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England - Premier League

Everton

17 Aug 2024 10:00

Brighton

Prediction :

Everton or X

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Everton vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

Prediction published on 17/08/2024, 06:40 by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions

After an incredible summer of international football, English Premier League action returns to Goodison Park this weekend, with Everton taking on Brighton & Hove Albion on Saturday afternoon. We are expecting a packed house in Merseyside for the first match of the season and both the Toffees and Seagulls will be desperate to get the new campaign off to a winning start. Let's get into the match prediction.

The Toffees ended last season in 15th place with 40 points after 38 matches, while the Seagulls finished in 11th place with 48 points over the same period. Both teams will be looking for better points tallies this season and a winning start will be crucial to building up momentum.

Brighton & Hove Albion are entering this match as the marginal bookmakers’ favourite despite playing as the away side. Everton upset the odds in front of their home fans on the opening day? Let’s get into the key stats of this matchup.

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The Best Betting Odds for Everton v Brighton Match

1	X	2
251	41	1.01
2.6	3.4	2.6
378	51	1
378	51	1
2.6	3.35	2.65
2.58	3.56	2.6
2.58	3.56	2.6
100	38	1.01
2.58	3.56	2.61
2.7	3.4	2.65
201	34	1
2.7	3.45	2.65
2.63	3.4	2.7
3.05	3.5	2.4
2.8	3.3	2.55
301	29	1.01

Check all Everton vs Brighton odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Everton and Brighton?

Our prediction for the Everton vs Brighton match is: Double Chance - Everton Win or Draw!

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/08/2024 between Everton and Brighton in Premier League :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.12% for a win of Everton against Brighton with odds of 378 at 1xbet.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Everton vs Brighton is 19.58% with odds of 51 at 1xbet.
Our prediction model gives a 31.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Everton with odds of 2.7 at Betfair.

Everton - Brighton Prediction and Best Odds:

Everton Brighton Prediction	Probability	Odds
Everton wins	49.12%	378 at 1xbet
Under 2.5	54.55%	2.06 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score	47.92%
Half-time / Full-time : Everton/Everton	21.23%	5 at Bet365

Everton vs Brighton Form

Everton and Brighton's standings in the Premier League

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
10 Brighton	25	17	6	7	4	1
15 Everton	16	16	3	7	6	-7

Everton and Brighton Last Matches

Everton Last matches

All Home Away

L D L L W D

Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

1.83 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Everton

1 : 1

Roma

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Preston North End

0 : 3

Everton

30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Coventry City

3 : 0

Everton

27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Salford City

2 : 1

Everton

19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Sligo Rovers

3 : 3

Everton

19 May 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal

2 : 1

Everton

W W W W W D

Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals

17% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

0.17 Goals conceded

0% Over 2.5

100% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Everton

1 : 1

Roma

11 May 2024 - Premier League

Everton

1 : 0

Sheffield United

27 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Everton

1 : 0

Brentford

24 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Everton

2 : 0

Liverpool

21 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Everton

2 : 0

Nottingham Forest

6 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Everton

1 : 0

Burnley

D L D L L W

Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

1.83 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Preston North End

0 : 3

Everton

30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Coventry City

3 : 0

Everton

27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Salford City

2 : 1

Everton

19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Sligo Rovers

3 : 3

Everton

19 May 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal

2 : 1

Everton

3 May 2024 - Premier League

Luton Town

1 : 1

Everton

Brighton Last matches

All Home Away

L L W W W W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals

50% BTTS

2.5 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton

4 : 0

Villarreal

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

QPR

0 : 1

Brighton

28 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Tokyo Verdy

2 : 4

Brighton

24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Kashima Antlers

1 : 5

Brighton

13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Basingstoke Town FC

2 : 1

Brighton

19 May 2024 - Premier League

Brighton

0 : 2

Manchester United

L L W L L W

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals

17% BTTS

1 Goals scored

1.83 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton

4 : 0

Villarreal

19 May 2024 - Premier League

Brighton

0 : 2

Manchester United

15 May 2024 - Premier League

Brighton

1 : 2

Chelsea

5 May 2024 - Premier League

Brighton

1 : 0

Aston Villa

25 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Brighton

0 : 4

Manchester City

6 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Brighton

0 : 3

Arsenal

L D L W W W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals

67% BTTS

2 Goals scored

1.5 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

QPR

0 : 1

Brighton

28 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Tokyo Verdy

2 : 4

Brighton

24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Kashima Antlers

1 : 5

Brighton

13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Basingstoke Town FC

2 : 1

Brighton

11 May 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle

1 : 1

Brighton

28 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth

3 : 0

Brighton

Everton vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Everton

33 %

Draw

33 %

Brighton

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67

Total goals

83%

BTTS

Goals scored (Team 1)

1.67

Goals scored (Team 2)

50%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Brighton

1 : 1

Everton

4 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Everton

1 : 1

Brighton

8 May 2023 - Premier League

Brighton

1 : 5

Everton

3 Jan 2023 - Premier League

Everton

1 : 4

Brighton

2 Jan 2022 - Premier League

Everton

2 : 3

Brighton

28 Aug 2021 - Premier League

Brighton

0 : 2

Everton

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Everton - Brighton: Form Analysis

While Everton finished in a fairly lowly 15th place last term, they can still be proud of their accomplishment considering they were docked two points for breaching profit and sustainability rules (PSR) and still managed to end well clear of the drop zone.

The Toffees had a record of 13 wins, nine draws and 16 losses, scoring 40 goals while conceding 51. At Goodison, Sean Dyche’s men managed eight wins, four draws and 17 losses in 19 games, and ended the term with five consecutive wins on their home patch.

Notably, Everton scored the fewest goals of any side that avoided relegation last season!

Meanwhile, after a spectacular 2023-24 campaign in which they finished sixth and qualified for the Europa League, Brighton experienced a significant drop-off last season, falling five places into the bottom half.

The Seagulls managed 12 wins, 12 draws and 14 losses last season, while they posted an away record of four wins, six draws and nine losses in their 19 matches on the road. Fabian Hurzeler’s side managed just one victory in their final 10 away games of the season.

Both matches between these sides last season ended in 1-1 draws.

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Players list

Everton

Goalkeeper

J. Pickford

Defender

A. Young

J. Tarkowski

M. Keane

V. Mykolenko

Midfielder

I. Ndiaye

T. Iroegbunam

I. Gueye

M. Holgate

D. McNeil

Forward

Beto

Brighton

Goalkeeper

J. Steele

Defender

J. Veltman

A. Webster

J. Van Hecke

Midfielder

J. Hinshelwood

M. Wieffer

B. Gilmour

Y. Ayari

Forward

S. Adingra

J. Sarmiento

D. Welbeck

Substitutes

Everton

Goalkeeper

J. Virginia

Defender

J. O'Brien

M. Holgate

J. Harrison

Midfielder

J. Lindstrom

J. Metcalfe

H. Armstrong

Forward

N. Maupay

Beto

D. Calvert-Lewin

I. Ndiaye

A. Doucoure

Brighton

Goalkeeper

C. Rushworth

Defender

V. Barco

A. Webster

L. Dunk

Midfielder

Y. Ayari

K. Mitoma

B. Gilmour

J. Milner

C. Baleba

Forward

S. Adingra

Y. Minteh

M. O'Mahony

J. Sarmiento

J. Pedro

Missing players

Everton

Midfielder

J. Garner

Forward

Chermiti

A. Broja

Brighton

Defender

F. Kadioglu

Midfielder

S. March

Everton & Brighton Squad Analysis

Everton are set to start the season without five players due to injuries, including Nathan Patterson (hamstring), Jarrad Branthwaite (groin), Youssef Chermiti (foot), James Garner (calf) and Seamus Coleman (calf).

Abdoulaye Doucoure and Dominic Calvert-Lewin were the Toffees’ joint top scorers last season, though the latter is being heavily linked with a move away from Goodison Park before the transfer window closes.

It will be interesting to see how the hosts fare without Amadou Onana, who was sold for £50m this summer!

Brighton are also down five players through injury in Solly March (knee), Evan Ferguson (ankle), Pervis Estupiñán (calf), Julio Enciso (knee) and Bart Verbruggen (knock).

João Pedro was the Seagulls’ top marksman last season, notching up nine goals, but he will likely be competing for game time this season after the club confirmed the signing of Yankuba Minteh during the summer break.

Brajan Gruda and Ibrahim Osman were also signed from Mainz and Nordsjaelland respectively, and will be in line to make their debuts in this match.

Most goals and assists

Everton

Brighton

Top Goalscorer

D. McNeil (4 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

D. Welbeck (6 Goals)

Best assists

D. McNeil (3 Assists) ,

A. Young (3 Assists)

Best assists

G. Rutter (3 Assists) ,

J. Pedro (3 Assists)

Everton - Brighton Key Points

Everton won their final five home matches last season.
Everton did not concede a single goal in their last five home games.
Both matches between these sides last season ended in draws.
Brighton & Hove Albion won only one of their final 10 away games last season.
Brighton & Hove Albion are winless in their last three matches against this opponent.

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Our Everton vs Brighton Prediction

It is a little bit surprising to see Everton enter this match as the underdogs given how good they were at home toward the end of last season when they beat the likes of Brentford and Liverpool during the run-in.

Brighton’s away record was among the worst in the top flight and they have not gotten the best of the Toffees in their last three attempts. We fancy the hosts to avoid defeat in this one as well. Our Everton vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction: Double Chance - Everton Win or Draw!

Prediction :

Everton or X

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Everton vs Brighton - Other Interesting Predictions

Everton Draw No Bet

Odds 1.9

Everton were on a five-match home winning streak leading up to the end of the season and did not concede a single goal in that time.

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Under 2.5

Odds 1.7

Everton maintained five consecutive clean sheets at home in the run-in and both matches between these sides ended in 1-1 draws last season.

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Everton Brighton

Everton vs Brighton	Opening odds	Pre-match odds	Odds Movements
Everton wins	2.6	251	+9,553.8%
Draw	3.4	41	+1,105.9%
Brighton wins	2.63	1.01	-61.6%

Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

Everton is most likely to win
The odds for this bet have increased by 9,553.8% since opening
The probability of this result was 38.5% and is now 0.4% (-38.1%)

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