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Europe - UEFA Nations League

Estonia
14 Oct 2024 14:45
Sweden

Prediction :

 

Sweden to win to nil.

 
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Estonia vs Sweden Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

 by Ian John in UEFA Nations League Predictions

Estonia will be seeking a historic first in their Nations League game with Sweden. An inaugural win against Sweden at the 21st attempt is on offer for the Baltic side. The Blueshirts earned a rare win over Azerbaijan but face a Swedish team unbeaten in this group, including a win and a draw away from home. Will our prediction favour a surprise home win or will the Blue and Yellow land an expected victory in the match?

Aside from wins in the Baltic Cup, Estonia’s form is dismal. Their 3-1 win over Azerbaijan on Matchday Three was their first since 2023 outside of the minor Baltic Cup tournament. It left Jurgen Henn’s team in third place in the group on three points, four points behind Slovakia and their opponents today. 

Prior to that Estonia had lost 1-0 at ome to Slovakia and then 3-0 away to Sweden on Matchdays One and Two. Estonia has scored just one goal in the last seven games against Sweden, losing six. 

As such, Jon Dahl Tomasson’s Swedish team are the bookmakers' choice to land a relatively easy win in Tallinn. Having missed out on Euro 2024 in the summer, the Swedes began their Nations League campaign strongly earning a 3-1 win in Azerbaijan and following that up with a 3-0 home win over Estonia.

They faced their toughest test on Matchday Three and led 2-0 away to Slovakia, before the home side pulled two goals back to claim a 2-2 draw. The result left Sweden top of the group on goal difference ahead of Slovakia, who are both four points clear of Estonia.

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The Best Betting Odds for Estonia v Sweden Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
12 6.5 1.22
Ladbrokes
8.5 3.4 1.44
1xbet
15.7 6.78 1.22
22bet
15.7 6.78 1.22
Betobet
14.5 6.25 1.2
Betwinner
14 6.7 1.2
LSbet
14 6.7 1.2
Stake
12 6.2 1.2
Melbet
14 7 1.19
Tonybet
13 6.2 1.22
Betway
12 6.5 1.2
Unibet
13 6.1 1.23
Betfair
13 6 1.14
Betsson
13 6.5 1.2
Vbet
17 7.2 1.2
Check all Estonia vs Sweden odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Estonia and Sweden?

Our prediction for the Estonia vs Sweden match is: Sweden to win to nil.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/10/2024 between Estonia and Sweden in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.15% for a win of Estonia against Sweden with odds of 17 at Vbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Estonia vs Sweden is 14.73% with odds of 7.2 at Vbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 57.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Sweden vs Estonia with odds of 1.44 at Ladbrokes.

Estonia - Sweden Prediction and Best Odds:

Estonia Sweden Prediction Probability Odds
Sweden wins 57.12% 1.44 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals 66.51% 1.81 at Stake
Both Team To Score 48.96% 2.3 at Ladbrokes
Half-time / Full-time: Sweden/Sweden 25.21% 1.75 at Unibet

Estonia vs Sweden Form

Estonia and Sweden's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Sweden
Sweden
16 6 5 1 0 15
3
Estonia
Estonia
4 6 1 1 4 -6

Estonia and Sweden Last Matches

Estonia
Estonia Last matches
L W D L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Estonia
3 :  1
Azerbaijan

8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Sweden
3 :  0
Estonia

5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Estonia
0 :  1
Slovakia

11 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup

Lithuania
1 :  1
Estonia

8 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup

Estonia
4 :  1
Faroe Islands

4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Switzerland
4 :  0
Estonia
L D L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Estonia
3 :  1
Azerbaijan

5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Estonia
0 :  1
Slovakia

8 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup

Estonia
4 :  1
Faroe Islands

16 Nov 2023 - Euro

Estonia
0 :  2
Austria

17 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies

Estonia
1 :  1
Thailand

13 Oct 2023 - Euro

Estonia
0 :  2
Azerbaijan
L L L L D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Sweden
3 :  0
Estonia

11 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup

Lithuania
1 :  1
Estonia

4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Switzerland
4 :  0
Estonia

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Finland
2 :  1
Estonia

21 Mar 2024 - Euro

Poland
5 :  1
Estonia

12 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Sweden
2 :  1
Estonia
Sweden
Sweden Last matches
W L L W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Slovakia
2 :  2
Sweden

8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Sweden
3 :  0
Estonia

5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Azerbaijan
1 :  3
Sweden

8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Sweden
0 :  3
Serbia

5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Denmark
2 :  1
Sweden

25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Sweden
1 :  0
Albania
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Sweden
3 :  0
Estonia

8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Sweden
0 :  3
Serbia

25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Sweden
1 :  0
Albania

12 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Sweden
2 :  1
Estonia

19 Nov 2023 - Euro

Sweden
2 :  0
Estonia

12 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies

Sweden
3 :  1
Moldova
W L L L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Slovakia
2 :  2
Sweden

5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Azerbaijan
1 :  3
Sweden

5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Denmark
2 :  1
Sweden

21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Portugal
5 :  2
Sweden

16 Nov 2023 - Euro

Azerbaijan
3 :  0
Sweden

9 Sep 2023 - Euro

Estonia
0 :  5
Sweden

Estonia vs Sweden Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Estonia

0 %

Draw

0 %

Sweden

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.25
Total goals
25%
BTTS
0.25
Goals scored (Team 1)
3
Goals scored (Team 2)
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5

8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Sweden
3 :  0
Estonia

12 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Sweden
2 :  1
Estonia

19 Nov 2023 - Euro

Sweden
2 :  0
Estonia

9 Sep 2023 - Euro

Estonia
0 :  5
Sweden
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Estonia against Sweden Lineups: Starting 11

Estonia

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

12
K. Hein
6
R. Peetson
18
K. Mets
16
J. Tamm
4
M. Schjonning-Larsen
4
M. Kait
11
M. Ainsalu
9
I. Yakovlev
21
M. Vetkal
23
V. Sinyavskiy
15
A. Tamm
21
D. Kulusevski
17
V. Gyokeres
13
K. Sema
22
S. Nanasi
14
A. Jonsson Saletros
18
Y. Ayari
2
E. Krafth
5
G. Gudmundsson
4
I. Hien
3
A. Douglas
12
V. Johansson

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Sweden

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Estonia
CD Huachipato Sweden
Top Goalscorer
Estonia V. Sinyavskiy (1 Goals)
Estonia I. Yakovlev (1 Goals)
Estonia R. Shein (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Sweden V. Gyokeres (9 Goals)
Best assists
Estonia R. Shein (1 Assists)
Best assists
Sweden V. Gyokeres (5 Assists)

Estonia - Sweden Key Points

  1. Outside of the Baltic Cup, Estonia have won one of their last 17 games.
  2. Sweden are unbeaten in three Nations League matches so far, two of which have been away from home.
  3. Estonia has never beaten Sweden.
  4. Sweden has won six of the last seven matches against Estonia without conceding a goal.
Up to $150 to bet on Estonia - Sweden! 

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Our Estonia vs Sweden Prediction

Our prediction for the Estonia vs. Sweden Nations League Group C1 match is: Sweden to win to nil. 

To say Estonia's record against Sweden is dismal is an understatement. A 3-0 defeat when the teams last met is one of the better results the team has achieved against Sweden over the years. Sweden's good form, including an unbeaten away record in this group, means that the data strongly points to them winning this fixture without conceding a goal. That's despite a rare Estonian win in their previous game. 

Prediction :

 

Sweden to win to nil.

 
Exclusive Offer
$150 offered for betting!

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Estonia Sweden

Estonia vs Sweden Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Estonia wins 11 12 +9.1%
Draw 6 6.5 +8.3%
Sweden wins 1.25 1.22 -2.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Sweden is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 82.0% (2.0%)

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Estonia vs Sweden Prediction
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