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England vs Finland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Ian John | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
After making a solid start to their Nations League Group B2 campaign, England host Finland in the tournament's second match for both teams. Will the Three Lions continue to roar under Lee Carsley, or can the Huuhkajat spring a huge surprise? Is our prediction for a first-ever win for Finland over England, or a customary win for the home side? Let's check it out!
This will be the twelfth time the two teams have met and the first encounter between them in 23 years. England won the last encounter 2-1 at Wembley in March 2001. It is fair to say that England have a dominant record in the fixture, especially at Wembley, where they have never failed to beat the Finns.
The game at Wembley is the first of two matches between the two teams in a month. They will meet again in October on Matchday Four in Helsinki. Prior to that, England will face Greece at Wembley, and Finland will host the Republic of Ireland on Matchday Three. England lie second in Group B2, level on points with Greece after one game. Finland are bottom of the table on goal difference from the Republic of Ireland.
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The Best Betting Odds for England v Finland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.11 | 10 | 21 |
|
|
1.13 | 9 | 17 |
|
|
1.12 | 10.6 | 23 |
|
|
1.12 | 10.6 | 23 |
|
|
1.12 | 8.75 | 19 |
|
|
1.11 | 9.2 | 22 |
|
|
1.11 | 9.2 | 22 |
|
|
1.12 | 8.4 | 22 |
|
|
1.13 | 8.4 | 19 |
|
|
1.15 | 8.4 | 18 |
|
|
1.11 | 10 | 26 |
|
|
1.11 | 8.5 | 21 |
|
|
1.09 | 10.5 | 23 |
|
|
1.05 | 9 | 23 |
|
|
1.11 | 10 | 29 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between England and Finland?
Our prediction for the England vs Finland match is: England to win and Over 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/09/2024 between England and Finland in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.02% for a win of England against Finland with odds of 1.15 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between England vs Finland is 24.45% with odds of 10.6 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Finland vs England with odds of 29 at Betsson.
England - Finland Prediction and Best Odds:
| England Finland Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| England wins | 58.02% | 1.15 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.24% | 1.53 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 59.52% | 2.8 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time : England/England | 22.24% | 1.5 at Bet365 |
England vs Finland Form
England and Finland's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 |
|
4
|
0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 |
England and Finland Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jul 2024 - Euro
10 Jul 2024 - Euro
6 Jul 2024 - Euro
30 Jun 2024 - Euro
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2024 - Euro
30 Jun 2024 - Euro
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jul 2024 - Euro
10 Jul 2024 - Euro
20 Jun 2024 - Euro
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
16 Jun 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
England - Finland: Form Analysis
England started this Nations League campaign well, going to Dublin and defeating the Republic of Ireland 2-0 at the Aviva Stadium on Saturday. Declan Rice and Jack Grealish scored the goals for England in what was a dominant first-half display.
However, the levels dropped once again in the second half as Ireland came more into the game. Roy Keane was especially critical of how England took their foot off the pedal in the second 45 minutes. Despite that, it was a solid start for interim manager Carsley, as the Three Lions never looked in any danger of dropping points in the match.
Harry Kane will earn his 100th cap for England against Finland.
Finnish head coach Markku Kanerva watched his team get off to a dismal start in their opening Group B2 game away to Greece. The Finns went down to a 3-0 defeat in a match where they struggled to create chances against their opponents, managing just one shot on target in the 90 minutes played.
Finland have now won just one in their last five games
Finnish all-time leading goalscorer Teemu Pukki was on the bench for that game and did not get on the field. That seems a strange decision, given how the Finns struggled to turn their possession into chances.
Coach Kanerva will certainly be considering making some changes for this second game of the tournament against England.
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England against Finland Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
England & Finland Squad Analysis
Lee Carsley has no fresh injury concerns with his squad following the 2-0 win over Ireland at the weekend. The big question is whether Carsley elects to keep faith with the team that started the game in Ireland and produced some fine attacking football in the first half.
John Stones gained useful minutes at the end of that game as he works his way back to fitness. He could potentially start in place of Harry Maguire. Trent Alexander-Arnold was excellent at right back and should continue and both Jack Grealish and Anthony Gordon have impressive games against Ireland.
That suggests Carsley may pick a similar team for this fixture.
He could then bring on players in the second half as the game dictates.
Finland head coach Markku Kanerva has plenty of decisions after his team's 3-0 defeat in Greece. Several players, including attacking trio Teemu Pukki, Joel Pohjanpalo, and Fredrik Jensen, could feature in the starting eleven, if the manager decides to rotate his team for this match.
Defensively, Finland has problems, having conceded in all of their last six matches and shipped 14 goals in their last five matches. However, with quality defensive options thin on the ground for the Finns, it is hard to see how Kanerva can make too many changes to improve the team's fortunes.
Most goals and assists
England
Finland
H. Kane
(3 Goals)
A. Hoskonen
(1 Goals)
,
J. Pohjanpalo
(1 Goals)
N. Madueke
(2 Assists)
,
J. Bellingham
(2 Assists)
L. Walta
(1 Assists)
England - Finland Key Points
- England have lost just one of their last eight games.
- All of Finland's last nine games have seen Over 2.5 Goals scored.
- All three of England's games against Finland at Wembley have seen England win and Over 2.5 Goals scored.
- Finland have conceded nine goals in their last three games, scoring four.
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Our England vs Finland Prediction
Our prediction for England vs. Finland in the Nations League Group B2 is: England to win and Over 2.5 Goals.
England come into this fixture having played well against Ireland. The Finns are in the midst of a slump in form and it is clear from the manner of their 3-0 defeat in Greece that confidence is lacking. The Finns have an abysmal record against England, especially at Wembley and the data strongly suggests that England should not only pick up a win, but they should do so by scoring a fair few goals too.
England vs Finland - Other Interesting Predictions
Harry Kane (England) to score two or more goals
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis England Finland
| England vs Finland | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| England wins | 1.14 | 1.11 | -2.6% |
| Draw | 7.5 | 10 | +33.3% |
| Finland wins | 17 | 21 | +23.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- England is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 87.7% and is now 90.1% (2.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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