Africa - AFCON
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Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Devesh Jaganath in AFCON Predictions
Group E at the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers could be decided on Thursday afternoon when Equatorial Guinea take on Algeria at Nuevo Estadio de Malabo. The National Thunder are in second place in the group, while the Dessert Warriors lead the standings. Check out our match prediction below.
Equatorial Guinea put themselves in a very strong position to qualify for the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations by securing back-to-back wins over Liberia in rounds three and four last month.
Those results took them to seven points, five clear of Togo in third, meaning a victory here will be enough to guarantee the National Thunder a top-two finish in the group.
The hosts are unbeaten in their last four home games on home soil (W2 D2 L0) and kept clean sheets in two of those matches. However, they did lose 2-0 to this opponent in the reverse fixture.
Meanwhile, Algeria secured their spot at AFCON 2025 by beating Togo 5-1 at home and 1-0 away in the October qualifiers to take them to 12 points in the group.
The Fennecs are now on a five-match winning streak across all competitions and are one of only five teams that have a 100% record in these qualifiers after four rounds.
The visitors are also on a three-match winning streak in away games and have only suffered one defeat in the last 12 matches on their travels (W10 D1 L1).
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The Best Betting Odds for Equatorial Guinea v Algeria Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4 | 2.8 | 1.95 |
|
|
4.38 | 3.28 | 1.88 |
|
|
4.38 | 3.28 | 1.88 |
|
|
4.4 | 2.95 | 2 |
|
|
4.7 | 3.1 | 1.85 |
|
|
4.38 | 3.28 | 1.88 |
|
|
4.7 | 3.1 | 1.84 |
|
|
5.25 | 2.85 | 1.75 |
|
|
3.9 | 2.8 | 1.91 |
|
|
4 | 3 | 2.05 |
|
|
4.33 | 2.85 | 2.13 |
|
|
4 | 2.88 | 2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Equatorial Guinea and Algeria?
Our prediction for the Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria match is: Algeria wins!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/11/2024 between Equatorial Guinea and Algeria in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.03% for a win of Equatorial Guinea against Algeria with odds of 5.25 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria is 10.84% with odds of 3.28 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Algeria vs Equatorial Guinea with odds of 2.13 at Vbet.
Equatorial Guinea - Algeria Prediction and Best Odds:
| Equatorial Guinea Algeria Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Algeria wins | 52.12% | 2.13 at Vbet |
| Under 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.96 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 18.75% | 2.25 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Algeria | 22.36% | 5 at Betsson |
Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria Form
Equatorial Guinea and Algeria's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 |
|
2
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 |
Equatorial Guinea and Algeria Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
5 Jun 2024 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
28 Jan 2024 - AFCON
22 Jan 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
5 Jun 2024 - World Cup
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
14 Jan 2024 - AFCON
20 Nov 2023 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Jan 2024 - AFCON
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
23 Jan 2024 - AFCON
9 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
16 Jan 2022 - AFCON
Most goals and assists
Equatorial Guinea
Algeria
B. Bounedjah
(3 Goals)
Y. Belaili
(1 Assists)
,
A. Ounas
(1 Assists)
Equatorial Guinea - Algeria Key Points
- Equatorial Guinea have only kept one clean sheet in their four AFCON qualification matches.
- Algeria are on a five-match winning streak across all competitions.
- Algeria have kept three clean sheets in their four AFCON qualification matches.
- Algeria have only lost one of their last 12 away games.
- Algeria won the reverse fixture 2-0 back in September.
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Our Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria Prediction
Equatorial Guinea have gotten themselves into a very strong position to qualify for the Africa Cup of Nations, but they may have to wait until the final match of the group to guarantee it.
The reason for that is due to Algeria’s recent form leading up to this match, with the Dessert Warriors carrying a five-match winning streak, while they beat this opponent fairly easily back in round two. We feel the visitors will keep their perfect record intact in this one. Our Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria prediction: Algeria wins!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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