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England vs Greece Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Steve Ashfield in UEFA Nations League Predictions
England host Greece in the UEFA Nations League. This is a match in League B and it's the visitors who are the group leaders on goal difference after the first of two six matches. Both countries have won their first two games with wins over Ireland and Finland who prop up the group and are facing relegation. Here's our match prediction.
This is the third match for England under their interim coach Lee Carsley. His first two matches have produced a couple of victories and both were to nil. Whether continued success will see him be given the job on a full-time basis remains to be seen. Another win here and away at Finland wouldn't do him any harm and put the Three Lions in with a great chance of winning promotion to League A.
The Blues and Whites will be out to continue the good start they have made to this group. They have also won both of their matches to nil but this is their toughest task to date.
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The Best Betting Odds for England v Greece Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.27 | 5.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.25 | 11 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.79 | 11.8 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.79 | 11.8 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.25 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.26 | 5.65 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.26 | 5.65 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.4 | 11 |
|
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1.27 | 5.6 | 11.5 |
|
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1.29 | 5.6 | 11 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.5 | 13 |
|
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1.29 | 5.25 | 10 |
|
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1.25 | 5.6 | 13 |
|
|
1.22 | 4.75 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.32 | 4.6 | 9.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between England and Greece?
Our prediction for the England vs Greece match is: England to lead at half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2024 between England and Greece in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.03% for a win of England against Greece with odds of 1.32 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between England vs Greece is 22.34% with odds of 5.79 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Greece vs England with odds of 13 at Vbet.
England - Greece Prediction and Best Odds:
| England Greece Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| England wins | 48.03% | 1.32 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 57.21% | 2.07 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 28.57% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: England | 21.74% | 3.8 at Unibet |
England vs Greece Form
England and Greece's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 |
|
2
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
England and Greece Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jul 2024 - Euro
10 Jul 2024 - Euro
6 Jul 2024 - Euro
30 Jun 2024 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jul 2024 - Euro
30 Jun 2024 - Euro
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jul 2024 - Euro
10 Jul 2024 - Euro
20 Jun 2024 - Euro
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
16 Oct 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
16 Jun 2023 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
13 Oct 2023 - Euro
7 Sep 2023 - Euro
England - Greece: Form Analysis
England have won both of their matches in this Nations League group by a 2-0 scoreline. That puts them a goal behind the Greek side in terms of goal difference. The Three Lions have only lost one of their last nine games and that was the Euro 2024 final defeat by Spain.
England are out to win promotion back to League A.
Lee Carsley's side have won five of their last six matches if you include extra time and penalties. Despite being relegated from League A in the last tournament, England have only lost one of their last five home Nations League games.
Greece will be missing Fotis Ioannidis who has scored three goals in their two Nations League wins. That puts him one behind Harry Kane who scored twice for England against Finland in their most recent match.
The Pirate Ship will hope they don't get sunk at Wembley but they have never beaten England. Nine games have seen them draw twice but lose the other seven. Both those draws did come in away games though, one at Wembley.
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England against Greece Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 1 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
England & Greece Squad Analysis
England are able to name a stronger squad for this match than for their first two Nations League matches. For the games against Ireland and Finland, Lee Carsley was without key players such as Kyle Walker, Jude Bellingham, Phil Foden and Cole Palmer. All four are available to him for this match and the upcoming one in Finland.
Harry Kane won't be starting the match for England.
The big worry for England has been the fitness of Harry Kane. He scored both of their goals in the match against Finland but has had injury problems back at Bayern Munich. England's captain won't be starting the match so Dominic Solanke and Ollie Watkins will be considered to start the match.. Out of the squad however are Morgan Gibbs-White, Kobbie Mainoo and Ezri Konsa. Jack Grealish will also be absent for England.
Greece have been hit by the absence of Fotis Ioannidis who has already scored three goals in this group. He was injured playing for Panathinaikos against Olympiacos and was not included in the squad for this match.
That means Greece will be relying more on Vangelis Pavlidis who plays his club football for Benfica.
Most goals and assists
England
Greece
H. Kane
(3 Goals)
F. Ioannidis
(3 Goals)
N. Madueke
(2 Assists)
,
J. Bellingham
(2 Assists)
T. Bakasetas
(3 Assists)
England - Greece Key Points
- England have won seven of their nine previous matches against Greece.
- Greece have failed to score in three of their four away games against England.
- England have won only lost one of their last nine matches.
- Including extra time and penalties, England have won five of their last six games.
- England have only lost one of their last five home Nations League fixtures.
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Our England vs Greece Prediction
A win for England will take them a massive step towards winning the group and being promoted back to League A. They have won both of their matches under Lee Carsley and are yet to concede a goal. Their only loss in the last nine games played was their defeat to Spain in the Euro 2024 final. Home form in competitive matches is strong and they have never lost a match against Greece.
The Greeks top the group at present but this is a tough match for them in their first time in League B. Our main England v Greece prediction is England to lead at half and full time.
England vs Greece - Other Interesting Predictions
England to win to nil
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis England Greece
| England vs Greece | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| England wins | 1.25 | 1.27 | +1.6% |
| Draw | 5.75 | 5.5 | -4.3% |
| Greece wins | 11 | 11 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- England is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 78.7% (-1.3%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
England vs Greece match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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