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England - Premier League

Everton
06 Apr 2024 10:00
Burnley

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Everton vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

 by Ian John in Premier League Predictions

Everton face Burnley in the Premier League knowing that this is a game they dare not lose. The Toffees saw their 10-point deduction reduced to 6 on appeal, which means they now lie 16th in the table on 26 points, four clear of the drop zone and with a much better goal difference than Luton who occupy the final relegation spot. However, Sean Dyche's current team face his old having not won a game since their 2-0 win at Burnley back in December. That's 13 games in total and it means that the Toffees are still not safe, especially with the threat of another points deduction hanging over them at present. Their home form at Goodison is a worry, as they have won just three games at home this season. Defensively, the Toffees have conceded just 42 goals, the fewest of any team ranked lower than 6th in the EPL table, but they have found the net just 31 times, the second fewest goals in the division.

Having picked up six points from the last 12 available, Burnley have closed the gap on Luton Town to three points, but they still remain six points behind Nottingham Forest in 17th and they are going to have to continue this good form through to the end of the season if they are going to avoid the drop. Vincent Kompany will be delighted with the way his team has performed in their last few games, showing real grit to earn three draws and a win, two at home and two away from home. They did lose 3-0 to Everton in the League Cup at Goodison Park earlier in the season but it is fair to say that the Clarets are in much better form now than they were back then. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Everton v Burnley Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.73 3.8 4.75
Betfred
1.67 4 5
Ladbrokes
1.61 3.9 5.2
NetBet
1.62 3.9 4.7
1xbet
1.09 7.76 16
22bet
1.09 7.76 16
Betwinner
1.65 4.04 4.98
LSbet
1.65 4.04 4.98
Stake
1.77 4 4.6
Melbet
1.65 4.04 4.98
Tonybet
1.63 3.95 4.9
Betway
1.62 4 5
Unibet
1.7 4.2 5
Betfair
1.62 3.9 5
Betsson
1.68 4.25 5.05
William Hill
1.65 3.9 5
Vbet
1.69 4.2 5
Check all Everton vs Burnley odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Everton and Burnley?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/04/2024 between Everton and Burnley in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.11% for a win of Everton against Burnley with odds of 1.77 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Everton vs Burnley is 33.12% with odds of 7.76 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 22.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Everton with odds of 16 at 1xbet.

Everton - Burnley Prediction and Best Odds:

Everton Burnley Prediction Probability Odds
Everton wins 44.11% 1.77 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 62.01% 2.06 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 65.83%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Everton 19.12% 4.75 at Bet365

Everton vs Burnley Form

Everton and Burnley's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
15
Everton
Everton
40 38 13 9 16 -11
19
Burnley
Burnley
24 38 5 9 24 -37

Everton and Burnley Last Matches

Everton
Everton Last matches
D D L L L D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

2 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  1
Everton

30 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  1
Everton

9 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  0
Everton

2 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  3
West Ham

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Everton

19 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Crystal Palace
D W L D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  3
West Ham

19 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Crystal Palace

3 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  2
Tottenham

27 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Everton
1 :  2
Luton Town

17 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Everton
1 :  0
Crystal Palace

14 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  0
Aston Villa
D L D L L D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

2 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  1
Everton

30 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  1
Everton

9 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  0
Everton

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Everton

10 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Everton

30 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  0
Everton
Burnley
Burnley Last matches
W W L D D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

5 Apr 2024 - Professional Development League

Sheffield United
2 :  2
Burnley

2 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Wolves

30 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Burnley

29 Mar 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
1 :  3
Crewe Alexandra

22 Mar 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
3 :  1
Bournemouth

18 Mar 2024 - Professional Development League

Crewe Alexandra
2 :  4
Burnley
L L W W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

2 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Wolves

29 Mar 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
1 :  3
Crewe Alexandra

22 Mar 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
3 :  1
Bournemouth

16 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  1
Brentford

9 Mar 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
2 :  4
Hull City

3 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Bournemouth
W D W W D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

5 Apr 2024 - Professional Development League

Sheffield United
2 :  2
Burnley

30 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Burnley

18 Mar 2024 - Professional Development League

Crewe Alexandra
2 :  4
Burnley

15 Mar 2024 - Professional Development League

Coventry City
0 :  4
Burnley

10 Mar 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
2 :  2
Burnley

27 Feb 2024 - Professional Development League

Fleetwood Town
0 :  1
Burnley

Everton vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Everton

50 %

Draw

17 %

Burnley

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
67%
BTTS
2
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

16 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Everton

1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup

Everton
3 :  0
Burnley

6 Apr 2022 - Premier League

Burnley
3 :  2
Everton

13 Sep 2021 - Premier League

Everton
3 :  1
Burnley

13 Mar 2021 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  2
Burnley

5 Dec 2020 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Everton
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Everton against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11

Everton

Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1

1
J. Pickford
23
S. Coleman
6
J. Tarkowski
32
J. Branthwaite
19
V. Mykolenko
18
A. Young
37
J. Garner
21
A. Gomes
7
D. McNeil
16
A. Doucoure
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
23
D. Fofana
47
W. Odobert
34
J. Bruun Larsen
16
S. Berge
24
J. Cullen
17
L. Foster
3
C. Taylor
33
M. Esteve
2
D. O'Shea
20
L. Assignon
49
A. Muric

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Burnley

Missing players

Everton
Everton
Midfielder

D. Alli

Burnley
Burnley
Defender

J. Beyer

Midfielder

A. Ramsey

Forward

L. Koleosho

N. Redmond

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Everton
CD Huachipato Burnley
Top Goalscorer
England D. Calvert-Lewin (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland D. O'Shea (8 Goals)
Best assists
England D. McNeil (7 Assists)
Best assists
Rep. of Ireland D. O'Shea (8 Assists)

Everton - Burnley Key Points

  1. Everton are without a win in 13 Premier League games, their last win coming away to today's opponents back in mid-December. They have drawn six and lost 7 of those 13 Premier League games since.
  2. Burnley have gone four games unbeaten in the EPL for the first time this season, drawing three and winning one of those games. Scoring 7 goals but conceding 6.
  3. Everton have won six fewer points at home this season than away from home, albeit they have played two games fewer at Goodison Park. They have drawn three and lost two of their last five at home.
  4. Burnley have picked up one more point on the road than they have at home this season, despite playing one game fewer away from home. They have drawn both their last two away matches.
  5. Everton were 2-0 winners back in December when the teams met at Turf Moor. First half goals from Amadou Onana (19) and Michael Keane (25) giving the Toffees their last win in the EPL.
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Our Everton vs Burnley Prediction

The one stat that sticks out like a sore thumb for the Everton v Burnley game is that Everton have scored just 31 goals in the league this season (on 30 games), while Burnley have managed 32 goals (in 31 games). However, Everton are at home and their defensive record is pretty good - conceding goals has not been their problem. But they face a Burnley side in their best form of the season. All that suggests our prediction here should be for the Under 2.5 Goals to be scored in the game.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Everton vs Burnley Prediction
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