Spain - Copa del Rey
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Elche vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa del Rey
by Thobelani Moyo in Football Predictions
Elche will be out to do the impossible as they aim to stun La Liga giants Atletico Madrid in the Copa Del Rey round of 16 at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero. Will the 10-time Copa champions emerge triumphant or will second-tier Elche cause a major upset at home? Here's our match prediction.
Elche is pushing for automatic promotion to La Liga since their last appearance in the 2022-23 season. They are tied on points with third-placed Racing Santander in the Segunda Division and are three points off the summit.
Los Franjiverdes made it three wins in a row in the Segunda Division following a narrow 1-0 home win against Real Zaragoza over the weekend.
Eder Sarabia's men now turn their attention to the Copa del Rey, where they booked their spot in the last 16 courtesy of a 1-0 win over Las Palmas.
Atletico Madrid head into this clash boasting a 14-match winning streak across all competitions since a 1-0 defeat against Real Betis on October 27.
The most recent of those wins was a 1-0 home league win against Osasuna on Sunday. That win helped maintain their one-point lead at the top of La Liga standings.
The Red-Whites also tasted success in this competition, beating Marbella 1-0 away from home in the round of 32, and will be eyeing a similar outcome here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Elche v Atletico Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.5 | 3.9 | 1.62 |
|
|
5.5 | 4 | 1.53 |
|
|
5.25 | 2.5 | 1.91 |
|
|
6.04 | 3.95 | 1.58 |
|
|
6.04 | 3.95 | 1.58 |
|
|
5.75 | 3.9 | 1.58 |
|
|
6.04 | 3.95 | 1.58 |
|
|
6.04 | 3.95 | 1.58 |
|
|
5.6 | 3.8 | 1.58 |
|
|
5.45 | 3.82 | 1.64 |
|
|
6.2 | 4.2 | 1.58 |
|
|
4.75 | 3.6 | 1.8 |
|
|
5 | 3.6 | 1.62 |
|
|
6.2 | 3.97 | 1.61 |
|
|
5.75 | 3.8 | 1.57 |
|
|
5.8 | 4 | 1.57 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.8 | 1.53 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Elche and Atletico Madrid?
Our prediction for the Elche vs Atletico Madrid match is: Atletico Madrid wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/01/2025 between Elche and Atletico Madrid in Copa del Rey :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.43% for a win of Elche against Atletico Madrid with odds of 6.2 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Elche vs Atletico Madrid is 7.19% with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 58.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Elche with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
Elche - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Elche Atletico Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 58.38% | 1.91 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.78% | 2.15 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 27.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Atletico Madrid/Atletico Madrid | 20.74% | 2.6 at Ladbrokes |
Elche vs Atletico Madrid Form
Elche and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2025 - LaLiga 2
5 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga 2
19 Dec 2024 - LaLiga 2
14 Dec 2024 - LaLiga 2
7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga 2
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2025 - LaLiga 2
5 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
19 Dec 2024 - LaLiga 2
7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga 2
24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga 2
8 Nov 2024 - LaLiga 2
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga 2
14 Dec 2024 - LaLiga 2
3 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga 2
16 Nov 2024 - LaLiga 2
2 Nov 2024 - LaLiga 2
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
5 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
10 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
Elche vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 May 2023 - LaLiga
29 Dec 2022 - LaLiga
11 May 2022 - LaLiga
22 Aug 2021 - LaLiga
1 May 2021 - LaLiga
19 Dec 2020 - LaLiga
Players list
M. San Roman
DefenderA. Martin
M. Gaspar
N. Fernandez Mercau
D. Affengruber
MidfielderJ. Nwankwo Donald
A. Febas
A. Febas
ForwardE. Rashani
R. Guti
S. Kaba
J. Musso
DefenderC. Azpilicueta
R. Le Normand
MidfielderKoke
R. Mandava
A. Witsel
J. Alvarez
T. Lemar
ForwardN. Molina
A. Correa
R. De Paul
Substitutes
M. Dituro
DefenderA. Martin
A. Nunez
D. Affengruber
M. Gaspar
N. Castro
Y. de Santiago Alonso
A. Febas
R. Guti
M. El Ghezouani
Josan
J. Oblak
DefenderN. Molina
I. Kostis
R. Mandava
A. Griezmann
R. De Paul
B. Pablo
J. Galan
T. Lemar
J. Alvarez
G. Simeone
Most goals and assists
Elche
Atletico Madrid
M. El Ghezouani
(6 Goals)
, 
A. Alvarez
(6 Goals)
J. Alvarez
(15 Goals)
N. Fernandez Mercau
(5 Assists)
A. Griezmann
(7 Assists)
Elche - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Elche has lost four of their last five home matches in the Copa Del Rey.
- Elche has won just one of their last six home games across all competitions in this fixture.
- Atletico Madrid has won six of their last seven encounters against Elche in all competitions.
- Elche has won one of their last 12 matches against Atletico Madrid in all competitions.
- Atletico Madrid is currently on a three-match winning streak when playing away in the Copa Del Rey.
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Our Elche vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Elche has been in quite good form and heads into this clash boasting a five match winning streak across all competitions. However, their winning run might come to an end as they face a stern test at Atletico Madrid, a team they've performed poorly against in previous meetings.
Atletico Madrid is currently on a three-match winning streak when playing away in this competition and that's why they are favorites with bookmakers. A comfortable win is undoubtedly on the cards especially considering their dominance in this fixture. Our Elche v Atletico Madrid prediction is: Atletico Madrid wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Elche Atletico Madrid
| Elche vs Atletico Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elche wins | 4.5 | 5.5 | +22.2% |
| Draw | 4.2 | 3.9 | -7.1% |
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.65 | 1.62 | -1.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 60.6% and is now 61.7% (1.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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