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Ecuador vs Colombia Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
by Joseph King in World Cup Predictions
Seventh-place Ecuador takes on third-place Colombia for the fourth of 18 scheduled matchday in South America’s 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign. The notoriously difficult CONMEBOL region has gotten a bit easier thanks to the expanded format of the tournament for the 2026 iteration. Six teams will automatically qualify (up from five for 2022) with seventh-place entering into an inter-confederation playoff to determine their fate.
Ecuador have experienced a strong start to the qualifying group with two wins from their first three matches. However, a three point deduction due to falsifying documents for a player means that La Tri sits down in seventh with three points. Even with the deduction, this talented Ecuadorian team is expected to make the qualifying cut with little hassle. They’re on a strong run of form overall with five wins from their last six matches. The most recent of which ended with a 96th-minute Kevin Rodriguez goal to secure the full three points in a 2-1 win over Bolivia in La Paz. It marks Ecuador’s second consecutive victory after a come-from-behind 2-1 home win over Marcelo Bielsa’s Uruguay last month. The only defeat for Ecuador on their current run was a 1-0 away loss to defending world champions Argentina.
Colombia were on the wrong side of a late goal when they took on Uruguay in their most recent outing. It proved to be a highly-entertaining match that was back-and-forth with plenty of chances for both sides. A 90th-minute Darwin Nuñez penalty meant that both teams would have to share the spoils in a 2-2 draw. Despite not being able to secure the victory in Barranquilla, the stalemate extended Colombia’s unbeaten run to 14 games. They’ve now drawn their last two after opening the qualifying campaign with a 1-0 home victory over Venezuela. The team has been hugely impressive under Nestor Lorenzo who took over in June of 2022 and has yet to lose as Colombia manager.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ecuador v Colombia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2 | 3.1 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.05 | 4 |
|
|
2.07 | 3.1 | 4.05 |
|
|
2.07 | 3.1 | 4.05 |
|
|
2.01 | 3.2 | 4.03 |
|
|
2.01 | 3.2 | 4.03 |
|
|
2.03 | 2.8 | 4.1 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.16 | 3.93 |
|
|
2.01 | 3.2 | 4.01 |
|
|
2.05 | 3 | 4 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.1 | 3.95 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.1 | 4.2 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.11 | 4.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ecuador and Colombia?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/10/2023 between Ecuador and Colombia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.6% for a win of Ecuador against Colombia with odds of 2.1 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ecuador vs Colombia is 34.64% with odds of 3.2 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Colombia vs Ecuador with odds of 4.4 at Vbet.
Ecuador - Colombia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ecuador Colombia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Colombia wins | 35.76% | 4.4 at Vbet |
| Under 2.5 | 64.7% | 1.67 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 40% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Colombia | 20.16% | 8.5 at Betsson |
Ecuador vs Colombia Form
Ecuador and Colombia's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
19 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
|
4
|
19 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Ecuador and Colombia Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
17 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
17 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
29 Nov 2022 - World Cup
23 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies
2 Jun 2022 - International Friendlies
29 Mar 2022 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
25 Nov 2022 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
16 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
16 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2022 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2022 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
27 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies
29 Mar 2022 - World Cup
Ecuador vs Colombia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
25 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Oct 2021 - World Cup
13 Jun 2021 - Copa America
17 Nov 2020 - World Cup
19 Nov 2019 - International Friendlies
Players list
M. Ramirez
DefenderJ. Hurtado
P. Hincapie
F. Torres
J. Chavez
W. Pacho
MidfielderC. Gruezo
M. Caicedo
A. Mena
ForwardJ. Caicedo
J. Julio
A. Montero
DefenderD. Sanchez
D. Machado
C. Cuesta
W. Ditta
MidfielderW. Barrios
J. Rodriguez
R. Rios
ForwardJ. Arias
J. Duran
L. Diaz
Substitutes
A. Dominguez
H. Galindez
DefenderB. Caicedo
L. Realpe
J. Hurtado
J. Sornoza
A. Mena
J. Ortiz
A. Franco
J. Yeboah
ForwardJ. Caicedo
J. Julio
J. Chunga
K. Mier
DefenderC. Borja
W. Ditta
J. Mosquera
MidfielderJ. Carrascal
W. Barrios
R. Rios
M. Cassierra
Y. Asprilla
L. Sinisterra
J. Duran
Most goals and assists
Ecuador
Colombia
E. Valencia
(3 Goals)
L. Diaz
(4 Goals)
Ecuador - Colombia Key Points
- Colombia have a record of eight wins, four draws and zero defeats under the management of Nestor Lorenzo.
- The visitors have not lost since February of 2022, a stretch which includes wins over Germany, Mexico, USA and Japan.
- Ecuador have managed only a single win over Colombia in their last seven meetings.
- The hosts have conceded in four straight matches and only have a single clean sheet over their last nine across all competitions.
- Colombia have kept four clean sheets in their last five games.
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Our Ecuador vs Colombia Prediction
These two sides appear to be very evenly matched and each possess their own top Premier League talent in Chelsea's Moises Caicedo and Liverpool's Luis Diaz. Ecuador will be feeling good after back-to-back wins and with the match taking place in Quito. However, Colombia will also be high in confidence as it is approaching two full years since they last tasted defeat. We have this one closer than the bookmakers suggest as they clearly lean towards the hosts to get the win. Therefore, we’ll gladly take the great odds on the double chance and back Los Cafeteros to push their unbeaten run to an impressive 15 games. Our Ecuador vs Colombia prediction is for Colombia on the double chance.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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