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10 October 2024 - 17:00 

- Day 9

World - World Cup

Ecuador
VS
Paraguay

Prediction :

Ecuador wins the match

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Ecuador vs Paraguay Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup

 by Joseph King | in World Cup Predictions

Matchday nine of the 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign sees fourth-place Ecuador playing host to seventh-placed Paraguay in Quito on Thursday. An important three points are on the line, so let’s get into the match prediction as La Tri take on La Albirroja.

Ecuador have performed well even in the face of a three-point deduction due to falsifying a player's birth documents. They've won four, drawn two and lost two of their first eight qualifying matches. Their total of 11 points sees them trailing third-place Uruguay by four points and leading both fifth-placed Brazil and sixth-place Venezuela by one point. With the top six places earning automatic qualification, the full three points here could be key.

Last time out, La Tri secured themselves a 1-0 home victory over Peru with record scorer Enner Valencia netting the winner. It was a much-needed response after being winless in their previous three.

After a slow start saw them gain just a single point from their first three 2026 World Cup qualifying matches, Paraguay have turned things around. They’ve now lost just once in their last five qualifying matches, picking up two wins and two draws to raise their points total to nine.

This sees them occupying the intercontinental playoff spot in seventh, giving them a goal differential lead over eighth-place Bolivia and seeing them trail sixth-place by just a single point.

In their last appearance, Paraguay pulled off an upset victory at home as they beat Brazil 1-0. It was their first win in four matches after a disappointing Copa America saw them lose all three group stage games.

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The Best Betting Odds for Ecuador v Paraguay Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.57 3.5 6.5
Ladbrokes
1.6 3.6 6.5
1xbet
1.65 3.7 7.12
22bet
1.65 3.7 7.12
Betobet
1.54 3.45 6.75
Betwinner
1.62 3.52 6.65
Stake
1.58 3.6 6.8
Melbet
1.6 3.56 6.85
Tonybet
1.58 3.6 6.8
Check all Ecuador vs Paraguay odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ecuador and Paraguay?

Our prediction for the Ecuador vs Paraguay match is: Ecuador to win.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2024 between Ecuador and Paraguay in World Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.37% for a win of Ecuador against Paraguay with odds of 1.65 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ecuador vs Paraguay is 18.5% with odds of 3.7 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 21.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Paraguay vs Ecuador with odds of 7.12 at 1xbet.

Ecuador vs Paraguay Form

Ecuador and Paraguay's standings in the World Cup

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Ecuador
Ecuador
11 8 4 2 2 2
7
Paraguay
Paraguay
9 8 2 3 3 -1

Ecuador and Paraguay Last Matches

Ecuador
Ecuador Last matches
L W D D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
1.83
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
0.83
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

10 Sep 2024 - World Cup

Ecuador
1 :  0
Peru

6 Sep 2024 - World Cup

Brazil
1 :  0
Ecuador

4 Jul 2024 - Copa America

Argentina
1 :  1
Ecuador

30 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Mexico
0 :  0
Ecuador

26 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Ecuador
3 :  1
Jamaica

22 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Ecuador
1 :  2
Venezuela
Paraguay
Paraguay Last matches
W L L L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.17
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
1.33
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

10 Sep 2024 - World Cup

Paraguay
1 :  0
Brazil

6 Sep 2024 - World Cup

Uruguay
0 :  0
Paraguay

2 Jul 2024 - Copa America

Costa Rica
2 :  1
Paraguay

28 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Paraguay
1 :  4
Brazil

24 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Colombia
2 :  1
Paraguay

16 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Panama
0 :  1
Paraguay

Ecuador against Paraguay : Head to Head (H2H)

Ecuador

50 %

Draw

0 %

Paraguay

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
3
BTTS
50%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.5
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

24 Mar 2022 - World Cup

Paraguay
3 :  1
Ecuador

2 Sep 2021 - World Cup

Ecuador
2 :  0
Paraguay
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Ecuador vs Paraguay last Lineups

Ecuador

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

22
A. Dominguez
17
A. Preciado
2
F. Torres
6
W. Pacho
3
P. Hincapie
8
C. Gruezo
21
A. Franco
10
K. Paez
23
M. Caicedo
16
J. Sarmiento
13
E. Valencia
9
A. Bareiro
24
R. Sosa
19
J. Enciso
10
M. Almiron
23
M. Villasanti
8
D. Bobadilla
13
N. Gimenez
3
O. Alderete
5
F. Balbuena
25
G. Velazquez
22
R. Morinigo

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Paraguay

Ecuador - Paraguay Key Points

  1. Paraguay are winless in their four away matches in this competition, losing two and drawing two.
  2. Ecuador are unbeaten on home soil in this competition, winning three and drawing once.
  3. Ecuador ran out 2-0 winners over Paraguay the last time they met in Quito.
  4. Paraguay have lost three of their last five matches across all competitions.
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Our Ecuador vs Paraguay Prediction

Both teams come into this matchup off the back of important wins, which should make this an entertaining game. Ecuador certainly have the edge, however, as they have been excellent on home soil so far with wins over Uruguay, Chile, Peru and drawing with Colombia.

The Paraguayans will be feeling good after their victory over Brazil, but they will now have to reconcile with the fact that they are yet to win outside of Paraguay. We should see the hosts walk away with the three points when it’s all said and done. Our Ecuador vs Paraguay prediction: Ecuador to win.

Prediction :

Ecuador wins the match

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Ecuador vs Paraguay Prediction
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