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Italy - Serie A

Empoli
28/12/2024 09:00
Genoa

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Empoli vs Genoa Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

 by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions

Empoli will welcome Genoa in round 18 of the Serie A this weekend. Azzurri Empolesi are in 11th place in the standings and have a three-point advantage over 13th-placed Il Grifone. Read on for our prediction of this match.

Empoli lost their last two matches. Tied with two other teams on 19 points, the Blues are just five points from the drop zone. A win here is, therefore, of utmost concern. Roberto D’Aversa’s men are coming off a 3-2 loss away to league leaders Atalanta.

Empoli were on course for a draw in Bergamo before conceding late. It was a heartbreaking result but scoring twice away to the league leaders will have the hosts confident of getting a result here.

Genoa are also coming off a loss against a title frontrunner. The Griffin were outscored 2-1 at home by second-placed Napoli to see a six-match unbeaten run snapped.

This was Patrick Vieira’s first loss since being appointed midway through last month. Genoa, who have won just three games and lost seven times, are unbeaten in nine meetings against Empoli.

They have won four times in this period with their last loss in this fixture coming way back in 2015. Genoa haven’t lost any of their last three away fixtures and have kept a clean sheet in each trip.

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The Best Betting Odds for Empoli v Genoa Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.5 2.8 3.3
Betfred
2.5 2.88 3
Ladbrokes
2.5 2.8 3.25
1xbet
2.65 2.88 3.26
22bet
2.65 2.88 3.26
Betobet
2.55 2.85 3.35
Betwinner
2.63 2.83 3.14
LSbet
2.63 2.83 3.14
Stake
2.6 2.9 3.3
Melbet
2.61 2.81 3.2
Tonybet
2.6 2.9 3.3
Betsson
2.58 2.82 3.25
William Hill
2.62 2.88 3.1
Vbet
2.57 2.89 3.34
Betway
2.6 2.75 3.2
Unibet
2.55 2.85 3.25
Betfair
2.4 2.7 3.2
Check all Empoli vs Genoa odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Empoli and Genoa?

Our prediction for the Empoli vs Genoa match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/12/2024 between Empoli and Genoa in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.75% for a win of Empoli against Genoa with odds of 2.65 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Empoli vs Genoa is 34.63% with odds of 2.9 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Genoa vs Empoli with odds of 3.35 at Betobet.

Empoli - Genoa Prediction and Best Odds:

Empoli Genoa Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 34.63% 2.9 at Stake
Under 2.5 64.63% 1.97 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 30.42%
Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw 19.43% 4.1 at Unibet

Empoli vs Genoa Form

Empoli and Genoa's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
12
Genoa
Genoa
30 26 7 9 10 -10
18
Empoli
Empoli
21 25 4 9 12 -16

Empoli and Genoa Last Matches

Empoli
Empoli Last matches
D L D W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  2
Empoli

13 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Empoli
0 :  1
Torino FC

8 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
1 :  4
Empoli

4 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Empoli

30 Nov 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Empoli

25 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Empoli
1 :  1
Udinese
D L L W D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Empoli
0 :  1
Torino FC

25 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Empoli
1 :  1
Udinese

4 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Empoli
1 :  0
Como 1907

30 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Empoli
0 :  3
Inter Milan

20 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Empoli
0 :  1
Napoli

29 Sep 2024 - Serie A

Empoli
0 :  0
Fiorentina
D D L D W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  2
Empoli

8 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
1 :  4
Empoli

4 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Empoli

30 Nov 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Empoli

8 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  1
Empoli

27 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Empoli
Genoa
Genoa Last matches
D D W D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

21 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Napoli

15 Dec 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  0
Genoa

7 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Torino FC

1 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  2
Genoa

24 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  2
Cagliari

7 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  1
Como 1907
D L D D D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Napoli

7 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Torino FC

24 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  2
Cagliari

7 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  1
Como 1907

31 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Fiorentina

19 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  2
Bologna
L L L W W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Dec 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  0
Genoa

1 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  2
Genoa

4 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Genoa

27 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  0
Genoa

5 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
5 :  1
Genoa

21 Sep 2024 - Serie A

Venezia
2 :  0
Genoa

Empoli vs Genoa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Empoli

0 %

Draw

67 %

Genoa

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
67%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

3 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Empoli
0 :  0
Genoa

2 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  1
Empoli

6 Mar 2022 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Empoli

5 Nov 2021 - Serie A

Empoli
2 :  2
Genoa

28 Jan 2019 - Serie A

Empoli
1 :  3
Genoa

26 Aug 2018 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Empoli
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Empoli against Genoa Lineups: Starting 11

Empoli

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

23
D. Vasquez
2
S. Goglichidze
34
A. Ismajli
13
L. Cacace
11
E. Gyasi
8
T. Anjorin
5
A. Grassi
3
G. Pezzella
29
L. Colombo
6
L. Henderson
99
S. Esposito
9
Vitinha
19
A. Pinamonti
59
A. Zanoli
32
M. Frendrup
2
M. Thorsby
47
M. Badelj
3
A. Martin
22
J. Vasquez
13
M. Bani
15
B. Norton Cuffy
1
N. Leali

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Genoa

Missing players

Empoli
Empoli
Defender

T. Ebuehi

S. Sazonov

M. Viti

Midfielder

N. Haas

Forward

P. Pellegri

O. Solbakken

Genoa
Genoa
Defender

H. Ahanor

S. Otoa

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Empoli
CD Huachipato Genoa
Top Goalscorer
Italy S. Esposito (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy A. Pinamonti (8 Goals)
Best assists
Italy G. Pezzella (3 Assists)
England T. Anjorin (3 Assists)
Scotland L. Henderson (3 Assists)
Best assists
Spain A. Martin (3 Assists)
Italy F. Miretti (3 Assists)

Empoli - Genoa Key Points

  1. Empoli failed to score in six of their last eight matches at home.
  2. Under 2.5 goals were scored in three of Genoa’s last four games.
  3. Genoa kept a clean sheet in each of their last three away league games.
  4. The last three matches between Genoa and Empoli saw under 2.5 goals scored.
Up to $150 to bet on Empoli - Genoa! 

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Our Empoli vs Genoa Prediction

Empoli are a below-average attacking team and have struggled in scoring this season. In their last eight matches at home across all competitions, they failed to score six times.

Despite their offensive struggles, Empoli have a strong defence. Genoa are more of the same and what they have lacked in attack, they made up for with their defence. We, therefore, expect a low-scoring match here just like the more recent meetings between Genoa and Empoli.

Our prediction for Empoli v Genoa is for this match to have under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Empoli Genoa

Empoli vs Genoa Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Empoli wins 2.4 2.5 +4.2%
Draw 3 2.8 -6.7%
Genoa wins 3.25 3.3 +1.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • A draw is the most likely outcome
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 33.3% and is now 35.7% (2.4%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Empoli vs Genoa Prediction
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