Italy - Serie A
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Empoli vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Sridhar in Serie A Predictions
Empoli will bank on their strong home form to keep Fiorentina at bay in the Serie A 2024-25 campaign when the teams meet this weekend. This match at the Stadio Carlo Castellani on Sunday comes with our prediction of seeing the home side extend their unbeaten run.
After five matches, Empoli is fifth with nine points and are two points behind leaders Torino. Fiorentina is 11th with six points, which is three behind their hosts. Empoli had an impressive start to the season, winning two and drawing three matches so far. They are coming off a 2-1 win over Torino in the Coppa Italia competition, which followed a 2-0 win over Cagliari in the league last weekend.
At home, Empoli were held to consecutive 0-0 draws by Monza and Juventus. Can Fiorentina break that sequence and post a win? The visitors are coming off a 2-1 win over Lazio last time out, which is massive for their season. That is their first victory of the league campaign, after starting the season with three draws and one loss.
The lone defeat came away from home against Atalanta when they lost 3-2. Their other away game of this Serie A campaign ended in a 1-1 draw at Parma. The catch here, though, is that Fiorentina have struggled away from home in their recent matches. They have won only three of their last 12 away league matches, drawing three and losing six.
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The Best Betting Odds for Empoli v Fiorentina Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.3 | 3.4 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.5 | 2.37 | 2.5 |
|
|
3.45 | 3.49 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.45 | 3.49 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.3 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.36 | 3.36 | 2.18 |
|
|
3.36 | 3.36 | 2.18 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.25 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.42 | 3.36 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.45 | 3.35 | 2.23 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.1 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.45 | 3.35 | 2.18 |
|
|
3.3 | 3 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.25 | 2.18 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.2 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.52 | 3.31 | 2.28 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Empoli and Fiorentina?
Our prediction for the Empoli vs Fiorentina match is: Empoli win or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/09/2024 between Empoli and Fiorentina in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.39% for a win of Empoli against Fiorentina with odds of 3.6 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Empoli vs Fiorentina is 47.25% with odds of 3.49 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.36% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs Empoli with odds of 2.5 at Ladbrokes.
Empoli - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:
| Empoli Fiorentina Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 47.25% | 3.49 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 60.34% | 2.32 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 21.85% | 5 at Bet365 |
Empoli vs Fiorentina Form
Empoli and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
25 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 15 |
|
10
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -1 |
Empoli and Fiorentina Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sep 2024 - Coppa Italia
20 Sep 2024 - Serie A
14 Sep 2024 - Serie A
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
25 Aug 2024 - Serie A
17 Aug 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Serie A
17 Aug 2024 - Serie A
10 Aug 2024 - Coppa Italia
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sep 2024 - Coppa Italia
20 Sep 2024 - Serie A
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
25 Aug 2024 - Serie A
19 May 2024 - Serie A
12 May 2024 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Serie A
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
1 Sep 2024 - Serie A
29 Aug 2024 - Conference League
25 Aug 2024 - Serie A
22 Aug 2024 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Serie A
1 Sep 2024 - Serie A
25 Aug 2024 - Serie A
22 Aug 2024 - Conference League
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
29 Aug 2024 - Conference League
17 Aug 2024 - Serie A
5 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Empoli vs Fiorentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Feb 2024 - Serie A
23 Oct 2023 - Serie A
19 Feb 2023 - Serie A
21 Aug 2022 - Serie A
3 Apr 2022 - Serie A
27 Nov 2021 - Serie A
Players list
D. Vasquez
DefenderS. Goglichidze
A. Ismajli
M. Viti
G. Pezzella
MidfielderE. Ekong
A. Grassi
N. Haas
ForwardE. Gyasi
P. Pellegri
O. Solbakken
D. De Gea
DefenderDodo
P. Comuzzo
L. Ranieri
F. Parisi
MidfielderE. Bove
Y. Adli
J. Ikone
ForwardL. Beltran
R. Sottil
M. Kean
Substitutes
F. Brancolini
J. Seghetti
DefenderL. Cacace
L. Marianucci
M. De Sciglio
L. Tosto
MidfielderJ. Sambia
J. Fazzini
O. Solbakken
N. Haas
Y. Maleh
ForwardP. Pellegri
I. Konate
E. Ekong
P. Terracciano
T. Martinelli
DefenderM. Kayode
M. Moreno
C. Biraghi
F. Parisi
L. Martinez Quarta
MidfielderY. Adli
J. Ikone
R. Mandragora
A. Richardson
ForwardL. Beltran
R. Sottil
Missing players
T. Ebuehi
S. Sazonov
MidfielderS. Zurkowski
Most goals and assists
Empoli
Fiorentina
E. Gyasi
(2 Goals)
, 
L. Colombo
(2 Goals)
,
S. Esposito
(2 Goals)
,
P. Pellegri
(2 Goals)
M. Kean
(9 Goals)
G. Pezzella
(2 Assists)
Y. Adli
(3 Assists)
, 
C. Kouame
(3 Assists)
,
E. Bove
(3 Assists)
Empoli - Fiorentina Key Points
- Empoli are unbeaten in their last six home league matches
- Empoli kept a clean sheet in four of their last five Serie A home matches
- The hosts are unbeaten in their last seven Serie A matches
- Fiorentina have failed to win four of their last five league matches
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Our Empoli vs Fiorentina Prediction
Empoli are one of the three sides that stayed unbeaten in this campaign after five matches. They have a very strong defensive record at home in the recent games, and that could work in their favor this weekend. Will Fiorentina be able to break that trend? The visitors may have won against Lazio last time out, but that remains their only victory across five Serie A matches. This enhances the chances of Empoli, and our prediction for Empoli vs Fiorentina is a double chance for the home team.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Empoli Fiorentina
| Empoli vs Fiorentina | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli wins | 3.2 | 3.3 | +3.1% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.4 | +4.6% |
| Fiorentina wins | 2.25 | 2.2 | -2.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.8% and is now 29.4% (-1.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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