Erzgebirge Aue vs Mönchengladbach Prediction & Betting Tips - DFB Pokal
by Kennedy Kechula in DFB Pokal Predictions
Erzgebirge Aue will be going on a giant-killing mission when they welcome Borussia Monchengladbach for their Saturday DFB Pokal game. The two sides face off in the first round as Monchengladbach officially start their season. Follow for the preview and our prediction of the match.
In the last three attempts, Erzgebirge’s German Cup campaign ended in the first round. The third-tier side has only advanced past this round three times in the last 10 years.
Facing a Bundesliga side at this stage almost surely means the end of their campaign. The hosts are coming from straight wins in their first two matches of the season. While they can be ambitious and target a third here, it will not be a walk in the park, facing a side that reached the quarter-finals last season.
Monchengladbach were eliminated from the DFB Pokal by a lower league side last season. As much as they come here as favorites, that memory will ring on for long. Still, it was a memorable campaign for Gerardo Seoane’s side.
They eliminated two Bundesliga sides along the way before falling to Saarbrucken. Monchengladbach arrive for this game off the back of a fine run in preseason where they won all their six matches.
They kept clean sheets in four of the last five friendly matches and will be confident of doing better than in their final matches of last season. The visitors failed to win their last six competitive matches, most of which they did poorly in defence.
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The Best Betting Odds for Erzgebirge Aue v Mönchengladbach Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
501 | 41 | 1 |
|
|
4.5 | 2.8 | 1.83 |
|
|
90 | 17.7 | 1.01 |
|
|
90 | 17.7 | 1.01 |
|
|
5.5 | 4.1 | 1.54 |
|
|
5.65 | 4.48 | 1.53 |
|
|
100 | 17 | 1.01 |
|
|
5.15 | 4.38 | 1.58 |
|
|
5.8 | 4.6 | 1.54 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Erzgebirge Aue and Mönchengladbach?
Our prediction for the Erzgebirge Aue vs Mönchengladbach match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/08/2024 between Erzgebirge Aue and Mönchengladbach in DFB Pokal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.37% for a win of Erzgebirge Aue against Mönchengladbach with odds of 501 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Erzgebirge Aue vs Mönchengladbach is 16.06% with odds of 41 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.57% chance ⭐ for a win of Mönchengladbach vs Erzgebirge Aue with odds of 1.83 at Ladbrokes.
Erzgebirge Aue - Mönchengladbach Prediction and Best Odds:
| Erzgebirge Aue Mönchengladbach Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mönchengladbach wins | 46.57% | 1.83 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.59% | 1.59 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.38% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Mönchengladbach/Mönchengladbach | 19.38% | 2.05 at Bet365 |
Erzgebirge Aue vs Mönchengladbach Form
Erzgebirge Aue and Mönchengladbach Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - 3rd Liga
3 Aug 2024 - 3rd Liga
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
21 May 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Players list
M. Mannel
DefenderT. Hoffmann
P. Fallmann
A. Barylla
K. Jakob
MidfielderM. Pepic
S. Seitz
E. Majetschak
ForwardO. Sijaric
R. Bornschein
W. Kallenbach
J. Omlin
DefenderK. Itakura
M. Friedrich
J. Scally
L. Netz
MidfielderM. Kone
T. Cvancara
J. Weigl
P. Sander
ForwardT. Kleindienst
N. N-Goumou
Substitutes
L. Lord
DefenderP. Fallmann
S. Nkansah
MidfielderJ. Fabisch
E. Emmerich
O. Sijaric
W. Kallenbach
S. Seitz
R. Bornschein
M. Nicolas
DefenderS. Lainer
M. Friedrich
N. N-Goumou
P. Sander
M. Kone
F. Neuhaus
ForwardT. Cvancara
G. Ranos
Erzgebirge Aue - Mönchengladbach Key Points
- Monchengladbach’s last five away matches produced a total of 21 goals.
- 38 goals were scored in Monchengladbach’s last 10 DFB Pokal matches.
- Seven of Monchengladbach’s last 10 matches produced at least three goals.
- Four of Erzgebirge’s last five DFB Pokal matches had three or more goals.
- Two of the last three meetings between these two sides had over 2.5 goals.
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Our Erzgebirge Aue vs Mönchengladbach Prediction
Erzgebirge Aue have failed to go past this round of the DFB Pokal in their last three attempts. Their matches in the competition have been characterized by heavy losses, the most recent being a 3-0 defeat at home to Mainz.
This will be another tough game for them and we could see multiple goals in the match as well. Both teams are coming from outings that have had not less than three goals in recent times. Our prediction for Erzgebirge Aue v Borussia Monchengladbach is for the game to have over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Erzgebirge Aue Mönchengladbach
| Erzgebirge Aue vs Mönchengladbach | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge Aue wins | 5 | 501 | +9,920.0% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 41 | +993.3% |
| Mönchengladbach wins | 1.62 | 1 | -38.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Mönchengladbach is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 38.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 100.0% (38.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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