England vs Latvia Prediction - World Cup

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World - World Cup

England

24/03/2025 15:45

Latvia

Prediction :

Under 4.5

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Prediction published on 22/03/2025, 15:45 by Steve Ashfield | Modified on 22/03/2025 at 16:37 in World Cup Predictions

England are already top of Group K after a 2-0 home win over Albania on Friday. Another three points should be earned on Monday when they host Latvia who are second in the group. Could they upset the Three Lions? Read our match prediction.

Life under Thomas Tuchel began with a straightforward if not stunning win over Albania. The other countries in this group are Serbia and Andorra. Tuchel couldn't have picked a better group himself, there will be tougher tasks ahead that is for sure.

Latvia won 1-0 at Andorra on Friday and that has extended their unbeaten run in away World Cup qualifiers to five. They have never made it to the finals and are unlikely to change that statistic this time around. The Latvians will come to Wembley for the first time in survival mode just as Albania were on Friday. It would be a massive surprise if they were to earn even a point from this fixture.

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The Best Betting Odds for England v Latvia Match

1	X	2
1.03	19	41
1.02	13	29
1.03	21	67
1.02	22	55
1.02	22	55

Check all England vs Latvia odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between England and Latvia?

Our prediction for the England vs Latvia match is: under 4.5 goals to be scored.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/03/2025 between England and Latvia in World Cup :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 69.33% for a win of England against Latvia with odds of 1.03 at Bet365.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between England vs Latvia is 17.49% with odds of 23 at Vbet.
Our prediction model gives a 13.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Latvia vs England with odds of 101 at Betsson.

England vs Latvia Form

England and Latvia's standings in the World Cup

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
1 England	3	1	1	0	0	2
2 Latvia	3	1	1	0	0	1

England and Latvia Last Matches

England Last matches

All Home Away

W L W W W W

Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals

33% BTTS

2.67 Goals scored

0.5 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

England

2 : 0

Albania

17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

England

5 : 0

Ireland

14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Greece

0 : 3

England

13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Finland

1 : 3

England

10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

England

1 : 2

Greece

10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

England

2 : 0

Finland

W D W L W W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals

50% BTTS

2.17 Goals scored

0.67 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

England

2 : 0

Albania

17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

England

5 : 0

Ireland

10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

England

1 : 2

Greece

10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

England

2 : 0

Finland

6 Jul 2024 - Euro

England

1 : 1

Switzerland

30 Jun 2024 - Euro

England

2 : 1

Slovakia

D W L W W W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals

67% BTTS

2 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Greece

0 : 3

England

13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Finland

1 : 3

England

7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Ireland

0 : 2

England

14 Jul 2024 - Euro

Spain

2 : 1

England

10 Jul 2024 - Euro

Netherlands

1 : 2

England

20 Jun 2024 - Euro

Denmark

1 : 1

England

Latvia Last matches

All Home Away

W L D L L W

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals

33% BTTS

0.67 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Andorra

0 : 1

Latvia

17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Latvia

1 : 2

Armenia

14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

North Macedonia

1 : 0

Latvia

13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Faroe Islands

1 : 1

Latvia

10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Latvia

0 : 3

North Macedonia

10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Latvia

1 : 0

Faroe Islands

D L W W L L

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals

33% BTTS

0.67 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Latvia

1 : 2

Armenia

10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Latvia

0 : 3

North Macedonia

10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Latvia

1 : 0

Faroe Islands

11 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup

Latvia

1 : 0

Faroe Islands

8 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup

Latvia

0 : 2

Lithuania

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Latvia

1 : 1

Liechtenstein

L D L D L W

Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals

50% BTTS

0.67 Goals scored

1.83 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Andorra

0 : 1

Latvia

14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

North Macedonia

1 : 0

Latvia

13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Faroe Islands

1 : 1

Latvia

7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Armenia

4 : 1

Latvia

21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Cyprus

1 : 1

Latvia

15 Oct 2023 - Euro

Turkey

4 : 0

Latvia

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England - Latvia: Form Analysis

Home games against Albania and Latvia are a gentle introduction for Thomas Tuchel. He is likely to get another win from this game but he still has a lot of work to do in the future. 2026 will be the 60th anniversary of England's only major title win, ironically against West Germany.

The comfortable 2-0 home win over Albania was England's fourth victory in a row since losing at home to Greece in the Nations League. Those four games have seen the Three Lions score 13 goals and a few more should be scored on Monday.

England have gone 32 World Cup qualifying matches without defeat.

This is their first ever match against Latvia. England are now unbeaten in their last 32 World Cup qualifiers. Only one of their last 24 matches has seen at least five goals scored.

Latvia are a lofty second in the group after winning 1-0 at Andorra on Friday evening. Only once in 2004 have they reached a major finals, that was in the European Championships. They first played in the World Cup in 1938 but have never reached the finals.

After this match, their next task is to win in the Nations League relegation play-offs. They had gone four games without a win before beating Andorra. They finished fifth of six in their last World Cup qualifying group, winning three games but two were against Gibraltar.

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England vs Latvia last Lineups

England

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

J. Pickford

K. Walker

E. Konsa

D. Burn

M. Lewis-Skelly

D. Rice

C. Jones

P. Foden

J. Bellingham

M. Rashford

H. Kane

V. Gutkovskis

J. Ikaunieks

D. Zelenkovs

A. Ciganiks

D. Melniks

A. Saveljevs

R. Savalnieks

R. Jurkovskis

A. Cernomordijs

D. Balodis

K. Zviedris

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Latvia

England & Latvia Squad Analysis

England are unlikely to be able to play Anthony Gordon in this match. After being suspended for the Carabao Cup Final, he came on as a substitute against Albania and was then injured. His hip injury has been described by Tuchel as "a bit worrying." Probably more so for his club manager. If he isn't able to be in the squad then Morgan Gibbs-White is likely to replace him after being omitted from Friday's matchday squad.

Tuchel is likely to make some changes.

England's new coach is likely to make a few changes for this match. Players such as Jordan Henderson, Jarrod Bowen and Reece James may come into the starting line-up for this second World Cup qualifier. He will want to see as many of the options he has as the German settles into his new job.

Latvia will have been glad to start their World Cup qualifying campaign with three points in Andorra. It is still a massively uphill task for them to finish in the top two. They will be parking the bus and more in an attempt to keep England out.

Deniss Melniks is expected to play despite only playing the first half against Andorra. Not coming out for the second 45 minutes was a tactical decision as the score was still 0-0. It worked as his replacement Dario Sits scored the winning goal and may start this match.

Most goals and assists

England

Latvia

Top Goalscorer

H. Kane (1 Goals) ,

M. Lewis-Skelly (1 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

D. Sits (1 Goals)

England - Latvia Key Points

23 of England's last 24 internationals have seen under 4.5 goals scored in them.
Under 4.5 goals have been scored in ten of England's last 12 home World Cup qualifiers.
15 of the last 16 Lativa internationals have seen under 4.5 goals scored.
Under 4.5 goals have been scored in six of the last seven Lativa away fixtures.
Eight of Latvia's last ten away World Cup qualifiers have seen under 4.5 goals scored in them.

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Our England vs Latvia Prediction

Another three points should be on the way for England on Monday. This is not a tough World Cup qualifying group with only Serbia likely to severely test them. Tuchel is likely to make a few changes for this game and more during it if the game is going well.

Lativa won in Andorra on Friday and do not suffer many heavy defeats these days. They have gone five away World Cup qualifying matches without defeat with a couple of goalless draws in Montenegro and Norway. Our main England v Latvia prediction is under 4.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Under 4.5

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England vs Latvia - Other Interesting Predictions

A penalty to be scored in the match

Odds 3

England are likely to create plenty of chances in this match and there is a good chance Latvia may concede a penalty. Latvia have conceded four penalties in their last nine matches.

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England vs Latvia match : Frequently asked questions

This World Cup qualifier is being played on Monday March 24. It is due to kick-off at 19:45 UK time.

This is the second home game for England in this group. The game is being played at Wembley Stadium in North London.

This World Cup qualifying match is being shown live on ITV1 and online at ITVX with no subscription required. You can follow all the action on our World Cup livescore with live text commentary and updated statistics.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.