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Africa - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
28 Jan 2024 12:00
Guinea

Prediction :

Equatorial Guinea wins the match

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Equatorial Guinea vs Guinea Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON

 by Daniel Ngulu in AFCON Predictions

Equatorial Guinea will hope to extend their giant-killing instincts to the AFCON 2023 Round of 16 when they face Guinea. The two face off after successfully negotiating the group stage. Equatorial Guinea finished top of Group A while Guinea were third placed finishers in Group C. Their contrasting finishers aside, here they meet in a winner-takes-all encounter. For this and more tips, follow our 2023 AFCON predictions page.

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The Best Betting Odds for Equatorial Guinea v Guinea Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.8 2.75 2.3
NetBet
3.6 2.72 2.2
1xbet
3.55 2.78 2.44
22bet
3.55 2.78 2.44
Betwinner
3.96 2.76 2.28
LSbet
3.96 2.76 2.28
Stake
3.35 2.65 2.35
Melbet
3.54 2.78 2.44
Tonybet
3.4 2.9 2.32
Betsson
3.7 2.92 2.28
William Hill
3.6 2.9 2.2
Vbet
3.89 2.82 2.28
Betway
3.6 2.88 2.25
Unibet
4.05 2.9 2.2
Check all Equatorial Guinea vs Guinea odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Equatorial Guinea and Guinea?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/01/2024 between Equatorial Guinea and Guinea in AFCON :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.46% for a win of Equatorial Guinea against Guinea with odds of 4.05 at Unibet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Equatorial Guinea vs Guinea is 27.81% with odds of 2.92 at Betsson.
  • Our prediction model gives a 18.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Guinea vs Equatorial Guinea with odds of 2.44 at 1xbet.

Equatorial Guinea - Guinea Prediction and Best Odds:

Equatorial Guinea Guinea Prediction Probability Odds
Equatorial Guinea wins 53.46% 4.05 at Unibet
Under 2.5 68.99% 1.53 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 40.48%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Equatorial Guinea 27.58% 7 at Bet365

Equatorial Guinea vs Guinea Form

Equatorial Guinea and Guinea Last Matches

Equatorial Guinea
Equatorial Guinea Last matches
D W W D W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
4 :  0
Ivory Coast

18 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
4 :  2
Guinea-Bissau

14 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Nigeria
1 :  1
Equatorial Guinea

20 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Liberia
3 :  0
Equatorial Guinea

15 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Equatorial Guinea
0 :  3
Namibia

6 Sep 2023 - AFCON

Libya
1 :  1
Equatorial Guinea
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
4 :  0
Ivory Coast

18 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
4 :  2
Guinea-Bissau

15 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Equatorial Guinea
0 :  3
Namibia

17 Jun 2023 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
1 :  0
Tunisia

24 Mar 2023 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
2 :  0
Botswana

6 Jun 2022 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
2 :  0
Libya
L L W D W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Nigeria
1 :  1
Equatorial Guinea

20 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Liberia
3 :  0
Equatorial Guinea

6 Sep 2023 - AFCON

Libya
1 :  1
Equatorial Guinea

28 Mar 2023 - AFCON

Botswana
2 :  3
Equatorial Guinea

2 Jun 2022 - AFCON

Tunisia
4 :  0
Equatorial Guinea

30 Jan 2022 - AFCON

Senegal
3 :  1
Equatorial Guinea
Guinea
Guinea Last matches
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

23 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Guinea
0 :  2
Senegal

19 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Guinea
1 :  0
Gambia

15 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Cameroon
1 :  1
Guinea

8 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Guinea
2 :  0
Nigeria

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Botswana
1 :  0
Guinea

17 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Guinea
2 :  1
Uganda
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

23 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Guinea
0 :  2
Senegal

19 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Guinea
1 :  0
Gambia

8 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Guinea
2 :  0
Nigeria

17 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Guinea
2 :  1
Uganda

14 Jun 2023 - AFCON

Guinea
1 :  2
Egypt

24 Mar 2023 - AFCON

Guinea
2 :  0
Ethiopia
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Cameroon
1 :  1
Guinea

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Botswana
1 :  0
Guinea

9 Sep 2023 - AFCON

Malawi
2 :  2
Guinea

17 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies

Brazil
4 :  1
Guinea

27 Mar 2023 - AFCON

Ethiopia
2 :  3
Guinea

5 Jun 2022 - AFCON

Egypt
1 :  0
Guinea
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Equatorial Guinea - Guinea: Form Analysis

For the first time in their history, Equatorial Guinea will get to face Guinea. The lower ranked Equatorial Guinea come into this game on a much better run compared to Guinea. They’ve not only made it to the knockout rounds for the fourth straight time at AFCON but are unbeaten in the last 13 games. Juan Micha’s side will want to stay modest with their achievements so far but topping a group with two former champions is worth a mention. They thrashed hosts Ivory Coast 4-0 in their last game, having earlier drawn 1-1 with Nigeria. Equatorial Guinea were the highest scorers at the group stages, with nine goals and will be looking to carry this scoring form here. They’ve only failed to score in one of their last 12 matches ahead of this one. Equatorial Guinea’s run at AFCON is also worth mentioning; they have just one loss in the last seven matches at the competition. That loss was against the reigning champions Senegal on their way to the title in 2022. In the remaining six, they posted five wins, one coming via post match penalties, against Mali.

Guinea will want to employ a lot of caution when they face the competition’s surprise team. The one duck they will also want to offload is that of losing at this stage. In their last six round of 16 matches at AFCON, Guinea have failed to win. Much is written against them going into their first ever meeting with Equatorial Guinea. Syli Nationale will however bank on their experience at AFCON. They have a better pedigree in this competition though that may not count for much, looking at what Equatorial Guinea have achieved in this competition already. Guinea finished third in their group and while they are experienced at AFCON, that performance raises questions. One may argue that they rose from a tough group, but Equatorial Guinea also topped a difficult pool. Heading into this game, Guinea were beaten 2-0 by Senegal for their third loss in five AFCON matches. It was also the second time in four AFCON matches that they failed to score.

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Equatorial Guinea against Guinea Lineups: Starting 11

Equatorial Guinea

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

1
J. Owono
15
C. Akapo
21
E. Orozco Fernandez
16
S. Coco
11
Basilio Ndong
4
F. Bikoro
22
P. Ganet
6
I. Salvador
8
J. Buyla
7
J. Machin
10
E. Nsue
11
M. Bayo
21
S. Sylla
18
A. Camara
7
M. Guilavogui
20
M. Konate
6
A. Diawara
12
I. Diakite
5
M. Diakhaby
17
J. Jeanvier
3
I. Sylla
22
I. Kone

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Guinea

Equatorial Guinea & Guinea Squad Analysis

The one name everyone will be looking for in the Match Day squad here is Emilio Nsue’s. The Equatorial Guinea skipper has five goals from his last two games and is the competition’s top scorer. He will be keen to extend this run when he leads his team out there. A few knocks were suffered in Equatorial Guinea’s win over Ivory Coast but we expect Juan Micha to name the same starting team. At the Guinea camp, the return from injury of Serhou Guirassy is a massive boost. He started the game against Senegal and will be expected to get the go-ahead here too.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Equatorial Guinea
CD Huachipato Guinea
Top Goalscorer
E. Nsue (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
M. Bayo (3 Goals)
Best assists
J. Machin (3 Assists)
Best assists
M. Guilavogui (1 Assists)
I. Diakite (1 Assists)

Equatorial Guinea - Guinea Key Points

  1. Equatorial Guinea are unbeaten in 13 matches
  2. Equatorial Guinea have one loss in the last 16 matches
  3. Equatorial Guinea have five wins in seven AFCON matches
  4. Guinea have three losses in their last five AFCON matches
  5. Guinea have lost twice in their last five matches
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Our Equatorial Guinea vs Guinea Prediction

Equatorial Guinea are coming from a tough group, and they did well. This should pump up their confidence coming into the knockouts. They are also enjoying a great run of form, unbeaten in 13 matches and with a good run at AFCON too. Guinea struggled a bit at the group stage, and have had a poor run in the knockouts too. That could come to haunt them here, looking at the kind of opposition they are facing. Our prediction for Equatorial Guinea v Guinea is for Equatorial Guinea to win.

Prediction :

Equatorial Guinea wins the match

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Equatorial Guinea vs Guinea - Other Interesting Predictions

Emilio Nsue to score

Odds 4.5

Equatorial Guinea forward Emilio Nsue will be a man in focus here following his superb showing in the group stages. He is the competition’s leading scorer and will be fired up here, looking to extend his tally. After netting five times, he is definitely eyeing the top scorer’s accolade and won’t be faulted if he goes for goals here. An experienced head, we expect him to deliver in this game and we will back him for any time goal scorer.

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Equatorial Guinea vs Guinea match : Frequently asked questions

The Equatorial Guinea v Guinea game will take place at Alassane Ouattara Stadium in Abidjan

The Equatorial Guinea v Guinea game is scheduled for a 5pm GMT kickoff on Sunday, 28th January, 2024

The Equatorial Guinea v Guinea game will be aired on SuperSport for audiences in Africa, Sky Sports for those in the UK and RTG in Guinea. SportyTrader will also have updates on the game and other AFCON matches.

Guinea forward Serhou Guirassy is cleared to play in the Equatorial Guinea v Guinea game.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Equatorial Guinea vs Guinea Prediction
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