Ecuador vs Peru Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
by Joseph King in World Cup Predictions
Sixth-place Ecuador and 10th-placed Peru meet for the eighth of 18 matchdays in the CONMEBOL 2026 World Cup qualifying region on Tuesday afternoon. Let’s get into this matchup between La Tri and La Blanquirroja.
Ecuador put forward a commendable effort in Curitiba against Brazil on Friday and likely deserved more from the match. They would ultimately succumb to a 1-0 defeat, marking their third loss in the last five games.
La Tricolor would be sitting in fourth with their 3-2-2 record if not for a three point deduction that they received for false player documents. Instead, they currently find themselves holding on to the final automatic qualification spot with a total of eight points, putting them two ahead of seventh-place Paraguay.
Peru will be hoping to build on a gritty performance which saw them earn a point in a 1-1 home draw with red-hot Colombia. It was only their third point of the campaign and they are still yet to win a match with their 0-3-4 record.
After a disappointing showing in the Copa America saw them fail to score a single goal, Peru is now winless in their last five matches overall.
However, the nature of this qualifying region means that they are still very much in with a shout. Peru only trail seventh-place Paraguay by three points for an intercontinental playoff spot and five points behind their opponents today.
With 11 matches still to play, there is still time for the Peruvians to turn things around and qualify for what would be only their second World Cup in the last 40 years.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ecuador v Peru Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.4 | 3.9 | 10 |
|
|
1.44 | 3.9 | 9 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.08 | 10.6 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.08 | 10.6 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.2 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.43 | 3.96 | 10 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.2 | 9.6 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.3 | 7.8 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.2 | 8.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ecuador and Peru?
Our prediction for the Ecuador vs Peru match is: Ecuador wins and under 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/09/2024 between Ecuador and Peru in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64.26% for a win of Ecuador against Peru with odds of 1.45 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ecuador vs Peru is 20.24% with odds of 4.3 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Peru vs Ecuador with odds of 10.6 at 1xbet.
Ecuador - Peru Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ecuador Peru Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ecuador wins | 64.26% | 1.45 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 62.18% | 2.01 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 42.92% | 3 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Ecuador/Ecuador | 30.97% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
Ecuador vs Peru Form
Ecuador and Peru's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
|
10
|
3 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -8 |
Ecuador and Peru Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
4 Jul 2024 - Copa America
30 Jun 2024 - Copa America
26 Jun 2024 - Copa America
22 Jun 2024 - Copa America
16 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
29 Jun 2024 - Copa America
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
21 Jun 2024 - Copa America
14 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
Ecuador against Peru : Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
40 %
20 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Feb 2022 - World Cup
23 Jun 2021 - Copa America
8 Jun 2021 - World Cup
5 Sep 2019 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2018 - International Friendlies
Ecuador vs Peru last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Ecuador - Peru Key Points
- Ecuador have lost only once in their last 12 home qualifying matches, scoring 22 and conceding just eight goals.
- Peru have managed to score just one goal in their last four outings.
- The visitors have failed to score a goal in their three away matches in qualifying while conceding four.
- Ecuador matches in qualifying see an average of only 1.29 total goals while Peru sees an average of 1.57.
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Our Ecuador vs Peru Prediction
Despite some losses in their recent outings, Ecuador are a team on the rise and have been an extremely tough out on home soil. With Peru really struggling to score and yet to earn a point on the road, this should be a fairly comfortable win for the home side.
Goals are always at a premium in CONMEBOL and we expect this to be a relatively low-scoring match based on what we’ve seen so far. A 1-0 or 2-0 home victory looks likely. Our Ecuador vs Peru prediction: Ecuador wins and under 3.5 goals.Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ecuador Peru
| Ecuador vs Peru | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador wins | 1.44 | 1.4 | -2.8% |
| Draw | 4 | 3.9 | -2.5% |
| Peru wins | 8 | 10 | +25.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ecuador is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.4% and is now 71.4% (2.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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