Europe - Euro

England

17 Oct 2023 14:45

Italy

Prediction :

Both teams to score

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England vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro

Prediction published on 17/10/2023, 06:20 by Steve Ashfield in Euro Predictions

England host Italy in Euro 2024 qualifying group C and a win will see them in the finals. The Three Lions are top of the group, three points clear of their opponents. Finishing in the top two will see a country automatically qualify for finals and both there's a three point gap between second and third placed Ukraine who have played a game more than their rivals. Gareth Southgate's men are the only unbeaten side in the group. Thay have already beaten Italy once in this group and this will be their first meeting at Wembley since losing to them on penalties in the 2020 (21) Euro finals. England will want to continue the momentum they have shown since that loss to France in the World Cup. Italy meanwhile will want to avoid the problems that they have had in qualifying groups that has seen them miss out on major tournaments. While England wouldn't be at all upset over this match ending in a draw, Italy might be reasonably happy with such a result but it depends how other games in the group fare.

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The Best Betting Odds for England v Italy Match

1	X	2
1.6	3.8	6
1.57	3.8	5.8
1.64	3.89	6.14
1.64	3.89	6.14
1.67	3.68	5.45
1.67	3.68	5.45
1.59	3.5	5.8
1.6	3.8	6
1.57	4.17	6.1
1.6	3.75	5.25
1.6	3.9	6.75
1.6	4	6
1.63	4	6.3

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What is the prediction for the football match between England and Italy?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/10/2023 between England and Italy in Euro :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.01% for a win of England against Italy with odds of 1.67 at Betwinner.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between England vs Italy is 22.73% with odds of 4.17 at Tonybet.
Our prediction model gives a 28.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Italy vs England with odds of 6.75 at Unibet.

England - Italy Prediction and Best Odds:

England Italy Prediction	Probability	Odds
England wins	49.01%	1.67 at Betwinner
Under 2.5	55.47%	1.85 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score	47.08%
Half-time / Full-time : England/England	19.33%	12.5 at Unibet

England vs Italy Form

England and Italy's standings in the Euro

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
1 England	20	8	6	2	0	18
2 Italy	14	8	4	2	2	7

England and Italy Last Matches

England Last matches

All Home Away

W W W D W W

Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals

33% BTTS

3 Goals scored

0.33 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

13 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies

England

1 : 0

Australia

12 Sep 2023 - International Friendlies

Scotland

1 : 3

England

9 Sep 2023 - Euro

Ukraine

1 : 1

England

19 Jun 2023 - Euro

England

7 : 0

North Macedonia

16 Jun 2023 - Euro

Malta

0 : 4

England

26 Mar 2023 - Euro

England

2 : 0

Ukraine

D W L W W W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals

17% BTTS

2.33 Goals scored

0.33 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

13 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies

England

1 : 0

Australia

19 Jun 2023 - Euro

England

7 : 0

North Macedonia

26 Mar 2023 - Euro

England

2 : 0

Ukraine

10 Dec 2022 - World Cup

England

1 : 2

France

4 Dec 2022 - World Cup

England

3 : 0

Senegal

25 Nov 2022 - World Cup

England

0 : 0

USA

L W W W D W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals

50% BTTS

2.17 Goals scored

0.67 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

12 Sep 2023 - International Friendlies

Scotland

1 : 3

England

9 Sep 2023 - Euro

Ukraine

1 : 1

England

16 Jun 2023 - Euro

Malta

0 : 4

England

23 Mar 2023 - Euro

Italy

1 : 2

England

29 Nov 2022 - World Cup

Wales

0 : 3

England

23 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Italy

1 : 0

England

Italy Last matches

All Home Away

W L W D W W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals

67% BTTS

2.17 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

14 Oct 2023 - Euro

Italy

4 : 0

Malta

12 Sep 2023 - Euro

Italy

2 : 1

Ukraine

9 Sep 2023 - Euro

North Macedonia

1 : 1

Italy

18 Jun 2023 - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands

2 : 3

Italy

15 Jun 2023 - UEFA Nations League

Spain

2 : 1

Italy

26 Mar 2023 - Euro

Malta

0 : 2

Italy

D W W L W W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.83 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

14 Oct 2023 - Euro

Italy

4 : 0

Malta

12 Sep 2023 - Euro

Italy

2 : 1

Ukraine

23 Mar 2023 - Euro

Italy

1 : 2

England

23 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Italy

1 : 0

England

7 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Italy

2 : 1

Hungary

4 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Italy

1 : 1

Germany

W L W L W D

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.67 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

9 Sep 2023 - Euro

North Macedonia

1 : 1

Italy

18 Jun 2023 - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands

2 : 3

Italy

15 Jun 2023 - UEFA Nations League

Spain

2 : 1

Italy

26 Mar 2023 - Euro

Malta

0 : 2

Italy

20 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies

Austria

2 : 0

Italy

16 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies

Albania

1 : 3

Italy

England vs Italy Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

England

20 %

Draw

60 %

Italy

20 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.6

Total goals

60%

BTTS

0.8

Goals scored (Team 1)

0.8

Goals scored (Team 2)

20%

Over 2.5

80%

Under 2.5

23 Mar 2023 - Euro

Italy

1 : 2

England

23 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Italy

1 : 0

England

11 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League

England

0 : 0

Italy

11 Jul 2021 - Euro

Italy

1 : 1

England

27 Mar 2018 - International Friendlies

England

1 : 1

Italy

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England - Italy: Form Analysis

England top this Euro qualifying group and will win it if beating Italy. That'll give them some more revenge on the Italians after losing them to in the Euro 2020 final at Wembley played in 2021. The Three Lions began this qualifying group with an away win in Italy and then won their next four matches before a draw in Ukraine. They do need to finisih in the top two of this group due to their poor form in the Nations League. That shouldn't be too difficult as after this match they host bottom-of-the-group Malta before a final game in North Macedonia. England are unbeaten in seven games since losing to France in the 2022 World Cup. Friday saw them beat Australia 1-0 at Wembley but a much-changed side was fielded. The big guns such as Kane and Bellingham will be back for this game.

Italy are second in the group and on the same number of points as Ukraine but already guaranteed a place in the Euro 2024 play-offs. The defending champions lost their opening game in this group being beaten 2-1 at home by England. Since then they have beaten Malta twice (the second being on Friday with a 4-0 home win) and Ukraine 2-1 on home soil. Their other qualifier saw them held to a 1-1 draw in North Macedonia letting slip a second-half lead. After this game against England, Italy still have to play North Macedonia at home and then play Ukraine in an away fixture that'll be held in Poland. The Blues are unbeaten in their last four games since losing to Spain in the Nations League. It's 17 years since Italy lost an away Euro qualifier. That was against France but they have avoided defeat in the 22 games that have followed. Four of their last six games have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.

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England against Italy Lineups: Starting 11

England

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

J. Pickford

K. Walker

J. Stones

H. Maguire

K. Trippier

K. Phillips

D. Rice

M. Rashford

J. Bellingham

P. Foden

H. Kane

S. El Shaarawy

G. Scamacca

D. Berardi

N. Barella

B. Cristante

D. Frattesi

D. Udogie

F. Acerbi

G. Scalvini

G. Di Lorenzo

G. Donnarumma

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Italy

England & Italy Squad Analysis

England didn't put in the best of performances against Australia on Friday night. Several fringe players were on display that night and that won't be so against Italy. Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham will be among the players recalled by Gareth Southgate. Defnitely out though is Bukayo Saka as the Arsenal midfielder was pulled out of England's squad due to injury. Jordan Henderson is unlikely to retain his position in midfield. He received boos during the Australia game due to his move to Saudi Arabia. Gareth Southgate was not amused at all about that but the reaction of the crowd won't influence his decisions. Declan Rice is expected to replace him in midfield and Trent Alexander-Arnold could well be in midfield rather than his defensive role at Livepool. Jordan Pickford is likely to return in goal with John Stones also starting after his substitute appearance against Australia.

Italy will be without Nicolo Zaniolo and Sandro Tonali, both of whom withdrew from the squad after being named in allegations of gambling. On the injury list are Mattia Zaccagni, Ivan Provedel and Federico Chiesa. Benardi is expected to retain his position on the right-wing after a strong performance against Malta last week. Frattesi is likely to return up front with defender Giovanni Di Lorenzo also returning to the starting line-up.

Most goals and assists

England

Italy

Top Goalscorer

H. Kane (8 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

D. Frattesi (3 Goals)

Best assists

J. Henderson (2 Assists) ,

B. Saka (2 Assists) ,

H. Kane (2 Assists)

Best assists

N. Barella (3 Assists)

England - Italy Key Points

Four of the last six Italian games have seen both teams score.
The reverse fixture ended 2-1.
Both teams have scored in six of the last eight games played between England and Italy.
The last three Italy away games have all seen both teams score.
Both teams have scored in two of the last three England matches.

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Our England vs Italy Prediction

This should be a closely contested Euro qualifier. England will be back at near full strength for this game as they look to clinch qualification. The Azzurri still have a bit of work to do in this group but should still make it. A bet on both teams to score is our England v Italy prediction.

Prediction :

Both teams to score

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England vs Italy - Other Interesting Predictions

England to win

Odds 1.66

England are unbeaten since losing to France in the World Cup. They beat Italy in the reverse fixture and aside from Saka being injured will be at full strength while Italy have a few selection problems.

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England vs Italy match : Frequently asked questions

This Euro 2024 qualifier between England and Italy is being played on Tuesday 17 October with a scheduled 19:45 kick-off - UK time.

The Euro 2024 qualifier between England and Italy is a home fixture for the English side. That means the game will be played at Wembley Stadium in North London.

UK viewers can watch this Euro 2024 qualifier between England and Italy live on Channel 4 and also on that station's website. It's a free to air channel so no subscription is needed. If you can't see the game live, follow the action on our Sportytrader Livescore page.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.