Ecuador vs Venezuela Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa America
by Sridhar in Copa America Predictions
Ecuador and Venezuela are currently above Brazil in the South American World Cup qualification, but can they translate that confidence when they start their Copa America 2024 campaign?
This Group B fixture at Levi's Stadium on Saturday could be crucial for both teams' hopes of making it to the knockouts. With Mexico and Jamaica being the other two teams, the winner here will get a good foothold in the group standings.
This is a tournament that Ecuador hasn't won ever and reached the quarterfinals in the last edition, despite not winning a game. Venezuela are slightly better, moving out of the group in four of their last six appearances.
Will it be Ecuador or Venezuela who are likely to start the tournament with a bang and get an early advantage? Let's check it out.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ecuador v Venezuela Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
501 | 23 | 1.01 |
|
|
2.4 | 2.1 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.2 | 4.3 |
|
|
501 | 41 | 1 |
|
|
501 | 41 | 1 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.46 | 4.76 |
|
|
100 | 8.25 | 1.07 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.46 | 4.7 |
|
|
2 | 3.2 | 4.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ecuador and Venezuela?
Our prediction for the Ecuador vs Venezuela match is: Under 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 6/22/24 between Ecuador and Venezuela in Copa America :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47% for a win of Ecuador against Venezuela with odds of 501 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ecuador vs Venezuela is 36.33% with odds of 41 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 16.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Venezuela vs Ecuador with odds of 4.76 at Betwinner.
Ecuador - Venezuela Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ecuador Venezuela Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ecuador wins | 47% | 501 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 74.01% | 2 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 40.83% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Ecuador | 22.61% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Ecuador vs Venezuela Form
Ecuador and Venezuela's standings in the Copa America
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
|
2
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Ecuador and Venezuela Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
10 Dec 2023 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Oct 2023 - World Cup
Ecuador against Venezuela : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
67 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
11 Nov 2021 - World Cup
10 Oct 2021 - World Cup
20 Jun 2021 - Copa America
1 Jun 2019 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2017 - International Friendlies
Ecuador - Venezuela: Form Analysis
Ecuador has been regular in making it out of the group stage of the Copa America, reaching the quarterfinals in two of the last three tournaments. They come into the tournament in fairly good spirits, winning four of their last six matches and losing only two in the process.
Those two defeats have come against Italy (a 2-0 loss) and Argentina (a 1-0 loss), which isn't too bad considering the stature of those teams in world football. In fact, the Ecuadorians are punching above their weight in the CONMEBOL FIFA World Cup qualifiers. They are currently fifth in a batch of ten and above even Brazil.
Slightly above Ecuador on that table is Venezuela, and after six matchdays, both are doing well in their quest to qualify for the World Cup. Venezuela's preparation for this tournament, though, hasn't been exemplary, as they come here without a win in five matches.
Three of those have been draws, coming against Ecuador (0-0), Peru (1-1), and Guatemala (0-0). They were beaten 1-0 by Colombia and 2-1 by Italy. With only two goals to their name in the last five matches, Venezuela is sweating for goals, and that could peg them back in the Copa America competition.
Venezuela has struggled in this tournament in the past and has crashed out of the 2021 competition without a win. Interestingly, they haven't scored a goal against Ecuador in their last two matches, drawing 0-0 and losing 1-0. Four of the last six matches ended in draws, so the Venezuelans will bank on that factor to provide a gritty output.
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Players list
A. Dominguez
DefenderA. Preciado
F. Torres
W. Pacho
P. Hincapie
MidfielderJ. Caicedo
M. Caicedo
K. Rodriguez
A. Minda
ForwardC. Gruezo
E. Valencia
R. Romo
DefenderA. Gonzalez
N. Ferraresi
Y. Osorio
M. Navarro
MidfielderE. Bello
T. Rincon
J. Martinez
J. Cadiz
J. Savarino
ForwardE. Ramirez
Substitutes
H. Galindez
M. Ramirez
DefenderJ. Porozo
J. Ordonez
J. Hurtado
L. Layan
A. Micolta
MidfielderA. Mena
J. Cifuentes
C. Gruezo
J. Ortiz
ForwardA. Minda
J. Corozo
J. Caicedo
K. Rodriguez
J. Contreras
J. Graterol
DefenderW. Angel
J. Aramburu
J. Chancellor
C. Makoun
MidfielderE. Bello
D. Pereira
J. Savarino
M. Lacava
T. Segovia
T. Rincon
K. Andrade
ForwardJ. Cadiz
E. Ramirez
Missing players
A. Preciado
D. Machis
Ecuador & Venezuela Squad Analysis
Ecuador's most decorated player will be Enner Valencia, who has 41 goals in 86 national appearances. The forward will once again lead Ecuador here, with all eyes on Bayer Leverkusen's Piero Hincapie. There's Moises Caicedo too in the line-up, with the Chelsea midfielder set to earn his 43rd national cap.
Venezuela will have a familiar name leading the line, as Salomon Rondon will look to add to his 41 national goals. There's a lot of excitement around Jefferson Savarino back home, and he could partner Rondon in the final third.
Ecuador - Venezuela Key Points
- In six of Ecuador’s last eight matches, there have been fewer than three goals scored
- Venezuela have also seen under 2.5 goals in four of their last five matches
- Venezuela have failed to score in three of their last five matches
- The recent World Cup qualifier between these sides in November 2023 ended in a 0-0 draw
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Our Ecuador vs Venezuela Prediction
These two teams are one of the low-scoring sides in the CONMEBOL World Cup qualifiers. Even in recent games, Ecuador and Venezuela have limited themselves to fewer than three goals. In Venezuela's case, they struggled to even score, which was the case in three of their last five matches. They could set themselves up deep here to frustrate their South American neighbors. That pave the way for a low scorer, and our prediction for Ecuador vs Venezuela is for under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Ecuador vs Venezuela - Other Interesting Predictions
Ecuador to win to nil
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ecuador Venezuela
| Ecuador vs Venezuela | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador wins | 1.8 | 501 | +27,733.3% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 23 | +538.9% |
| Venezuela wins | 4.5 | 1.01 | -77.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ecuador is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 27,733.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 0.2% (-55.4%)
Football EPIC Boost
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Ecuador vs Venezuela match : Frequently asked questions
The Ecuador vs Venezuela Copa America Group B match will be available live on Fox Sports 1 TV Channel in the USA. It can also be streamed live on the Fox Sports app.
Check out our Copa America Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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