Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Daniel Ngulu in Liga Portugal Predictions
Porto seem resigned to playing for a Europa League spot in the Primeira Liga and will be gunning for three points against Estoril next. Placed third, bookies' predictions have them as favorites in this match away to eighth placed Estoril but we feel otherwise.
A 1-1 draw in the last match means Estoril have gone winless in their last three matches. They will, however, be glad to be hosting this game as they’ve done well at home in their recent matches.
In five home matches, Estoril are unbeaten, winning three, though they managed just one clean sheet. Estoril won twice in their last four home matches against Porto.
After 26 matches, Porto trail the leading two sides by nine points. At this point in the season, it will take a monumental effort to close that gap.
It will particularly be tough for Porto as they’ve been inconsistent with their results. For example, they haven't had back-to-back wins in their last 15 matches. They actually won just four times in that run.
Estoril have somewhat been like a bogey team for Porto, winning three of their last five meetings. This will concern the visitors, who need a win to keep pushing the leading pack. Twice in the last three away matches, Porto lost.
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The Best Betting Odds for Estoril v Porto Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6 | 4.1 | 1.55 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.75 | 1.57 |
|
|
5.75 | 4 | 1.57 |
|
|
6.19 | 4.23 | 1.58 |
|
|
6.19 | 4.23 | 1.58 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Estoril and Porto?
Our prediction for the Estoril vs Porto match is: Estoril wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/03/2025 between Estoril and Porto in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.99% for a win of Estoril against Porto with odds of 6.6 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Estoril vs Porto is 26.42% with odds of 4.25 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Porto vs Estoril with odds of 1.61 at Tonybet.
Estoril - Porto Prediction and Best Odds:
| Estoril Porto Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 39.58% | 1.61 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 50.97% | 1.9 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 50.42% | 2 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Porto | 18.86% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Estoril vs Porto Form
Estoril and Porto's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
56 | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 32 |
|
9
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | -8 |
Estoril and Porto Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
24 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
16 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
24 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
7 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
16 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
Estoril vs Porto Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
30 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal
9 Jan 2024 - Taca de Portugal
6 Dec 2023 - Portugal League Cup
3 Nov 2023 - Liga Portugal
10 Mar 2023 - Liga Portugal
Estoril against Porto Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Most goals and assists
Estoril
Porto
A. Marques
(9 Goals)
S. Aghehowa
(21 Goals)
W. Pina
(3 Assists)
F. Moura
(8 Assists)
Estoril - Porto Key Points
- Porto lost two of their last three away matches.
- Porto managed just four wins in their last 15 matches.
- At home in the last four matches, Estoril posted three wins.
- Estoril have three wins in their last five matches against Porto.
- Estoril lost just once in their last 11 matches.
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Our Estoril vs Porto Prediction
Estoril will be pumped up for this match. Their last two defeats were inflicted by those teams in the top two and they’ll be keen to stop the third from extending that. This should not be a match to scare Estoril, who have won three of their last five against Porto.
The hosts have also been doing well in the recent home matches and this will offer a lift against Porto, who are struggling on the road. Our prediction for Estoril v Porto is that Estoril wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Estoril Porto
| Estoril vs Porto | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril wins | 6.25 | 6 | -4.0% |
| Draw | 4.1 | 4.1 | 0% |
| Porto wins | 1.53 | 1.55 | +1.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 64.5% (-0.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Estoril vs. Porto game!
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Try your luck on this year's Liga Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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