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Everton vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Everton
05/04/2025 05:30
Arsenal

Prediction :

 

Arsenal wins the match

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions

This weekend’s Premier League action gets underway at Goodison Park, where Everton will be playing host to Arsenal in Saturday’s lunchtime kickoff. The Toffees are in 15th place with 34 points, while the Gunners are second with 61 points after 30 games. Check out our match prediction below!

Everton lost this exact fixture 1-0 last season, which brought an end to a five-match unbeaten streak at home in the Premier League against this opponent (W4 D1 L0). They have not lost consecutive home games against the Gunners since a run of three between 2009 and 2012. 

After the reverse fixture ended goalless, Arsenal are now unbeaten in their last four games against the Toffees (W1 D3 L0). However, they have not failed to score against this opponent in both games in a single season since the 1912-13 campaign. The visitors are the clear favourites at the books - let’s take a look at the key stats at play in this one. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Everton v Arsenal Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
5.75 3.3 1.7
Betfred
5.5 3.4 1.8
Ladbrokes
5 2.37 2.05
1xbet
5.24 3.57 1.8
22bet
5.24 3.57 1.8
Check all Everton vs Arsenal odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Everton and Arsenal?

Our prediction for the Everton vs Arsenal match is: Arsenal wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/04/2025 between Everton and Arsenal in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 20.54% for a win of Everton against Arsenal with odds of 5.75 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Everton vs Arsenal is 37.85% with odds of 3.6 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 41.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Everton with odds of 2.05 at Ladbrokes.

Everton vs Arsenal Form

Everton and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Arsenal
Arsenal
61 30 17 10 3 30
15
Everton
Everton
34 30 7 13 10 -5

Everton and Arsenal Last Matches

Everton
Everton Last matches
W D D D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

2 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Everton

15 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
West Ham

8 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  1
Everton

26 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  1
Everton

22 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  2
Manchester United

15 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  2
Everton
W W L D D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
West Ham

22 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  2
Manchester United

12 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  2
Liverpool

8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Everton
0 :  2
Bournemouth

1 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Everton
4 :  0
Leicester

19 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Everton
3 :  2
Tottenham
L W W D D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

2 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Everton

8 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  1
Everton

26 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  1
Everton

15 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  2
Everton

25 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  1
Everton

4 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  0
Everton
Arsenal
Arsenal Last matches
D W D D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Fulham

16 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Chelsea

12 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  2
PSV Eindhoven

9 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Arsenal

4 Mar 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
1 :  7
Arsenal

26 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Arsenal
W W L D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Fulham

16 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Chelsea

12 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  2
PSV Eindhoven

22 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  1
West Ham

2 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  1
Manchester City

22 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  0
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
W L W D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Arsenal

4 Mar 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
1 :  7
Arsenal

26 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Arsenal

15 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
0 :  2
Arsenal

5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
2 :  0
Arsenal

29 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Girona
1 :  2
Arsenal

Everton vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Everton

17 %

Draw

17 %

Arsenal

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
33%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

14 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  0
Everton

19 May 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Everton

17 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  1
Arsenal

1 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  0
Everton

4 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  0
Arsenal

22 May 2022 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  1
Everton
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Everton - Arsenal: Form Analysis

Everton will be hoping to bounce back from their disappointment in the Merseyside Derby in midweek when they were beaten 1-0 by their arch-rivals Liverpool at Anfield. 

That result ended a run of nine league matches without defeat (W4 D5 L0) and was also the first time they failed to score a goal on the road since the start of January when they lost 1-0 to Bournemouth. 

Since David Moyes’ return to Goodison Park, the Blues have only suffered one home defeat and enter this match unbeaten in their last five at this venue (W2 D3 L0). They also scored two or more goals in four of those matches.

Everton have drawn more games than any other team in the Premier League this season (13)!

Meanwhile, with 12 points separating them from top spot and just eight games left in the season, Arsenal cannot afford to drop any more points if they are to keep any sort of pressure on the league leaders. 

The Gunners were also involved in a local derby in the week against Fulham, which they won 2-1 to extend their current unbeaten run to four matches, including two wins and two draws. 

The visitors have been difficult to overcome on the road this season, currently unbeaten in their last 10 league games (W5 D5 L0), while they have still only suffered two defeats in 15 outings this term. 

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Everton vs Arsenal last Lineups

Everton

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
J. Pickford
15
J. O'Brien
6
J. Tarkowski
32
J. Branthwaite
19
V. Mykolenko
27
I. Gueye
37
J. Garner
11
J. Harrison
16
A. Doucoure
24
C. Alcaraz
14
Beto
11
G. Martinelli
23
M. Merino
53
E. Nwaneri
41
D. Rice
5
T. Partey
8
M. Odegaard
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
6
G. Magalhaes
2
W. Saliba
12
J. Timber
22
D. Raya

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Arsenal

Missing players

Everton
Everton
Midfielder

D. McNeil

O. Mangala

Forward

D. Calvert-Lewin

I. Ndiaye

Arsenal
Arsenal
Defender

T. Tomiyasu

R. Calafiori

Forward

G. Jesus

K. Havertz

Everton & Arsenal Squad Analysis

Everton received a few injury boosts ahead of the derby, with Vitaliy Mykolenko and Iliman Ndiaye returning to full fitness, and both players are expected to be involved again this weekend. 

That leaves the hosts with just two confirmed absentees for this match in Orel Mangala and Dominic Calvert-Lewin. Dwight McNeil is reportedly set to return to the Everton squad this week. 

After scoring five goals in four games between February 1 and 22, Beto has now failed to find the net in the last four matches. With Armando Broja and Ndiaye fit again, Moyes may be tempted to consider a change up front in this one. 

Bukayo Saka scored off the bench in his first appearance after his three-month injury absence!

We’ll never know how that title race might have panned out if the England international didn’t sustain that hamstring injury, but his return is a major boost and he could start this weekend. 

The biggest concern for Mikel Arteta this week is in defence, especially after Gabriel Magalhaes was substituted after just 15 minutes against Fulham. The Brazilian is a serious doubt for this match, while Ben White, Riccardo Calafiori and Takehiro Tomiyasu are ruled out.

With Gabriel Jesus and Kai Havertz both out for the season, Mikel Merino has been deployed at number nine in recent weeks. The Spaniard has done very well leading the line too, netting four goals in his last six games.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Everton
CD Huachipato Arsenal
Top Goalscorer
Beto (7 Goals)
Senegal I. Ndiaye (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany K. Havertz (15 Goals)
Best assists
Senegal I. Gueye (3 Assists)
England D. McNeil (3 Assists)
England A. Young (3 Assists)
Best assists
England B. Saka (13 Assists)

Everton and Arsenal Stats in Premier League

Everton
Everton
Arsenal
Arsenal
23%
Victories
57%
43%
Draw
33%
33%
Defeats
10%
2.3
Total goals per match
2.67
1.07
Goals scored per match
1.83
1.23
Goals conceded per match
0.83
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
Under 2.5
60%
43%
BTTS
53%
30%
No goals conceded
37%

Everton - Arsenal Key Points

  1. Everton are winless in their last five league games.
  2. Everton have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight league matches.
  3. Arsenal are unbeaten in their last four league games.
  4. Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 10 away league matches.
  5. Arsenal are unbeaten in their last four league games against this opponent.
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Our Everton vs Arsenal Prediction

Everton have been one of the toughest teams to beat since the return of David Moyes, but they have also found wins hard to come by of late, having drawn four in a row before losing the Merseyside Derby in midweek.

For Arsenal, every match from here to the end of the season has to be a win if they are to remain in the title race. The Gunners are unbeaten in their last four games against this opponent, and the return of Bukayo Saka could be a major factor in this one. Our Everton vs Arsenal prediction is Arsenal wins the match. 

Prediction :

 

Arsenal wins the match

 
Exclusive Offer
$150 offered for betting!

Everton vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions

Under 2.5

Odds 1.6

Each of Everton’s last four league games have ended with under 2.5 goals, while fewer than three goals were scored in five of Arsenal’s last six league matches. Additionally, the visitors have the best defensive record in the top flight this season and have kept clean sheets in three of their last four away games. 

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Everton vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions

The Premier League match between Everton and Arsenal will be played on April 5 at 12:30 GMT. 

The Premier League match between Everton and Arsenal will take place at Goodison Park in Liverpool.

The Premier League match between Everton and Arsenal will be broadcast on TNT Sports and discovery+ in the UK.

Alternatively, you can stay up to date with every minute of the action using our Premier League livescore tool.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Everton vs Arsenal Prediction
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