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Everton vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
After an incredible summer of international football, English Premier League action returns to Goodison Park this weekend, with Everton taking on Brighton & Hove Albion on Saturday afternoon. We are expecting a packed house in Merseyside for the first match of the season and both the Toffees and Seagulls will be desperate to get the new campaign off to a winning start. Let's get into the match prediction.
The Toffees ended last season in 15th place with 40 points after 38 matches, while the Seagulls finished in 11th place with 48 points over the same period. Both teams will be looking for better points tallies this season and a winning start will be crucial to building up momentum.
Brighton & Hove Albion are entering this match as the marginal bookmakers’ favourite despite playing as the away side. Everton upset the odds in front of their home fans on the opening day? Let’s get into the key stats of this matchup.
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The Best Betting Odds for Everton v Brighton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
251 | 41 | 1.01 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.4 | 2.6 |
|
|
378 | 51 | 1 |
|
|
378 | 51 | 1 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.35 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.58 | 3.56 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.58 | 3.56 | 2.6 |
|
|
100 | 38 | 1.01 |
|
|
2.58 | 3.56 | 2.61 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.4 | 2.65 |
|
|
301 | 29 | 1.01 |
|
|
201 | 34 | 1 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.45 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.4 | 2.7 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.5 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.3 | 2.55 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Everton and Brighton?
Our prediction for the Everton vs Brighton match is: Double Chance - Everton Win or Draw!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/08/2024 between Everton and Brighton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.12% for a win of Everton against Brighton with odds of 378 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Everton vs Brighton is 19.58% with odds of 51 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Everton with odds of 2.7 at Betfair.
Everton - Brighton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Everton Brighton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Everton wins | 49.12% | 378 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 54.55% | 2.06 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 47.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Everton/Everton | 21.23% | 5 at Bet365 |
Everton vs Brighton Form
Everton and Brighton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
|
16
|
10 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7 |
Everton and Brighton Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Premier League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
24 Apr 2024 - Premier League
21 Apr 2024 - Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Premier League
3 May 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Premier League
15 May 2024 - Premier League
5 May 2024 - Premier League
25 Apr 2024 - Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Premier League
28 Apr 2024 - Premier League
Everton vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
4 Nov 2023 - Premier League
8 May 2023 - Premier League
3 Jan 2023 - Premier League
2 Jan 2022 - Premier League
28 Aug 2021 - Premier League
Everton - Brighton: Form Analysis
While Everton finished in a fairly lowly 15th place last term, they can still be proud of their accomplishment considering they were docked two points for breaching profit and sustainability rules (PSR) and still managed to end well clear of the drop zone.
The Toffees had a record of 13 wins, nine draws and 16 losses, scoring 40 goals while conceding 51. At Goodison, Sean Dyche’s men managed eight wins, four draws and 17 losses in 19 games, and ended the term with five consecutive wins on their home patch.
Notably, Everton scored the fewest goals of any side that avoided relegation last season!
Meanwhile, after a spectacular 2023-24 campaign in which they finished sixth and qualified for the Europa League, Brighton experienced a significant drop-off last season, falling five places into the bottom half.
The Seagulls managed 12 wins, 12 draws and 14 losses last season, while they posted an away record of four wins, six draws and nine losses in their 19 matches on the road. Fabian Hurzeler’s side managed just one victory in their final 10 away games of the season.
Both matches between these sides last season ended in 1-1 draws.
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Everton against Brighton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
S. Coleman
MidfielderD. Alli
J. Garner
ForwardChermiti
A. Broja
S. March
Everton & Brighton Squad Analysis
Everton are set to start the season without five players due to injuries, including Nathan Patterson (hamstring), Jarrad Branthwaite (groin), Youssef Chermiti (foot), James Garner (calf) and Seamus Coleman (calf).
Abdoulaye Doucoure and Dominic Calvert-Lewin were the Toffees’ joint top scorers last season, though the latter is being heavily linked with a move away from Goodison Park before the transfer window closes.
It will be interesting to see how the hosts fare without Amadou Onana, who was sold for £50m this summer!
Brighton are also down five players through injury in Solly March (knee), Evan Ferguson (ankle), Pervis Estupiñán (calf), Julio Enciso (knee) and Bart Verbruggen (knock).
João Pedro was the Seagulls’ top marksman last season, notching up nine goals, but he will likely be competing for game time this season after the club confirmed the signing of Yankuba Minteh during the summer break.
Brajan Gruda and Ibrahim Osman were also signed from Mainz and Nordsjaelland respectively, and will be in line to make their debuts in this match.
Most goals and assists
Everton
Brighton
D. McNeil
(4 Goals)
D. Welbeck
(6 Goals)
D. McNeil
(3 Assists)
,
A. Young
(3 Assists)
G. Rutter
(3 Assists)
Everton - Brighton Key Points
- Everton won their final five home matches last season.
- Everton did not concede a single goal in their last five home games.
- Both matches between these sides last season ended in draws.
- Brighton & Hove Albion won only one of their final 10 away games last season.
- Brighton & Hove Albion are winless in their last three matches against this opponent.
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Our Everton vs Brighton Prediction
It is a little bit surprising to see Everton enter this match as the underdogs given how good they were at home toward the end of last season when they beat the likes of Brentford and Liverpool during the run-in.
Brighton’s away record was among the worst in the top flight and they have not gotten the best of the Toffees in their last three attempts. We fancy the hosts to avoid defeat in this one as well. Our Everton vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction: Double Chance - Everton Win or Draw!
Everton vs Brighton - Other Interesting Predictions
Everton Draw No Bet
Under 2.5
Everton maintained five consecutive clean sheets at home in the run-in and both matches between these sides ended in 1-1 draws last season.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Everton Brighton
| Everton vs Brighton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton wins | 2.6 | 251 | +9,553.8% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 41 | +1,105.9% |
| Brighton wins | 2.63 | 1.01 | -61.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Everton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9,553.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 38.5% and is now 0.4% (-38.1%)
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Everton vs Brighton match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Everton and Brighton & Hove Albion will take place on August 17, at 15:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Everton and Brighton & Hove Albion will be played at Goodison Park in Liverpool.
The Premier League match between Everton and Brighton & Hove Albion will not be televised on free-to-watch platforms in the UK.
However, you can keep up-to-the-minute with all the Premier League Liverscores this weekend right here on SportyTrader!
Simon Hopper will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Adrian Holmes, Simon Long and Darren Bond as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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