1 : 0

Crystal Palace

14 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Everton

0 : 0

Aston Villa

27 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Everton

1 : 3

Manchester City

19 Dec 2023 - Carabao Cup

Everton

1 : 1

Fulham

10 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Everton

2 : 0

Chelsea

7 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Everton

3 : 0

Newcastle

W W W L L D

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals

33% BTTS

1.17 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Crystal Palace

0 : 0

Everton

30 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Wolves

3 : 0

Everton

23 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Tottenham

2 : 1

Everton

16 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Burnley

0 : 2

Everton

2 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest

0 : 1

Everton

11 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Crystal Palace

2 : 3

Everton

Luton Town Last matches

All Home Away

W W L D D D

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

16 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Bolton

1 : 2

Luton Town

12 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Burnley

1 : 1

Luton Town

7 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Luton Town

0 : 0

Bolton

30 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Luton Town

2 : 3

Chelsea

26 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Sheffield United

2 : 3

Luton Town

23 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Luton Town

1 : 0

Newcastle

W L L W L D

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

1.67 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

7 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Luton Town

0 : 0

Bolton

30 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Luton Town

2 : 3

Chelsea

23 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Luton Town

1 : 0

Newcastle

10 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Luton Town

1 : 2

Manchester City

5 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Luton Town

3 : 4

Arsenal

25 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Luton Town

2 : 1

Crystal Palace

L L L W D D

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals

83% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

1.83 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

16 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Bolton

1 : 2

Luton Town

12 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Burnley

1 : 1

Luton Town

26 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Sheffield United

2 : 3

Luton Town

2 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Brentford

3 : 1

Luton Town

11 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United

1 : 0

Luton Town

29 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa

3 : 1

Luton Town

Everton vs Luton Town Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

30 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Everton

1 : 2

Luton Town

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Players list

Everton

Goalkeeper

J. Virginia

Defender

V. Mykolenko

J. Tarkowski

N. Patterson

Midfielder

A. Onana

J. Garner

A. Danjuma

J. Branthwaite

J. Harrison

Forward

Chermiti

Beto

Luton Town

Goalkeeper

T. Krul

Defender

A. Bell

R. Burke

T. Mengi

Midfielder

P. Mpanzu

L. Berry

J. Johnson

T. Chong

Forward

C. Morris

C. Ogbene

C. Woodrow

Substitutes

Everton

Goalkeeper

J. Pickford

A. Lonergan

Defender

A. Young

B. Godfrey

M. Keane

Midfielder

M. Hunt

Forward

L. Dobbin

A. Danjuma

D. McNeil

Chermiti

D. Calvert-Lewin

Luton Town

Goalkeeper

T. Kaminski

J. Shea

Defender

J. Johnson

A. Doughty

D. Potts

Midfielder

L. Berry

R. Barkley

P. Mpanzu

A. Sambi Lokonga

Z. Nelson

Forward

T. Chong

A. Townsend

C. Woodrow

E. Adebayo

Missing players

Everton

Midfielder

D. Alli

Luton Town

Defender

T. Lockyer

M. Andersen

Midfielder

M. Nakamba

Forward

J. Brown

Most goals and assists

Everton

Luton Town

Top Goalscorer

D. Calvert-Lewin (8 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

C. Morris (11 Goals)

Best assists

D. McNeil (7 Assists)

Best assists

A. Doughty (7 Assists)

Everton - Luton Town Key Points

Everton have scored just one goal in their last four games. That came at home.
The Toffees have also kept clean sheets in each of their last three games, but have just one win in those games (v Crystal Palace in the FA Cup 3rd Round Replay).
Luton Town have not kept a clean sheet in an away game this season.
Over 2.5 Goals have been scored in just two of the last seven games between Everton and Luton.
Both teams have had two draws in their last three games.

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Our Everton vs Luton Town Prediction

This FA Cup Fourth round tie between Everton and Luton is a tricky game to call. Everton have home advantage, but that hasn't served them well this season and the Toffees form at the moment is not all that impressive, certainly in terms of scoring goals. Luton's away form is similar to their home, pretty poor, but they do keep games tight and they tend to concede when they play an away game. It was a close affair when the two met at Goodison and it is likely to be so again here. As such, our prediction for Everton v Luton is for this game to finish at 90 minutes in a draw, with both teams finding the net.

Prediction :

Draw and Both Teams to Score

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