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Ethiopia vs Djibouti Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup

World - World Cup

Ethiopia
24/03/2025 17:00
Djibouti

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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 by Sridhar in World Cup Predictions

It’s a battle of the bottom in Group A of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification in Africa, as winless teams Ethiopia and Djibouti face off on Monday. This is the matchday six fixture between the fifth-placed Walia Ibex and the sixth-placed Shoremen of the Red Sea at Stade El Abdi in Morocco. This match comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.

Ethiopia have three points from three draws out of five, while Djibouti have just one point. A 2-0 loss at home to Egypt in the last round extended Ethiopia’s poor run lately. They have now lost three in a row and seven out of their last eight.

Their recent record in this competition has been equally poor, as Ethiopia are winless in their last nine World Cup qualifiers, drawing five and losing four.

Djibouti have just one point from their five matches so far. They are coming off a 4-1 away loss to Burkina Faso. That followed their loss to Rwanda in the ANC qualification, as the visitors continue to struggle.

The concerns are even more prominent in this competition, as Djibouti lost ten of their last 11 World Cup qualifiers. It gets worse on the road, as the visitors were beaten in their last six away World Cup qualifiers.

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The Best Betting Odds for Ethiopia v Djibouti Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.4 4 9.5
Betfred
1.33 4 9
Ladbrokes
1.36 4 7.5
1xbet
1.42 4.08 9.46
22bet
1.42 4.08 9.46
Check all Ethiopia vs Djibouti odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ethiopia and Djibouti?

Our prediction for the Ethiopia vs Djibouti match is: under 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/03/2025 between Ethiopia and Djibouti in World Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.2% for a win of Ethiopia against Djibouti with odds of 1.46 at Vbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ethiopia vs Djibouti is 23.13% with odds of 4.6 at Vbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 28.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Djibouti vs Ethiopia with odds of 10 at William Hill.

Ethiopia - Djibouti Prediction and Best Odds:

Ethiopia Djibouti Prediction Probability Odds
Ethiopia wins 48.2% 1.46 at Vbet
Under 2.5 51.78% 2.16 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 43.75% 2.62 at Ladbrokes
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Ethiopia 20.1% 3.95 at Unibet

Ethiopia vs Djibouti Form

Ethiopia and Djibouti's standings in the World Cup

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
6 6 1 3 2 0
6
Djibouti
Djibouti
1 6 0 1 5 -16

Ethiopia and Djibouti Last Matches

Ethiopia
Ethiopia Last matches
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Ethiopia
0 :  2
Egypt

19 Nov 2024 - AFCON

DR Congo
1 :  2
Ethiopia

16 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Ethiopia
0 :  2
Tanzania

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Ethiopia
0 :  3
Guinea

12 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Guinea
4 :  1
Ethiopia

9 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Ethiopia
0 :  2
DR Congo
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Ethiopia
0 :  2
Egypt

16 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Ethiopia
0 :  2
Tanzania

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Ethiopia
0 :  3
Guinea

9 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Ethiopia
0 :  2
DR Congo

24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Ethiopia
2 :  1
Lesotho

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Ethiopia
0 :  3
Burkina Faso
L D D D L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Nov 2024 - AFCON

DR Congo
1 :  2
Ethiopia

12 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Guinea
4 :  1
Ethiopia

4 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Tanzania
0 :  0
Ethiopia

9 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Djibouti
1 :  1
Ethiopia

6 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Guinea-Bissau
0 :  0
Ethiopia

8 Sep 2023 - AFCON

Egypt
1 :  0
Ethiopia
Djibouti
Djibouti Last matches
L L D L D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Burkina Faso
4 :  1
Djibouti

9 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Djibouti
1 :  1
Ethiopia

5 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Sierra Leone
2 :  1
Djibouti

26 Mar 2024 - AFCON

Liberia
0 :  0
Djibouti

20 Mar 2024 - AFCON

Djibouti
0 :  2
Liberia

20 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Djibouti
0 :  1
Guinea-Bissau
L L L L L D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Djibouti
1 :  1
Ethiopia

20 Mar 2024 - AFCON

Djibouti
0 :  2
Liberia

20 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Djibouti
0 :  1
Guinea-Bissau

12 Nov 2021 - World Cup

Djibouti
0 :  4
Algeria

8 Oct 2021 - World Cup

Djibouti
0 :  4
Burkina Faso

6 Sep 2021 - World Cup

Djibouti
2 :  4
Niger
L L L D L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
3.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Burkina Faso
4 :  1
Djibouti

5 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Sierra Leone
2 :  1
Djibouti

26 Mar 2024 - AFCON

Liberia
0 :  0
Djibouti

16 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Egypt
6 :  0
Djibouti

15 Nov 2021 - World Cup

Niger
7 :  2
Djibouti

11 Oct 2021 - World Cup

Burkina Faso
2 :  0
Djibouti

Ethiopia vs Djibouti Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

9 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Djibouti
1 :  1
Ethiopia
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Ethiopia - Djibouti Key Points

  1. Ethiopia saw under 2.5 goals in three of their last five matches.
  2. In seven of their last eight World Cup qualifiers, Ethiopia saw fewer than three goals scored.
  3. Ethiopia haven’t scored in their last three home World Cup qualifiers.
  4. In six of their last nine matches, Djibouti have seen two or fewer goals scored.
Up to $200 to bet on Ethiopia - Djibouti! 

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Our Ethiopia vs Djibouti Prediction

Ethiopia and Djibouti are stacked close together at the bottom of the points tally in this group. That is not just a reflection of their poor returns but also of how poor their scoring record has been. Ethiopia have scored a single goal in this qualifying campaign, while Djibouti have just three to its name. The visitors have the worst defensive record in this campaign in their group, but this match could be low on goals. That’s why our Ethiopia vs Djibouti prediction is under 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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$200 offered for betting!

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ethiopia Djibouti

Ethiopia vs Djibouti Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Ethiopia wins 1.33 1.4 +5.3%
Draw 4.5 4 -11.1%
Djibouti wins 12 9.5 -20.8%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Ethiopia is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 5.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 71.4% (-3.8%)

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Ethiopia vs Djibouti Prediction
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