World - World Cup
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by Steve Ashfield in World Cup Predictions
England begin life under their new coach. Tuchel will be wanting to see his new team get off to a winning start at home to Albania in World Cup qualifying Group K. Will the Three Lions get a home win? Read our match prediction.
Also in this group are Serbia, Andorra and Latvia, so it isn't too hard a group for England. The winners automatically qualify for next year's finals with the second-placed side going into the play-offs. England have won their last three matches and won their Nations League group. Their interim-coach for that tournament was Lee Carsley but he's back in charge of the Under-21 team now.
Albania have never made it through the qualifying rounds but did reach the finals of the Euros in both 2016 and 2024. They will expect to be in a battle with Serbia for the play-off spot in this group but have gone two games without a win.
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The Best Betting Odds for England v Albania Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.13 | 8 | 19 |
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1.11 | 7 | 17 |
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1.3 | 3.75 | 12 |
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1.14 | 9.25 | 23 |
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1.14 | 9.25 | 23 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between England and Albania?
Our prediction for the England vs Albania match is: England to win and lead at half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/03/2025 between England and Albania in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.72% for a win of England against Albania with odds of 1.3 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between England vs Albania is 18.6% with odds of 9.25 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Albania vs England with odds of 29 at Vbet.
England - Albania Prediction and Best Odds:
England Albania Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
England wins | 65.72% | 1.3 at Ladbrokes |
Over 2.5 goals | 52.47% | 1.6 at Betsson |
Both Team To Score | 41.67% | 3.1 at Betsson |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: England | 32.46% | 4.1 at Vbet |
England vs Albania Form
England and Albania's standings in the World Cup
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
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6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
2
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3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
England and Albania Last Matches

5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jul 2024 - Euro
30 Jun 2024 - Euro
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jul 2024 - Euro
10 Jul 2024 - Euro
20 Jun 2024 - Euro

2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
24 Jun 2024 - Euro
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
19 Jun 2024 - Euro
15 Jun 2024 - Euro
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
England vs Albania Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Nov 2021 - World Cup
28 Mar 2021 - World Cup
England - Albania: Form Analysis
England lost at home to Greece in the Nations League but won their next three games to win their group. That was confirmed when beating Ireland 5-0 in their most recent fixture. 11 goals have been scored in their last three fixtures.
This is their seventh match against Albania and all of the previous six have been won. Their last two World Cup qualifying matches have seen them score 15 goals without reply and that has taken their unbeaten run in qualifiers to 31 matches, last losing 16 years ago.
Tough task for Albania.
Albania last played England in a World Cup qualifier and were beaten 5-0. They finished bottom of their group in the 2024/25 Nations League and were relegated to the third-tier. The Red and Blacks have only won one of their last five games, a win in Georgia.
Three of their last seven away World Cup qualifiers have been won. The most notable was in Hungary but away matches against top nations usually end in heavy defeats.
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England against Albania Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 1 - 2 - 1
England & Albania Squad Analysis
This is the first match with Thomas Tuchel in charge and he has recalled Jordan Henderson. Harry Kane is still captain and will fancy his chances of scoring against Albania. He hit a hat-trick the last time these two countries met.
Cole Palmer has withdrawn from the squad (Tuchel will have to get used to that) and been replaced by Morgan Gibbs-White. It will be interesting indeed to see what formation is used by Tuchel.
Burn and Rashford have been selected.
A possible debutant for England could be Dan Burn. He's already had a big week after being part of the Newcastle team that won the Carabao Cup at Wembley. Marcus Rashford is also in the England squad now he's playing again at Aston Villa.
Seven of Albania's squad are based in Italy. It would have been eight but Elseid Hysaj has been ruled out due to injury. Albania will also be missing Mario Mitaj who plays his club football for Al-Ittihad.
Back in the squad are strikers Armando Broja and Rey Manaj who didn't play in their last match four months ago. It's going to be a tough night for Albania and England can expect to have to get past plenty of defenders if they want to win this match.
Most goals and assists





England - Albania Key Points
- England have won all six of their previous matches against Albania.
- England have won those six matches by an aggregate score of 19-1.
- England have not lost a World Cup qualifying match since 2009.
- England have won their last three matches, scoring 11 goals.
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Our England vs Albania Prediction
England should have few problems winning this group. It's not the hardest of draws they could have had and a winning start should be made on Friday. They have won all six of their previous matches against Albania, most recently a 5-0 home win four years ago.
Albania were relegated in their Nations League campaign but will hope to be able to challenge for a second-place finish in this World cup qualifying group. This is a tough start though and our main England v Albania prediction is England to win and lead at half and full time.
Prediction :
England to win and lead at half and full time
England vs Albania - Other Interesting Predictions
Harry Kane to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis England Albania
England vs Albania | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
England wins | 1.14 | 1.13 | -0.9% |
Draw | 7.5 | 8 | +6.7% |
Albania wins | 17 | 19 | +11.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- England is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 87.7% and is now 88.5% (0.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the England vs. Albania game!
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England vs Albania match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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