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by Daniel Ngulu in World Cup Predictions
Equatorial Guinea return to competitive action, hosting Sao Tome e Principe in the Africa region 2026 World Cup qualifiers. These two square off in Group H, where the hosts are fifth and Sao Tome bottom. We have the prediction for this match below.
In the last round, Equatorial Guinea registered their first win of the qualifiers, beating Malawi 1-0 after having lost all the earlier three. Racing to finish at least second in the group will call for both hard work and luck.
Nzalang Nacional failed to score in their last two matches, falling 3-0 to Togo having earlier drawn 0-0 with Algeria. In these qualifiers, Equatorial Guinea have so far scored once in four matches. At home though, they won six of seven World Cup qualification matches.
Sao Tome are in a much worse state. They haven't won a match for close to three years now. Their last victory on the international stage dates back to March 2022 when they beat Mauritius 1-0 at home.
Having failed to win any of their last 13 matches places them as clear underdogs here. The visitors are among the four nations still participating, which haven't bagged a point so far in these qualifiers.
They’ve managed just one goal so far, while conceding 10 times. Over their last seven matches in World Cup qualification, Sao Tome suffered straight defeats, scoring twice.
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The Best Betting Odds for Equatorial Guinea v Sao Tome and Principe Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.14 | 6.5 | 26 |
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1.14 | 5.5 | 19 |
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1.15 | 5.5 | 21 |
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1.2 | 5.75 | 24 |
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1.2 | 5.75 | 24 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Equatorial Guinea and Sao Tome and Principe?
Our prediction for the Equatorial Guinea vs Sao Tome and Principe match is: Equatorial Guinea to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/03/2025 between Equatorial Guinea and Sao Tome and Principe in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.35% for a win of Equatorial Guinea against Sao Tome and Principe with odds of 1.21 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Equatorial Guinea vs Sao Tome and Principe is 27.55% with odds of 6.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 10.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Sao Tome and Principe vs Equatorial Guinea with odds of 29 at Betsson.
Equatorial Guinea vs Sao Tome and Principe Form
Equatorial Guinea and Sao Tome and Principe's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -6 |
|
6
|
0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 |
Equatorial Guinea and Sao Tome and Principe Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
28 Jan 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
5 Jun 2024 - World Cup
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
14 Jan 2024 - AFCON
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - AFCON
22 Mar 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Mar 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
14 Jun 2023 - AFCON
26 Mar 2023 - AFCON
13 Jun 2022 - AFCON
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - AFCON
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
10 Sep 2023 - AFCON
22 Mar 2023 - AFCON
9 Jun 2022 - AFCON
Equatorial Guinea - Sao Tome and Principe Key Points
- Equatorial Guinea won their last World Cup qualifying match.
- Sao Tome failed to score in five of seven World Cup qualifying matches.
- Sao Tome suffered defeat in their last seven World Cup qualifying matches.
- At home, Equatorial Guinea won six of their last seven World Cup qualifiers.
- Equatorial Guinea lost just twice in 11 World Cup qualifying matches they hosted.
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Our Equatorial Guinea vs Sao Tome and Principe Prediction
Equatorial Guinea had a false start to the 2026 World Cup qualifiers but here they have a good chance to stabilize. They are way off the top two, but a win here will do them a lot of good. The hosts are definitely the favorites, looking at their home form in such qualifiers.
Sao Tome, on the other hand, are grappling with a poor run at the international level. The visitors have an even poorer run in World Cup qualifiers. Our prediction for Equatorial Guinea v Sao Tome e Principe is for Equatorial Guinea to win to nil.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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