Ecuador vs Jamaica Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa America
by Devesh Jaganath in Copa America Predictions
Ecuador and Jamaica will go in search of their first points at the 2024 Copa America when they face off at the Allegiant Stadium on Wednesday night.
Both these sides lost their opening match of the competition to group leaders Venezuela and Mexico, respectively.
La Tri enter the contest as the clear favourites, but don’t count Jamaica out just yet after a very promising opening match.
Let’s take a look at some key facts for this contest.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ecuador v Jamaica Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.03 | 15 | 201 |
|
|
1.83 | 2.5 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.53 | 3.5 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.03 | 15 | 301 |
|
|
1.03 | 15 | 301 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.04 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.02 | 13.75 | 100 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.1 | 6.55 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.1 | 7 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.1 | 7.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ecuador and Jamaica?
Our prediction for the Ecuador vs Jamaica match is: Under 2.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 6/26/24 between Ecuador and Jamaica in Copa America :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.5% for a win of Ecuador against Jamaica with odds of 1.83 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ecuador vs Jamaica is 24.18% with odds of 15 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Jamaica vs Ecuador with odds of 301 at 1xbet.
Ecuador - Jamaica Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ecuador Jamaica Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ecuador wins | 48.5% | 1.83 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 53.63% | 2.05 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 45.24% | 2.25 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Ecuador | 19.69% | 4 at Bet365 |
Ecuador vs Jamaica Form
Ecuador and Jamaica's standings in the Copa America
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
|
4
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 |
Ecuador and Jamaica Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jun 2024 - Copa America
16 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jun 2024 - Copa America
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
24 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
21 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
3 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Ecuador - Jamaica: Form Analysis
Ecuador were widely considered as the team most likely to challenge Venezuela and Mexico for the top two spots in Group B.
They are having an impressive 2026 World Cup qualification campaign, currently in fifth place in the standings, with eight points after six games, one point ahead of South American giants Brazil. That is after being docked three points for falsifying birth documents for Byron Castillo in the previous World Cup qualification.
In their opening match of Copa America 2024, La Tri took a first-half lead against their CONMEBOL counterparts Venezuela despite being reduced to 10 men.
However, the numbers game caught up to them in the second period as La Vinotinto found two second-half goals to turn the tide, and held on to claim the points. Still, their performance in the match suggests they have a lot more to give in this competition and are worthy favourites based on their record in this fixture.
Ecuador have never lost to Jamaica in their three previous meetings (W2 D1 L0)!
Meanwhile, Jamaica are returning to Copa America for the first time since 2016, having failed to qualify for the last edition, and they will be hoping that this will be the year they make a statement.
They qualified for this year’s competition by reaching the 2023-24 CONCACAF Nations League A semi-final, following a victory over Canada in the quarter-final.
In their two previous invitations, they failed to progress beyond the group stage, finishing both the 2015 tournament and the 2016 Copa America Centenario last in their group.
The Reggae Boyz have made steady progress in recent years, as illustrated by reaching the semis of the Nations League. They are also second in the 2026 World Cup qualification group, winning both their third-round matches earlier this month.
Jamaica lost their opening match to group favourites Mexico last week. However, as mentioned earlier, their performance was impressive and most would agree that they could easily have come away with something from the contest.
Indeed, the Reggae Boyz have never beaten La Tri, but based on their recent performances it would not come as a huge shock if they get a result in this one.
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Ecuador against Jamaica Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
E. Valencia
A. Blake
DefenderA. Bell
Ecuador & Jamaica Squad Analysis
Ecuador will have to make do without the services of their captain and talisman Enner Valencia, who was the player sent off in the first match after VAR deemed his tackle worthy of a red card.
Jeremy Sarmiento scored his second goal for La Tri in the match against Mexico but also picked up a yellow card meaning another caution in this match will see him miss the final group-stage match.
Kendry Paez was the other Ecuadorian cautioned in the last match, which could prompt Felix Sanchez Bas to consider a change-up in this match.
For Jamaica - they are likely to continue without their experienced captain Andre Blake, who is still recovering from injury. That will likely mean that Jahmali White will continue in goal in midweek.
However, they did receive an injury boost in the first match, with Damion Lowe returning to the starting 11 after his participation was in doubt due to an injury sustained in WC qualifying.
Shamar Nicholson is the team's top-scorer in the WC qualifiers and is one to watch.
Ecuador - Jamaica Key Points
- Six of Ecuador’s last nine games have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Jamaica failed to score in two of the three previous encounters between these teams
- Five of Jamaica’s last seven games have ended with under 2.5 goals
- Jamaica are likely to prioritise a clean sheet here and will try to play on the counter
- Jamaica conceded fewer than two goals in five of their last seven games
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Our Ecuador vs Jamaica Prediction
While Ecuador are the out-and-out favourites heading into this match, they are without their talismanic captain, who is also one of the greatest assets in attack.
Jamaica, given their underdog status, are expected to sit back here and will look to play in transition, which could make for a match where clear-cut chances are at a premium. Therefore, our Ecuador vs Jamaica prediction: Under 2.5!
Ecuador vs Jamaica - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score (NO)
Both teams have scored in only three of Ecuador’s last nine matches, while only one team has scored in five of Jamaica’s last seven matches.
Ecuador to win the match
Ecuador have never lost the Jamaica in three previous matches and are ranked 23 places above the Reggae Boyz according to FIFA World Rankings.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ecuador Jamaica
| Ecuador vs Jamaica | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador wins | 1.67 | 1.03 | -38.3% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 15 | +328.6% |
| Jamaica wins | 5.5 | 201 | +3,554.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ecuador is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 38.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 97.1% (37.2%)
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Ecuador vs Jamaica match : Frequently asked questions
The 2024 Copa America match between Ecuador and Jamaica will take place on June 26 at 23:00 GMT.
The 2024 Copa America match between Ecuador and Jamaica will be played at the Allegiant Stadium in Nevada.
Premier Sports holds the rights to the Copa America tournament in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to date with all the Copa America Livescores right here on SportyTrader!In three previous matches between these sides, Ecuador have won two and one match ended in a draw.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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