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Europe - UEFA Nations League

Estonia
11 Oct 2024 12:00
Azerbaijan

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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Estonia vs Azerbaijan Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

 by Kennedy Kechula in UEFA Nations League Predictions

In Group 1 of League C of the Nations League this Friday, Estonia will play hosts to Azerbaijan. This Match Day 3 outing finds the two nations occupying the bottom two slots. In case you are looking to bet on the event, we have a prediction to guide.

Estonia have the poorest goal difference in the group and as such find themselves bottom of the pool. In the opening two matches, they failed to score, while conceding four times in the process.

In their last outing, Estonia had Kevor Palumets sent off as they lost 3-0 away to Sweden. That marked the third time in five matches that Estonia failed to score.

It was also the second time in the same run that they conceded three or more.

The last time Azerbaijan visited Estonia was in the European Championship qualifiers, back in 2023. They won 2-0 for their second unbeaten outing against Estonia.

Heading into this game without a point so far, Azerbaijan will draw confidence from their recent head-to-head record. Quickfire first half goals away to Slovakia in the last game saw Azerbaijan suffer a 2-0 defeat.

That came after falling 3-1 at home to Sweden on Match Day 1, leaving them on zero points so far. The experienced Fernando Santos is clearly having a hard time at the team and largely due to a porous backline.

In each of their last four matches, Azerbaijan conceded at least twice. The visitors will, however, look at their scoring form for some solace. They only failed to score once in the last six matches.

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The Best Betting Odds for Estonia v Azerbaijan Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.2 3.1 2.35
Ladbrokes
3.2 2.3 2.7
1xbet
3.22 3.32 2.48
22bet
3.22 3.32 2.48
Betobet
3.05 3.05 2.55
Betwinner
3.03 3.13 2.49
LSbet
3.03 3.13 2.49
Stake
3 2.9 2.48
Melbet
3.1 3.2 2.39
Tonybet
3.1 3.1 2.4
Betway
3.1 3 2.4
Unibet
3.1 3.05 2.48
Betfair
3 2.9 2.5
Betsson
3.1 3 2.45
William Hill
3 3 2.4
Vbet
3.23 3.09 2.49
Check all Estonia vs Azerbaijan odds
Up to $150 to bet on Estonia - Azerbaijan! 

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What is the prediction for the football match between Estonia and Azerbaijan?

Our prediction for the Estonia vs Azerbaijan match is: Over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/10/2024 between Estonia and Azerbaijan in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.76% for a win of Estonia against Azerbaijan with odds of 3.23 at Vbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Estonia vs Azerbaijan is 19.58% with odds of 3.32 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 42.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Azerbaijan vs Estonia with odds of 2.7 at Ladbrokes.

Estonia - Azerbaijan Prediction and Best Odds:

Estonia Azerbaijan Prediction Probability Odds
Azerbaijan wins 42.67% 2.7 at Ladbrokes
Under 2.5 54.15% 2.07 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 39.58% 2.1 at Bet365
Half-time : Estonia / Full-time : Azerbaijan 15.56% 41 at Betsson

Estonia vs Azerbaijan Form

Estonia and Azerbaijan's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Estonia
Estonia
4 6 1 1 4 -6
4
Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan
1 6 0 1 5 -14

Estonia and Azerbaijan Last Matches

Estonia
Estonia Last matches
L L W D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Sweden
3 :  0
Estonia

5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Estonia
0 :  1
Slovakia

11 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup

Lithuania
1 :  1
Estonia

8 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup

Estonia
4 :  1
Faroe Islands

4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Switzerland
4 :  0
Estonia

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Finland
2 :  1
Estonia
L L D L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Estonia
0 :  1
Slovakia

8 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup

Estonia
4 :  1
Faroe Islands

16 Nov 2023 - Euro

Estonia
0 :  2
Austria

17 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies

Estonia
1 :  1
Thailand

13 Oct 2023 - Euro

Estonia
0 :  2
Azerbaijan

9 Sep 2023 - Euro

Estonia
0 :  5
Sweden
L L L L D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Sweden
3 :  0
Estonia

11 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup

Lithuania
1 :  1
Estonia

4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Switzerland
4 :  0
Estonia

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Finland
2 :  1
Estonia

21 Mar 2024 - Euro

Poland
5 :  1
Estonia

12 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Sweden
2 :  1
Estonia
Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan Last matches
W D L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Slovakia
2 :  0
Azerbaijan

5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Azerbaijan
1 :  3
Sweden

11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Azerbaijan
3 :  2
Kazakhstan

7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Albania
3 :  1
Azerbaijan

25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Azerbaijan
1 :  1
Bulgaria

22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Azerbaijan
1 :  0
Mongolia
L W W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Azerbaijan
1 :  3
Sweden

11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Azerbaijan
3 :  2
Kazakhstan

25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Azerbaijan
1 :  1
Bulgaria

22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Azerbaijan
1 :  0
Mongolia

16 Nov 2023 - Euro

Azerbaijan
3 :  0
Sweden

16 Oct 2023 - Euro

Azerbaijan
0 :  1
Austria
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
3.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Slovakia
2 :  0
Azerbaijan

7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Albania
3 :  1
Azerbaijan

19 Nov 2023 - Euro

Belgium
5 :  0
Azerbaijan

13 Oct 2023 - Euro

Estonia
0 :  2
Azerbaijan

27 Mar 2023 - Euro

Sweden
5 :  0
Azerbaijan

24 Mar 2023 - Euro

Austria
4 :  1
Azerbaijan

Estonia vs Azerbaijan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Estonia

0 %

Draw

50 %

Azerbaijan

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

13 Oct 2023 - Euro

Estonia
0 :  2
Azerbaijan

17 Jun 2023 - Euro

Azerbaijan
1 :  1
Estonia
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Estonia against Azerbaijan Lineups: Starting 11

Estonia

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

12
K. Hein
13
M. Paskotsi
16
J. Tamm
18
K. Mets
4
M. Schjonning-Larsen
11
M. Ainsalu
5
R. Shein
9
I. Yakovlev
4
M. Kait
23
V. Sinyavskiy
8
H. Anier
11
R. Sheydaev
9
R. Dadashov
17
T. Bayramov
3
E. Cafarquliyev
7
J. Diniev
20
A. Isayev
5
A. Krivotsyuk
15
B. Huseynov
13
R. Mammadov
21
A. Huseynov
1
Mekhti Dzhenetov

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Azerbaijan

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Estonia
CD Huachipato Azerbaijan
Top Goalscorer
Estonia V. Sinyavskiy (1 Goals)
Estonia I. Yakovlev (1 Goals)
Estonia R. Shein (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Azerbaijan T. Bayramov (2 Goals)
Best assists
Estonia R. Shein (1 Assists)
Best assists
Azerbaijan T. Bayramov (1 Assists)
Azerbaijan R. Sheydaev (1 Assists)

Estonia - Azerbaijan Key Points

  1. Azerbaijan’s last five matches witnessed 17 goals netted.
  2. 14 goals were scored in Estonia’s last five Nations League matches.
  3. Three of Estonia’s last five matches had at least three goals scored.
  4. Azerbaijan’s last five Nations League matches had 14 goals scored.
  5. In three of Azerbaijan’s last five away matches, they conceded three or more goals.
Up to $150 to bet on Estonia - Azerbaijan! 

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Our Estonia vs Azerbaijan Prediction

These two teams have a recent history of high scoring matches. Azerbaijan have either scored or conceded three times in three of their last four matches. It is the same case for Estonia, scoring or conceding three or more goals in four of their last five matches.

Half of their last six meetings also had over three goals scored. These high scores have also been witnessed in their Nations League matches. Our prediction for Estonia v Azerbaijan is for the match to have over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
Exclusive Offer
$150 offered for betting!

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Estonia Azerbaijan

Estonia vs Azerbaijan Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Estonia wins 2.63 3.2 +21.7%
Draw 3.3 3.1 -6.1%
Azerbaijan wins 2.63 2.35 -10.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Azerbaijan is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 38.0% and is now 42.6% (4.5%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Estonia vs Azerbaijan Prediction
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