Italy - Serie A
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Empoli vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions
Roma’s race towards the European spots in Serie A has gained momentum, which Empoli will be looking to slow down. Hosts Empoli, placed 18th in the standings, will be out to stop eighth placed Roma. Let’s have a look at the match’s stats before offering a prediction.
A poor run in recent weeks has seen Empoli drop into the relegation region. One of the hosts’ four wins in the league was against Roma earlier in the season.
Empoli are no longer in that shape, coming here off the back of nine defeats in 13 matches. In their last 12 league matches, Empoli are winless.
Roma lost their last two matches against Empoli but retained the honors in this fixture as far as head-to-head records go. Those two wins are all Empoli have managed in the last 18 meetings between these teams.
Roma are coming off a fifth straight win, after beating Athletic Bilbao 2-1 in the Europa League. That was also their seventh unbeaten outing on the bounce, having won six.
In league matches alone, they are undefeated in their last 11, winning eight times. Despite this impressive run, Roma are still four points below the top six. This explains just how badly off they were before Claudio Ranieri’s return.
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The Best Betting Odds for Empoli v Roma Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.75 | 3.2 | 2.1 |
|
|
4 | 3.4 | 1.95 |
|
|
4 | 3.3 | 1.95 |
|
|
4.25 | 3.48 | 2.03 |
|
|
4.25 | 3.48 | 2.03 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.2 | 2.1 |
|
|
4.08 | 3.34 | 1.97 |
|
|
4.08 | 3.34 | 1.97 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.4 | 1.99 |
|
|
4.08 | 3.34 | 1.97 |
|
|
4.3 | 3.5 | 1.96 |
|
|
3.97 | 3.21 | 2.12 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.2 | 2 |
|
|
4.4 | 3.7 | 1.8 |
|
|
4 | 3.3 | 2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Empoli and Roma?
Our prediction for the Empoli vs Roma match is: Roma wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/03/2025 between Empoli and Roma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 18.67% for a win of Empoli against Roma with odds of 4.4 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Empoli vs Roma is 18.88% with odds of 3.7 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 62.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Roma vs Empoli with odds of 2.12 at Vbet.
Empoli - Roma Prediction and Best Odds:
| Empoli Roma Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Roma wins | 62.45% | 2.12 at Vbet |
| Under 2.5 | 50.64% | 1.98 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 53.33% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Roma | 27.85% | 5 at Bet365 |
Empoli vs Roma Form
Empoli and Roma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
46 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
|
18
|
22 | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -22 |
Empoli and Roma Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
26 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
8 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
8 Feb 2025 - Serie A
25 Jan 2025 - Serie A
11 Jan 2025 - Serie A
28 Dec 2024 - Serie A
13 Dec 2024 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
26 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
19 Jan 2025 - Serie A
4 Jan 2025 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
24 Feb 2025 - Serie A
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
24 Feb 2025 - Serie A
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
5 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
Empoli vs Roma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Aug 2024 - Serie A
26 May 2024 - Serie A
17 Sep 2023 - Serie A
4 Feb 2023 - Serie A
12 Sep 2022 - Serie A
23 Jan 2022 - Serie A
Empoli against Roma Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
S. Sazonov
M. Viti
A. Ismajli
MidfielderN. Haas
T. Anjorin
J. Fazzini
ForwardP. Pellegri
O. Solbakken
Most goals and assists
Empoli
Roma
S. Esposito
(8 Goals)
A. Dovbyk
(11 Goals)
L. Henderson
(3 Assists)
,
G. Pezzella
(3 Assists)
, 
T. Anjorin
(3 Assists)
P. Dybala
(4 Assists)
Empoli - Roma Key Points
- Empoli lost four of their last five Serie A matches.
- Empoli are winless in their last 12 Serie A matches.
- AS Roma are unbeaten in the last 11 Serie A matches.
- AS Roma won each of their last three away league matches.
- In the last 18 meetings, Roma only lost twice against Empoli.
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Our Empoli vs Roma Prediction
A misfiring forward line has been Empoli’s major undoing and facing Roma will be another tough outing. Empoli have scored just five times at home in the league this season. The hosts have also managed just a win in their 13 home Serie A matches and are in the red having lost five of the last six at home.
Roma are not just dominant in this fixture, but five straight wins ahead of this match makes them firm favorites. Our prediction for Empoli v Roma is that Roma wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Empoli Roma
| Empoli vs Roma | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli wins | 4.75 | 3.75 | -21.1% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.2 | -8.6% |
| Roma wins | 1.8 | 2.1 | +16.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Roma is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 16.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 47.6% (-7.9%)
Use the Empoli vs. Roma game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
Are you looking to use the match between Empoli and Roma in an upcoming accumulator bet? If so, you'll want to join Vbet to place that acca. There is an odds bonus of up to 100% when you place accumulators which contain at least three selections that are all odds of 1.3 or bigger. Look at the other games in the Serie A and start to build those accas!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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