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Everton vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
David Moyes has made his return to management by rejoining Everton. His 'new' club are 16th in the Premier League and on Wednesday they host eighth-placed Aston Villa. Can he get off to a winning start with the Toffees? Read our match prediction.
Only recently, Moyes said: "I don't want to be at the bottom of the league and fighting relegation." Now he finds himself in charge of a side that is one point above the Premier League relegation zone! Recently made an OBE, Moyes has a big job on his hand to resurrect Everton. The Toffees simply dare not be relegated and start next season playing Championship football in their new ground. Only three league games and just 15 goals have been scored by them this term.
Aston VIlla are down in eighth place and it's their away form that is to blame. They head to Goodison for perhaps the last time (both sides are still in the FA Cup) looking to avoid a sixth straight away league defeat.
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The Best Betting Odds for Everton v Aston Villa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.25 | 3.2 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.2 | 2.37 |
|
|
3.28 | 3.31 | 2.39 |
|
|
3.28 | 3.31 | 2.39 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.2 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.22 | 2.32 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.22 | 2.32 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.25 | 2.37 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.22 | 2.32 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.25 | 2.35 |
|
|
3.27 | 3.29 | 2.35 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.2 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.15 | 2.35 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.25 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.35 | 2.35 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.1 | 2.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Everton and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Everton vs Aston Villa match is: under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/01/2025 between Everton and Aston Villa in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.91% for a win of Everton against Aston Villa with odds of 3.3 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Everton vs Aston Villa is 27.88% with odds of 3.35 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Everton with odds of 2.39 at 1xbet.
Everton vs Aston Villa Form
Everton and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
32 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | -2 |
|
16
|
17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -10 |
Everton and Aston Villa Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
Everton vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Jan 2024 - Premier League
27 Sep 2023 - Carabao Cup
20 Aug 2023 - Premier League
25 Feb 2023 - Premier League
13 Aug 2022 - Premier League
Everton - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
Everton have only won two of their nine home league games this season with three defeats. Just nine goals have been scored by them in those matches but only ten conceded. 12 of their 19 league games this season have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
Signing a striker in the January transfer window is important for Everton as they try to avoid relegation. Only one of their last 11 league games has been won and their last two wins have come against sides in the bottom four.
That included a home win over Wolves, their only league victory in the last seven played. Five of their last six home league fixtures have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
Villa must improve their away form.
Aston Villa have had a strange time on the road in this season's Premier League. At one stage, they earned 11 points from four away games. However, their last five away league fixtures have all ended in defeat.
They are unbeaten in their last three matches but all were played at Villa Park.
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Missing players
S. Coleman
MidfielderJ. Garner
T. Iroegbunam
D. McNeil
P. Torres
ForwardJ. Duran
Everton & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
What kind of line-up will David Moyes choose for his first match back at Everton? There were plenty of changes made for last Friday's FA Cup win over Peterborough United. Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Dwight O'Neill and Seamus Coleman were all absent but could return on Wednesday.
James Garner has been out with a back injury but could feature in this match at some point. Out of this match is Armando Broja's whose bad luck with injuries continued last week when suffering a knee injury.
Duran will be back for Aston Villa.
Several clubs are interested in signing Villa striker Jhon Duran but a transfer doesn't look imminent. That's good news for the midlands club and even better is that he is available again after being suspended for the last match. He could take the place of Ollie Watkins at Goodison Park.
Definitely out for Villa is Pau Torres and Diego Carlos is an injury doubt and Ross Barkley is also injured. He sustained a calf injury in Friday's FA Cup win over West Ham United. Jaden Philogene is unlikely to play with a transfer to Ipswich on its way.
Most goals and assists
Everton
Aston Villa
I. Ndiaye
(4 Goals)
, 
D. McNeil
(4 Goals)
J. Duran
(12 Goals)
D. McNeil
(3 Assists)
,
A. Young
(3 Assists)
Y. Tielemans
(6 Assists)
,
O. Watkins
(6 Assists)
Everton and Aston Villa Stats in Premier League
Everton - Aston Villa Key Points
- Nine Everton home league games thiis season have seen only 19 goals scored.
- Five of the last six Everton home league games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in four of the last five Everton home games against Aston Villa.
- Everton have had five goalless draws in the Premier League this season.
- Aston Villa have only scored two goals in their last five away Premier League matches.
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Our Everton vs Aston Villa Prediction
David Moyes is back at Goodison Park and has just one main target. That's to keep them out of the bottom three and ensure Premier League football at their new ground next August. Everton struggle to score goals but their defence has conceded seven less than Villa's has this season in the Premier League.
Aston Villa are only four points behind the Champions League places. Their away form has been hugely disappointing in recent months with five successive defeats and only a couple of goals scored. Our main Everton v Aston Villa prediction is under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Everton vs Aston Villa - Other Interesting Predictions
Draw and under 2.5 goals scored
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Everton vs Aston Villa match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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