England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
This weekend’s Premier League action gets underway at Goodison Park, where Everton will be playing host to Arsenal in Saturday’s lunchtime kickoff. The Toffees are in 15th place with 34 points, while the Gunners are second with 61 points after 30 games. Check out our match prediction below!
Everton lost this exact fixture 1-0 last season, which brought an end to a five-match unbeaten streak at home in the Premier League against this opponent (W4 D1 L0). They have not lost consecutive home games against the Gunners since a run of three between 2009 and 2012.
After the reverse fixture ended goalless, Arsenal are now unbeaten in their last four games against the Toffees (W1 D3 L0). However, they have not failed to score against this opponent in both games in a single season since the 1912-13 campaign. The visitors are the clear favourites at the books - let’s take a look at the key stats at play in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Everton v Arsenal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.2 | 3.25 | 2 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.4 | 1.8 |
|
|
4.33 | 3.2 | 1.91 |
|
|
4.42 | 3.41 | 1.98 |
|
|
4.42 | 3.41 | 1.98 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Everton and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Everton vs Arsenal match is: Arsenal wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/04/2025 between Everton and Arsenal in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 20.58% for a win of Everton against Arsenal with odds of 5.5 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Everton vs Arsenal is 37.91% with odds of 3.48 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Everton with odds of 2.12 at Vbet.
Everton - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Everton Arsenal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 41.52% | 2.12 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.53% | 2.43 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 54.58% | 2.12 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Arsenal | 16.98% | 5 at Betfair |
Everton vs Arsenal Form
Everton and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
67 | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 34 |
|
13
|
38 | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | -6 |
Everton and Arsenal Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
12 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
Everton vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
19 May 2024 - Premier League
17 Sep 2023 - Premier League
1 Mar 2023 - Premier League
4 Feb 2023 - Premier League
22 May 2022 - Premier League
Everton - Arsenal: Form Analysis
Everton will be hoping to bounce back from their disappointment in the Merseyside Derby in midweek when they were beaten 1-0 by their arch-rivals Liverpool at Anfield.
That result ended a run of nine league matches without defeat (W4 D5 L0) and was also the first time they failed to score a goal on the road since the start of January when they lost 1-0 to Bournemouth.
Since David Moyes’ return to Goodison Park, the Blues have only suffered one home defeat and enter this match unbeaten in their last five at this venue (W2 D3 L0). They also scored two or more goals in four of those matches.
Everton have drawn more games than any other team in the Premier League this season (13)!
Meanwhile, with 12 points separating them from top spot and just eight games left in the season, Arsenal cannot afford to drop any more points if they are to keep any sort of pressure on the league leaders.
The Gunners were also involved in a local derby in the week against Fulham, which they won 2-1 to extend their current unbeaten run to four matches, including two wins and two draws.
The visitors have been difficult to overcome on the road this season, currently unbeaten in their last 10 league games (W5 D5 L0), while they have still only suffered two defeats in 15 outings this term.
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Players list
J. Pickford
DefenderJ. O'Brien
J. Tarkowski
C. Alcaraz
MidfielderJ. Branthwaite
I. Gueye
J. Garner
D. McNeil
A. Doucoure
ForwardA. Young
A. Broja
D. Raya
DefenderJ. Kiwior
W. Saliba
J. Timber
MidfielderK. Tierney
M. Odegaard
D. Rice
M. Merino
L. Trossard
ForwardB. Saka
G. Martinelli
Substitutes
J. Virginia
DefenderM. Keane
S. Coleman
A. Young
J. Garner
C. Alcaraz
D. McNeil
A. Broja
Chermiti
Neto
DefenderO. Zinchenko
J. Timber
K. Tierney
M. Odegaard
J. Gower
T. Partey
ForwardB. Saka
G. Martinelli
Missing players
O. Mangala
ForwardD. Calvert-Lewin
T. Tomiyasu
R. Calafiori
G. Magalhaes
ForwardG. Jesus
K. Havertz
Everton & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Everton received a few injury boosts ahead of the derby, with Vitaliy Mykolenko and Iliman Ndiaye returning to full fitness, and both players are expected to be involved again this weekend.
That leaves the hosts with just two confirmed absentees for this match in Orel Mangala and Dominic Calvert-Lewin. Dwight McNeil is reportedly set to return to the Everton squad this week.
After scoring five goals in four games between February 1 and 22, Beto has now failed to find the net in the last four matches. With Armando Broja and Ndiaye fit again, Moyes may be tempted to consider a change up front in this one.
Bukayo Saka scored off the bench in his first appearance after his three-month injury absence!
We’ll never know how that title race might have panned out if the England international didn’t sustain that hamstring injury, but his return is a major boost and he could start this weekend.
The biggest concern for Mikel Arteta this week is in defence, especially after Gabriel Magalhaes was substituted after just 15 minutes against Fulham. The Brazilian is a serious doubt for this match, while Ben White, Riccardo Calafiori and Takehiro Tomiyasu are ruled out.
With Gabriel Jesus and Kai Havertz both out for the season, Mikel Merino has been deployed at number nine in recent weeks. The Spaniard has done very well leading the line too, netting four goals in his last six games.
Most goals and assists
Everton
Arsenal
I. Ndiaye
(8 Goals)
K. Havertz
(15 Goals)
D. McNeil
(4 Assists)
B. Saka
(13 Assists)
Everton - Arsenal Key Points
- Everton are winless in their last five league games.
- Everton have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight league matches.
- Arsenal are unbeaten in their last four league games.
- Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 10 away league matches.
- Arsenal are unbeaten in their last four league games against this opponent.
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Our Everton vs Arsenal Prediction
Everton have been one of the toughest teams to beat since the return of David Moyes, but they have also found wins hard to come by of late, having drawn four in a row before losing the Merseyside Derby in midweek.
For Arsenal, every match from here to the end of the season has to be a win if they are to remain in the title race. The Gunners are unbeaten in their last four games against this opponent, and the return of Bukayo Saka could be a major factor in this one. Our Everton vs Arsenal prediction is Arsenal wins the match.
Everton vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 2.5
Each of Everton’s last four league games have ended with under 2.5 goals, while fewer than three goals were scored in five of Arsenal’s last six league matches. Additionally, the visitors have the best defensive record in the top flight this season and have kept clean sheets in three of their last four away games.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Everton Arsenal
| Everton vs Arsenal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton wins | 5.75 | 4.2 | -27.0% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.25 | -12.2% |
| Arsenal wins | 1.65 | 2 | +21.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 21.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 60.6% and is now 50.0% (-10.6%)
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Everton vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Everton and Arsenal will be played on April 5 at 12:30 GMT.
The Premier League match between Everton and Arsenal will take place at Goodison Park in Liverpool.
The Premier League match between Everton and Arsenal will be broadcast on TNT Sports and discovery+ in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to date with every minute of the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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